Round 12 of the 2019 Super Rugby season starts this Friday and we have you covered with our Super Rugby betting tips for every match.
Round 12 begins at AMI Stadium with the 8-1-1 Crusaders taking on the 5-5 Sharks. The home side is after their 5th straight win on the trot and they'll be coming off a 36-10 thrashing of the Lions at this venue. They will be without a few of their best players as the likes of Sam Whitelock, Richie Mo’unga, David Havili and Ryan Crotty are all rested for this one. However, their system and depth is something to behold in this competition. The Sharks started their road trip with a good 23-15 win over the Waratahs but with just 2 wins in their last 5, I can't see them causing an upset. They lost 40-10 in their last matchup here and hold a 1-5 SU record since 2010. Similarly to last week, the Crusaders are huge favourites at the line and it's just too high for a safe bet.
On Friday night, the Reds and Sunwolves meet for the second time in 2019. In the earlier meeting, the Reds stormed home in Japan to win 34-31. For the home side, they'll be fresh from the bye and come off an impressive 21-14 victory over the Sharks in Durban. With a 4-5 record, this is a very crucial home game for the Reds if they're looking to reach the top 8 in Super Rugby. For the Sunwolves, their defensive woes returned in Round 11 as the Highlanders put up 52 points while keeping the Japanese side scoreless. They travelled to Suncorp in 2018 and were well beaten 48-27. So in a must-win game for the QLD Reds, they should take advantage of the Sunwolves mediocre defence with a comfortable win against the line.
Westpac Stadium features an intriguing matchup between the 7-2-1 Hurricanes and the 5-4 Rebels. Last week, the Hurricanes ran riot against the Chiefs at home in a 47-19 crushing win. Meanwhile, the Rebels are back from the bye and they'll be desperate to end a 2 game losing streak. However, their record against the Hurricanes is not pretty. Last year in Melbourne, the New Zealanders cruised to a 50-19 victory. In the last meeting at this venue, the Hurricanes absolutely smashed them 71-6. In the 7 meetings since 2010, the Hurricanes are 6-1 ATS and they have won 13 of their last 14 home games. Melbourne aren't a great travelling team and they'll likely struggle to keep up with the home side here.
It's an all New Zealand affair in this matchup as the 4-5-1 Highlanders face the 3-6-1 Chiefs. Both sides are coming off contrasting results from last week. In Japan, the Highlanders smashed the Sunwolves 52-0 and the Chiefs couldn't stop the Hurricanes in a 28 point defeat. Hopefully, we see a repeat of the Round 1 encounter when the Highlanders rallied to beat the home side 30-27. But at the moment, the Chiefs are battling injuries and it's hard to see their defence stopping the Highlanders. Overall, the Chiefs are 14th in Super Rugby for points allowed and now face the Highlanders after scoring 52 points. With the Highlanders in 8th spot, this is a key home game for them to bridge the gap and maybe earn a home final. They've covered in 8 of the last 11 against the Chiefs and hold a 9-2 SU record at home in their last 11.
GIO Stadium hosts the 4-6 Brumbies on Saturday night as they face the 4-5 Blues. Each side is just outside the top 8 so this should be a close affair between two desperate teams. For the Brumbies, they'll be fairly pleased with a 1-1 record from a trip to South Africa and Argentina. Meanwhile, the Blues are looking to get back on track after 2 straight defeats against NZ rivals. This is the first meeting between the Brumbies and Blues since 2017 and from 2010 onwards, the Blues hold a 5-2 SU advantage. However, Canberra are proving to be a tough home team in 2019 with 3 wins on the trot. So this shapes as a fairly low scoring contest between similar teams, which is reflected in the odds.
The Waratahs begin their road trip to South Africa with an expected tough battle against the Bulls. NSW are looking to rebound after a disappointing home loss to the Sharks, 23-15. They've lost 3 of 4 coming into this trip so it's not an ideal time to be struggling. The Bulls are going to be fired up on their home turf after just losing to the Stormers 24-23 last week. They've comfortably beaten the Waratahs in the 3 home meetings since 2010 with an average winning margin of 9 points. When they're coming off a loss and playing at home the next week, they have a 65% chance of covering the line. That should be increased with the Waratahs in fairly poor form.
On Sunday morning, this should be an interesting clash between the 5-4 Jaguares and 5-5 Stormers. The Stormers smashed them 35-9 in South Africa during their first meeting so the Argentian side will be out for revenge. They held on for an important 20-15 home win over the Brumbies last week and hold a 3-1 home record in their last 4. Meanwhile, the Stormers beat the Bulls at home last week 24-23. They were impressive in their last away game, beating the Rebels 41-24 and they do hold a 4-1 SU record against the Jaguares. This shapes as a close contest and I like either team to win by under 8.5 points. This bet is 3-0 in the Jaguares last 3 home games and 2-0 in the Stormers last 2 coming into this clash.
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