Welcome to our horse racing preview and betting tips for racing on Tuesday, September 10th.
This afternoon's meetings take place at Grafton and Pakenham and Luke Krahe has picked out his best bets for each track below.
When a Matty Dunn runner is well backed in this area, or anywhere for that matter, they are hard to go past. (10) Beyond Desire has been to the races 5 times previously, but this is the first time she gets out to this trip. Two starts back on the Gold Coast in a much harder maiden she ran on hard to miss by 0.2 of a length and not everything went right for her in the run home. She was then at her home track up the road at Murwillumbah last time, settled a lot closer and ran on well again but did have every chance. This certainly looks no harder, McGuren goes on for Colless and she maps beautifully again. She is currently around the even money mark but don’t expect her to start in black figures.
A big field to end the day at Grafton, one horse that will be making his own luck will be (13) Nicconi Lass. She has only ever had one other second-up run and that was when she recorded her maiden win at Coffs over 1000m leading all the way. She resumed last start at her home track at Port Macquarie, sat outside the leader and stuck on well enough until her condition gave way late and faded over the last 100m. She draws perfectly to land on the bunny again, with that run under her belt and her only other winning run coming second-up, she should lead for a long way.
It looks a two-horse war on paper between the last start maiden winner here (3) Jamaican Hurry and (4) Gentlemen’s Words. Interestingly the latter is still a maiden after two runs and the Hayes/Hayes/Dabernig team have put her up out of maiden grade into a BM58 resuming. Why? Perhaps they thought she has the talent and want to bet up and will get a better price in this class of race? Seems odd when there is a 1100m race for 3YO maidens as race 2, I guess time will tell. Happy to be against her UNLESS there is a truckload of money for her. Jamaican Hurry finally cracked it for her maiden win last start and gets a winnable race to step up in grade. She resumed her eat the track two back and although the margin was more than 2 lengths and she officially ran sixth, forget she even went around as she never got a crack at them. She then was here again last time, sat three-deep without cover in the run before charging clear in the straight to win by three with another 2.5 lengths back to third. A huge win after doing the work, she clearly handles the track and can take this step. She is currently in black figures in the small field, monitor prices closely after scratching, there may just be a truckload of money for her.
(5) Blood Oath resumed here in a Class One two starts back, was a heavily backed favourite and although pressured throughout, basically led all the way to win narrowly with a huge gap to third. He then showed good tactical speed and led before taking a sit last time, again here on the synthetic track, before stoked up early in the straight and bolting in, with another gap to third. He is up in class but has the inside draw, the sped to use it or take a sit and is going for three straight wins here on the synthetic, all at the 1200m.
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