Welcome to our horse racing preview and betting tips for racing on Friday, August 16th.
Our last chance to build the bank before the weekend is with the meetings at Taree and Geelong. Luke Krahe has picked out his two best bets for each track below!
(4) Myboycolly has had three runs this time in, winning two and having no luck in the run in between. He was last in the run at Cessnock in a similar race late last month, was over-racing badly in the run before angling wider and running over the top. He wasn’t entitled to get home so hard after pulling his head off, he should settle a little closer here and show that nice turn-of-foot again. He took that step up from maiden level to Class Two well and this looks no harder. Look for him late.
(11) Fanciful Dream has to step up from a last start maiden win to a 58 here today, but she maps too well to say that she can’t do it. She has a lot of speed and no doubt the 1000m just about sees her out, from the wide draw she will get across to the spot outside the leader again no doubt and the short run home suits. Her maiden win at Scone was solid when facing the breeze, she had placed at her previous two when up on the speed over 900m so the early speed is there. Hopefully they just ride her positive and push on to that spot again. (2) Impulsive Maneuver will be the one to benefit if the speed is hot, he will be mid-field in the run and his effort at Coffs last time over the carnival was good to get so close after being held-up.
(11) Lady Makfi is certainly no star, she is yet to win out of maiden grade and is lining up for career start 18 today. The key here is that she should be able to handle the heavy 10 conditions as good as any of them, at the huge odds she looks a real live place chance and a sneaky one to win it. She has been up for a while and her best three runs of late have been in these conditions. Fiver runs back at the Bool she ran on ok from the back, three back here in similar conditions she was never on the track and stuck on doggedly and then last time at the Bool again, she was a lot closer in eth run and although she did have every chance, this is a lot easier than that 64 grade race. Her maiden win was almost a year ago and there hasn’t been many highlights since, but looks good value well into double figures on an each-way basis. (9) Royal Rue may be worth a saver, she was a last start winner on a heavy track at maiden level, she led all the way and that looks her role again.
The betting will tell us that all of the eight runners have a realistic chance of winning, small fields and even betting are races that I like to target. (2) Reserve Street is a synthetic track superstar having won 4 of 6 on the surface and although he is untried in these conditions, I am banking on him handling it well. He was on a Soft 5 three starts ago and sat wide on the speed without cover and didn’t shirk the task, that’s the extent of his wet track form. He ran home hard on the synthetic resuming last time at Ballarat, is a winner second-up previously and getting out in trip is a plus. My map has him in the box seat one-one, there are two heavy track winners in the field, one is resuming and will want further and the other is (8) Swanky Cat who will also get back. Reserve Street should be able to be in front of those two and be handling the conditions better than those in front of him.
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