Welcome to our horse racing preview and betting tips for racing on Thursday, July 4th.
Luke Krahe has provided his best bets for Hawkesbury, Cranbourne and Gatton below!
Hate to start off the tips with two likely odds-on chances but the big boys may be willing to take on (1) Disco Mo, which may result in him getting out closer to black odds. He is a six-start maiden but this may be the easiest assignment he has had, he has speed and the small field should see him get the front easily and cop no pressure. He was runner-up at his latest after sitting second in the run and outside the leader soon after straightening but had no response. Two horses that finished behind him in that run have since won so the form line has stood up well, his blinkers are off for the first time. He will be very hard to run down. His main danger may be (3) Judicator who was unlucky on debut, but this could be a sit and sprint and that won’t suit the 2YO against the older horses on what we saw at start one.
At first look the barrier 19 next to (10) Miss Mawingo is a turn off, but it may just mean that we will be getting a huge price. She has been to the races twice and been ok, the latest was on the synthetic track and was hitting the line hard before running out of room late. She is against the older horses here which is sometimes better for these 3YO fillies as there are many with plenty of upside when racing against the younger horses. She will be wide here but with the wet track it may not be a disadvantage, stepping up to the mile looks ideal and if we can get double figure odds, she looks a good each-way bet.
(11) Jungle Jane was good to us winning her maiden last time and there is no reason she can’t step up to this level. She has versatility and should be able to settle closer than what she did last week, she was strong through the line and looks perfectly suited to stepping up to the 2000m. She handles the wet and in a race that lacks depth, she should be mid-field and charging hard. Her main danger will be (10) Evie Matilda who maps to be in a similar position, she is very consistent and the jockey tactics will be interesting between the two.
We have to head north to get the only non-rain affected track in the country for Thursday, (1) The Hooligan has won two in a row, including last time here at the track. That was over 1100m, he was mid-field before charging through the line, he only got up on the line but there was a gap to 3rd and stepping up to the 1400m looks ideal. He should be up on the speed from the good draw in my opinion, gets the 3kg claim and this looks no harder. It is a big plus to have been to the track before and especially if you have been able to chalk up a win here. (2) Tony’s Decree is also a winner at the track, his only career win at maiden level but he maps to get a soft run behind the leader. He looks a danger if that map pans out and he gets the run at the top of the lane.
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