Round 5 of the 2019 Super Rugby season starts this Friday and we have you covered with our Super Rugby betting tips for every match.
Round 5 begins in Waikato with the desperate 0-4 Chiefs up against the 3-1 Hurricanes. It's not quite season over for the home side but it's getting close with the way they're playing, especially defensively. They've already conceded 50+ points in 2 losses and comfortably rank last in Super Rugby for points allowed (42.8). While for the Hurricanes, they escaped with a victory against the Highlanders last week thanks to a late penalty goal. They don't have a great record at this venue with 5 straight losses since 2012. So I'll give the Chiefs a chance here. They surely can't play any worse and should stand up on their home turf.
The Brumbies and Waratahs reignite their rivalry on Friday night in Canberra. ACT won't be happy after letting a 19-3 halftime lead slip last week against the Rebels as they lost by 3 points in the end. The Waratahs took care of the Reds last round, 28-17 at the SCG. In last season's series, interestingly both sides recorded a victory as the away side. But it's hard to forget the Brumbies last home game where they absolutely dominated the Chiefs 54-17. It's difficult to see the Waratahs producing that kind of defensive effort so this looks like a close battle in Canberra. The last meeting at this venue saw a 24-17 scoreline and the either team to win by under 8.5 points seems good value.
Over in South Africa, the 2-1 Stormers will face the 2-2 Jaguares in Cape Town. The home side will be fresh from the bye and they're returning from 2 close victories over the Lions and Sharks. At this venue, they've been a tough opponent as they've won 13 of their last 17 home games. The Jaguares kicked off their road trip with a high scoring, 47-39 defeat in Jo-Burg. But the scoreline didn't really reflect the Lions dominance. So looking at the Stormers home form, it's hard to go past them. They've also won the only 2 meetings at this venue against the Jaguares and the HT/FT bet has saluted in both as well.
Saturday afternoon Rugby begins in Japan as the Sunwolves host the Reds. Both sides are at the bottom of the Australian Conference so a win would be nice. The Japanese side is back at home after finally ending a long away losing streak in NZ. The Reds are 0-3 but they have been competitive against the Tahs, Crusaders and Highlanders. The last time they played in Japan will be on their minds as the Sunwolves ran riot in a 63-28 victory. The Reds did get revenge in the last meeting, winning 48-27. In the end, this is a tough game to bet on because the Sunwolves don't have a great home record in day games and the Reds struggle in road games.
In Dunedin, the Highlanders will face the Crusaders in a NZ rivalry matchup. Games involving the Highlanders this season have all been exciting so they'll be hoping that trend continues against the Crusaders. Nothing much has changed in 2019 as the Crusaders have opened the season with 4 straight wins and a thumping 57-28 home victory over the Chiefs last week. At this venue, the Highlanders do have a 2-1 record against them and the defeat was by 3 points. So I can see the Highlanders playing a close affair on their home turf. The average margin in their games this season is just 4 points and they have won 14 of their last 17 home games.
The Rebels put their undefeated record on the line when they take on the Lions in South Africa on Sunday morning. Last week, they stunned the Brumbies in the second half on their way to a 29-26 victory, which earned them a 3-0 start in season 2019. But they're yet to beat the Lions in the 4 Super Rugby meetings thus far. The home side rebounded last week with a 47-39 win over the Jaguares. The victory halted a 2 game losing streak and a previous 30-12 loss at home. For the Rebels, they will look to keep this close in the first half and attack the Lions in the latter stages. They've been beaten in the second half of both home games this season and that should give the Rebels confidence. Especially after they ran over the Brumbies in last week's second half. They look an improved side with Quade Cooper in-form and the likes of Will Genia. So in a close battle, look for the Rebels to get within 8.5 points.
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