Welcome to our horse racing preview and betting tips for racing at Flemington on Saturday, November 7th.
The Melbourne Cup carnival concludes on Saturday with Stakes Day taking center stage at Flemington!Tim Geers has you covered with his best bets for the day below! Remember, you can head to RacingBet for our in-depth previews of every metro race today.
Keen to bet in Race 4 at headquarters with two horses in particular. The favourite is (5) Right You Are, who should be going very close in this if he returns at his best. The slight concern is he returns wearing concussion plates, which is never ideal, but they aren’t bar plates so we should be safe. He has four wins and three minor placings from seven starts and was a winner at this track and distance last time we saw him. Damien Oliver keeps the ride and he looks the one to beat. The other horse I think is a great chance at longer odds here is (9) Sikorsky. He had no luck first up at Caulfield when trapped wide throughout. He ran very well second up last prep and his only start at this track and distance was a convincing win. With even luck from the tricky gate, he can be finishing hard at $14.
(2) Pondus looks the best bet of the day at Flemington, coming off a tremendous run in the Bendigo Cup, which was his first on Australian soil. He should have won that day but was badly impeded by a horse that went amiss, and he then had to come widest on the turn with his big weight. He finished hard but ran out of time. The step up to 2600m looks ideal and he is undefeated second up from a spell, so expect him to improve on that first up run. Trained by Melbourne Cup-winning trainer Joseph O’Brien, he looks the one to beat.
The Mackinnon Stakes is the final Group 1 of the carnival and it looks a lovely race for WA mare (9) Arcadia Queen. She was incredibly brave running 5th in the Cox Plate after nearly falling at the 1000m mark, where she clipped the heels of the horse in front of her. She still managed to pick herself up and finish well on what was probably an unsuitably wet track. Back onto a firmer deck at Flemington, if she brings her best form she will take a power of beating. The Cox Plate has proved a good form reference for this race. The horse at a bit of value looks to be (2) Fifty Stars, who comes into this on the quick backup after finishing off well in last weekend’s Cantala Stakes. He now steps up to 2000m which is ideal, and he won the G1 Australian Cup over this track and distance last prep on the one-week turnaround. He’ll be hitting the line hard at $9.00.
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