Interesting clash on Sunday afternoon in Round 3 of the AFL as the Greater Western Sydney Giants host the Melbourne Demons from 6.10pm in Sydney. The two teams have had very contrasting starts to the season but they will both be hunting a win on Sunday. Check out our full preview and betting tips for the clash courtesy of PuntingInDanger below.
AFL GWS vs Melbourne Betting Tips
Manuka Oval, Sunday 6.10pm (AEDT)
With the Sydney Royal Easter Show taking over the Giants home ground, this game will be played at Manuka Oval in Canberra. It’s not ideal for the Giants, who have started the season with back to back losses and are desperate to bounce back.
The Dees have been fantastic through their opening two games so far in the 2021 season. They hosted Melbourne at the MCG in Round 1 where they ran out comfortable 22 point winners before heading to Marvel Stadium and overcoming a 19 point deficit against the Saints to run away with the game in the second half.
With Richmond and Port Adelaide having already lost this week, the Dees are one of just three undefeated teams left in the AFL alongside Sydney and the Western Bulldogs and they’ll be keen to keep it that way.
While the Demons currently have eight players on their injury list, the list of names isn’t exactly star studded, so they have fielded pretty strong teams through their opening two games so far. Only Ben Brown, James Harmes and Sam Weidman are certain best 22 players who will miss Sunday’s clash against the Dockers.
It’s a similar story for the Giants, who are missing a few key players in the likes of Lachie Whitfield, Adam Kennedy and Braydon Preuss, but otherwise they will field a pretty strong side, especially considering they made three omissions this week.
Predictably, the Dees start as favourites here and the line is a fairly manageable 10.5 points. I do think they win this game against a Giants side that has looked a little lacklustre so far this season but I’m more interested in the under. Manuka Oval has been a pretty low scoring ground when the Giants have played their over the course of their short history. In the last nine games involving GWS at Manuka, there has been an average combined score of just 144.7 points scored.
In the four games involving these two teams so far this season, an average combined score of just 152.25 has been scored. To cap it off, these two teams haven’t surpassed the 165 combined point mark in their last five meetings.
Under 164.5 (1.5 Units)
Josh Kelly has had a slow start to the season by his lofty standards with just 26 and 20 disposals in his two games so far. Kelly racked up 31 touches the last time he played Melbourne in full length quarters and I’m astonished by the value we are getting for the prolific ball winner to have 25+ on Sunday.
Kelly 25+ Disposals
I wish you could bet on score involvements, because it seems like every time the Demons put the ball through the big sticks, star midfielder Christan Petracca is directly involved. We’ll have to settle for him bagging one himself, which isn’t great odds but I do like the idea of putting it in a same game multi with the Dees to win outright.
Dees H2H + Petracca Goal