A midweek draw by Arsenal against bottom placed Wolves has brought the title race alive once again, with Manchester City now only five points behind the league leaders whilst having a game in hand. Matchday 27’s action is headlined by a crucial North London Derby!
Check out our best bets for EPL Week 27 and head to our EPL Tips page for more previews throughout the season.
EPL 2025-26: Matchday 27 Preview & Betting Tips
Brentford vs Brighton
Gtech Community Stadium, Sunday 22nd February, 2:00am AEDT
Brentford get an opportunity to continue their push for European football when they host the struggling Brighton on Sunday morning. The Bees are unbeaten in their last three games to be in seventh place, just four points off fifth place. After being in the top five mix early in the season, Brighton have been in freefall with a 1-6-6 record in the Premier League since December 3. The Seagulls are in fourteenth place on the table, well below expectations for a side that has challenged for European football in recent seasons.
The tactical contrast is clear, Brentford’s directness against Brighton’s possession leaning approach. Brentford’s ability to turn matches into transitional battles has made them dangerous, particularly against teams that prefer to build patiently. Brentford are ranked seventh for goals this season (40 goals scored), while Brighton have been vulnerable defensively recently, failing to record a clean sheet in their last six games in the Premier League.
These teams have played tight games in recent seasons, with both teams recording one win, two draws and one loss in their last five league games against each other. However the formlines of both teams is simply too much to ignore, with Brighton having won one of their last twelve games, while Brentford have a 6-2-2 record across their last ten games. Brighton have one of the worst away records in the league at 2-4-7, Brentford will add to Brighton’s struggles.
Brentford to Win
$2.00 (1.5 Units)
Manchester City vs Newcastle
Etihad Stadium, Sunday 22nd February, 7:00am AEDT
It’s a top ten clash at the Etihad as Newcastle head on the road to face Manchester City. With Arsenal picking up draws in their last two games, City are only five points behind the league leaders, with a game in hand, and they still get to play Arsenal again before the end of the season. Newcastle got back to winning ways on Matchday 27 with a 2-1 win over Tottenham, however Eddie Howe will be coaching for his job over the final 12 games of the season. Newcastle have performed well below expectations with a 10-6-10 record that has them in 10th place on the table.
Manchester City once again set the attacking benchmark in the Premier League, leading the competition with 54 goals scored this season. Their ability to combine volume shooting with sustained possession has translated into 16 wins from 26 matches, keeping them firmly in the title race. Even by their own high standards, City’s scoring rate underlines why they remain the side every contender must measure themselves against.
Manchester City have loved playing against Newcastle over the last six years, since 2020 Manchester City have won nine out of their twelve Premier League fixtures against Newcastle. Newcastle have been poor defensively this season, ranking in the bottom half of the league for goals conceded, which makes them vulnerable against an electric City attack. Arsenal have slipped up on multiple occasions this season and City haven’t capitalised, expect a different story this time around.
Manchester City -1
$2.10 (1.5 Units)
Tottenham vs Arsenal
Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, Monday 23rd February, 3:30am AEDT
Things are starting to get nervous for Arsenal, as they show signs of another late season collapse, which has been the common trend in their last three seasons. Draws against Brentford and Wolverhampton have stopped the Gunners from running away with the league, leaving them vulnerable coming into the business end of the season. It’s been another horror campaign for Tottenham, sitting in sixteenth position after finishing seventeenth last season. Thomas Frank has already become another managerial casualty at Spurs, in what has become an increasingly common trend.
The North London Derby arrives with a stark contrast in trajectories. Arsenal have been the league’s most complete side statistically, scoring 52 goals while conceding just 20 across 26 matches, one of the best attacking and defensive combinations in the division. That efficiency has powered them to a 17-7-3 record, underlining their credentials as genuine title favourites. The Gunners have won four straight league games against Spurs, and have an 8-1-1 across the last ten North London Derby fixtures in the Premier League.
Tottenham have been on a horror run since the turn of the calendar year, with zero wins, four draws and four losses in 2026. Spurs have won just one of their last eleven games in the league, highlighting the massive challenge they face to be competitive against their arch rivals. Another fact that doesn’t make for great reading for Tottenham, is that they have the third worst home record in the Premier league this season (2-4-7) while the Gunners have the best away record in the league with 7-5-2. All signs point towards a dominant victory for Arsenal.
Arsenal -1
$2.45 (1 Unit)
