Welcome to our horse racing preview and betting tips for racing on Thursday, October 1st.
Thursday welcomes a new day on the racing front, with action at four tracks across Australia. They include meetings at Wyong, Geelong, Yeppoon and Kalgoorlie. The Horse is back to preview the action, with four best bets for the day below!
Horse Racing Tips: Thursday, October 1st
(3) Nyami returns after a 274 day break and comes in with one trial under its belt. He drops back into provincial grade after a two city starts last prep. James McDonald takes the steer of the Chris Waller trained galloper signaling some degree of confidence in its future. The question here is whether the short odds are warranted and Nyami is here for an easy kill to break the maiden—or whether this is more of a warm-up to build fitness leading into another race. The distance is a little further than I would like to see first-up after such a long break,—and the gate isn’t that suitable. But he should have enough speed to get in behind the leaders on the outside and given every chance. If the market pushes out before the race it may indicate a lack of stable confidence—so watch the moves. Not interested in anything else in the race.
This is a pretty competitive race to end the day at Wyong with some decent horses going around. (6) Ocean Emperor is going around favourite and resumes after a couple trials. Gets the greatest of all gear changes and comes in missing his two best mates. He also gets a pretty good draw and should be on-pace in running. If you’re keen on him I wouldn’t want to convince you otherwise. However (7) Zeftabrook is going around at backable each-way odds and has a solid first-up record. She drops in grade slightly and is from the Kris Lees stable and gets Andrew Gibbons on board. There is likely to be some moisture around (not sure how much at this early stage) which could be an advantage—with Zeftabrook’s last success coming on Heavy going. Maps alongside the favourite Ocean Emperor and strike after getting the sit.
(1) Boom Boom Becker has three seconds in five starts including second on this track behind River Twain last outing. Jumps up in distance slightly which should not be a problem. John Allen will do the steering so look for him to drop back in the second half of the field and launch a sustained run to real them in. Admittedly he draws an absolute shocker of a gate (17) which almost turned me away here—however with so many runners there are likely to be a couple scratched. Pending some luck in starting and in running he looks to have a really good shot against this field. (8) Grinzinger Lord trailed reasonably well and the O’Brien/Oliver combination is something to be always weary of. No doubt there will be some money for him.
(1) Boom Boom Becker
This is an interesting race with several runners in the market. Going against the favourite here (9) Ziavera despite this being her ideal distance first-up. She went close to finishing first in a recent trial and should be out to win this. My preference is for the 5YO (3) Pierro Belle who has raced in better grades than this—albeit not winning—and who won both races last preparation (in BM58 and BM64 grades). Does not need to improve dramatically to be competitive here—however she is not the fastest starter and should drop in behind the leaders and may find a sticky spot on the fence. Matthew Cartwright will need to get the splits or push out when things heat-up so he will have his work cut-out. Despite this the mare has strong claims and can get the prize with a touch of luck. The one at a touch better odds is (4) Aerovictory who raced well at this track last time out—winning by a couple lengths quite convincingly. Certainly gets a charmed run here from the inside gate—and if there is any sense of a leaders bias—Luke Nolan can repeat the dose. He finished in front of (6) Toolbar that day. In the interests of getting a return it’s a double play here with Pierro Belle the top pick and Aerovictory a saver.
Also backing: (4) Aerovictory $7.00