2021 AFL Qualifying Final: Melbourne vs Brisbane Preview & Betting Tips

August 26th 2021, 1:09pm, By: SmitsTips

AFL Demons vs Lions Betting Tips

Week one of the AFL Finals continue on Saturday night with the second qualifying final, which will see Melbourne host Brisbane in Adelaide. Catch our best betting tip and Same Game Multi for this huge clash right here!

2021 AFL Finals Melbourne vs Brisbane Tips

Adelaide Oval, Saturday 28th August 7:30pm (AEST)

The second qualifying final could’ve looked totally different if not for a few clutch scores for both these sides last weekend. Regardless, Melbourne finished on top of the ladder and are set to host Brisbane in Adelaide, where they will start as the narrow favourites.

Match Prediction

Melbourne enter the finals on an extreme high after crawling their way back from a 44-point deficit in their Round 23 clash with Geelong, which they ended up winning by four points via a Max Gawn goal after the siren. Not only did that Gawn goal help them record a remarkable comeback win, but it also saw them finish first on the ladder and claim the minor premiership.

The Demons have been arguably the most consistent team in the competition this season and are joined by just Port Adelaide and Geelong as clubs who are yet to lose back-to-back games. One of the big reasons for their consistency is the lack of injuries they’ve had all campaign. Of players who are clearly in the Demons best 22 when fit and firing, only Adam Tomlinson and Jayden Hunt are unavailable for selection.

Brisbane have Port Adelaide (for their win over the Western Bulldogs) and a poor fourth quarter effort from West Coast to thank for their jump into the top four in Round 23. Three weeks ago, it looked virtually impossible for the Lions to earn themselves a second chance, but three consecutive wins for them and three consecutive losses for the Bulldogs has seen the near impossible happen. 

Like most teams in the finals, the Lions have had a fairly good run with injuries this season. The only long-term injuries they’ve suffered during the year have been to Eric Hipwood and Cam Rayner, both who are promising young players that have flashed plenty of potential. On a positive note, both Harris Andrews and Mitch Robinson are expected to return to the side this week as long as they can get through the main training session.

Last time they met: Melbourne and Brisbane have only played each other once this year and that came back in Round 12 at Giants Stadium where the Demons finished up as 22-point winners. Christian Petracca was clearly best afield on the day with 25 disposals, nine clearances, six tackles and two goals. Kosi Pickett and Tom McDonald chimed in with three goals each to lead the Demons in scoring, while for the Lions it was an unlikely source in Zac Bailey (four goals) who was the most dangerous in front of goal.

Prediction: It’s unfortunate that Melbourne can’t host this qualifying final in front of their home fans in Victoria, but they’ve very wisely opted to play it in South Australia at Adelaide Oval instead where they’ve won eight of their last 10 games. They obviously love the dimensions of the ground and should prove very hard to beat when they take on an inconsistent Lions outfit that haven’t beaten a top eight opponent as the away team this season.

Same Game Multi

We’re continuing to bring you our best Same Game Multi for each game of the AFL Finals and are more than happy with the three legs we’ve found here. For the first leg we’ll be locking in Lachie Neale for 25 or more disposals. The reigning Brownlow Medallist has had an injury-riddled season but has returned to form in recent weeks, collecting 29 and 31 disposals in his last two games and will likely avoid a tag against a Demons midfield that has a couple of superstars of their own. For the second and third legs of our SGM we’ll be banking on Christian Petracca to have at least 25 disposals and one goal. The dynamic forward turned midfielder is averaging 28.6 disposals and 1.1 goals a game and has had 25+ and 1+ in the same game on 13 occasions this season.

Lachie Neale 25+ Disposals
Christian Petracca 25+ Disposals
Christian Petracca Any Time Goal Scorer



2021 Rugby Union: Australia v South Africa Game 2 Betting Tips

There’s nothing like upsetting the World Cup champions to restore some positive vibes around the Wallabies. After a good Wallabies win, they will square off against the Spring Bok in Game 2 from 5.05pm on Saturday night! Check out our preview and betting tips for Jim Tucker here read more

Horse Racing Tips: Saturday, September 18th

It’s high-quality Group 1 racing around the country today with meetings at Randwick, Gold Coast and Caulfield. We’ll see Verry Elleegant tackle the George Main Stakes while Caulfield hosts the Sir Rupert Clarke Stakes. read more

2021 NRL Semi Final: Panthers vs Eels Preview & Betting Tips

The 2nd semi final of the week in the NRL will see the Penrith Panthers square off against the Parramatta Eels from BB Print Stadium on Saturday night! As always, Scooby has you covered with a full preview and betting tips for the clash here read more

UFC Fight Night: Smith vs Spann Betting Tips

The Apex Center in Las Vegas, Nevada plays host to this weekend’s UFC Fight Night card. Headlining the card is Anthony Smith and Ryan Spann and as always, we have you covered with our best bets for the card from Ben Talintyre here! read more


Best Australian Sports Betting Apps

What are the best Australian sports betting apps? Punters love the convenience of betting on mobile, so we thought we'd look at the best sports betting apps available today, to help you choose the best sports betting site for your iOS or Android mobile device. We highlight our top five Australian sports betting apps based on the usability and features of their app, as well as key mobile app features from all of our partnered sports betting sites. read more

Best Australian Sports Betting Sites

The best Australian sports betting sites ensure safe and successful online betting for punters. Here's our list of the best sports betting options in Australia. read more

Performance Ratings & Pricing with Julian Vallance with Sportsbet

Julian Vallance from Sportsbet takes us through some of the key factors which he uses with pricing upcoming horse races such as performance ratings. Check out his video from Sportsbet here. read more

What is Over-Round and How do Sportsbooks Make Money?

Over-Round is an important concept for both punters and sportsbooks. It's how Australian sportsbooks make money! All punters should understand over-round, how to spot it, and how to find better value on the Betfair Exchange. read more


2021 AFL Brownlow Medal: Team Voting

The Brownlow Team Votes markets are one of the first to be released across the major sports betting sites, and there's some early value around for sharp punters. Don't bother paying for Brownlow tip packages when we have all the information you need for free! read more

2021 AFL Brownlow Medal: Round Voting

We dive into the 2021 Brownlow Medal count with and an overview of round voting throughout the evening to look at the way the count may unfold. We also look at some of the popular betting markets such as who polled in the most games and who will collect the most 3 votes. read more

2021 AFL Brownlow Medal Votes Round 23

Round 23 was an absolute classic round with several dramatic matches and some amazing results. The main Brownlow focus was Friday night's game where the two Brownlow favourites in Ollie Wines and Marcus Bontempelli went head to head! Check out our Round 23 Brownlow vote predictions here! read more

2021 AFL Brownlow Medal Votes Round 22

Many of our Brownlow contenders missed out in Round 22 action, which means we may be heading for Brownlow showdown between Ollie Wines and Marcus Bontempelli as they clash next week! Check out where our votes went with our AFL Round 22 Brownlow vote predictions! read more

TAB Brownlow