Round 11 of the 2019 Super Rugby season starts this Friday with the Crusaders taking on the Lions in a Grand Final rematch! We have you covered with our Super Rugby betting tips for every match for Round 11 below:
The Grand Final rematch of the last two Super Rugby seasons headlines the start of Round 11. Since the 37-18 GF win over the Lions, the Crusaders are again the best side in Super Rugby at 7-1-1. Meanwhile, the Lions have been fairly inconsistent in 2019 with a 5-4 record. Last week, they rebounded from two disappointing losses with a close 23-17 away win against the Chiefs. The line on offer for this matchup is currently massively in the Crusaders favour as the closest margin at AMI Stadium in 2019 is 16 points. However, the good news for the Lions will see the Crusaders resting a few of their starters, including top try-scorer Will Jordan. So after last week's 6 point road win, the Lions should be able to keep this one close. In night games on the road, they have a 71% chance of covering the line since 2010 (40-16-1) so it's worth taking on the huge line.
Super Rugby action returns to Tokyo as the Sunwolves clash with the Highlanders. The Sunwolves looked like upsetting the Hurricanes last week at this venue but fell away in the second half to lose 29-23. Meanwhile, the Highlanders stopped a 4-game losing streak as they beat the Blues 24-12 in Dunedin. This is their first trip to Japan and they'll be without Ben Smith for the occasion. Despite an 0-3 record at Chichibunomiya Rugby Stadium in 2019, the Sunwolves are proving to be a tough opponent as all 3 games have been decided by under 7 points. So with the Highlanders struggling in away games at 1-4 on the season, the Sunwolves should be able to keep this one close once again.
Westpac Stadium in Wellington will host the 6-2-1 Hurricanes as they face the 3-5-1 Chiefs. The first encounter of 2019 saw a classic finish as both sides couldn't be separated in a 23-23 draw. Coming into this home game, the Hurricanes survived in both of their road games and now hold the 2nd best record in Super Rugby. The Chiefs couldn't get past the Lions last week and injuries are starting to mount up. However, the trend when these two sides meet is close contests and this should be no different. As mentioned, they drew in mid-March and the last meeting at this venue just went to the Hurricanes 32-31. Overall, the either team to win by under 12.5 points is 6-0 in the last 6 meetings at any venue.
After the Parramatta Eels opened Bankwest Stadium with a 51-6 victory, the Waratahs will look for a similar result as they tackle the Sharks on Saturday night. Against the odds last week and facing a 20-7 half-time deficit, Bernard Foley came to the rescue as the Waratahs stormed home to beat the Rebels 23-20. It was a huge win that moves NSW to 4-4 on the season. The Sharks start their road trip on the back of 2 home losses and with a 4-5 record, this is a crucial road game for their season. In the head to head, the two sides played in a 24-24 draw last season and this figures to be another close type of contest. Both sides are scoring around the same points per game and the Sharks are only slightly better defensively in terms of points against. All in all, this should be close.
In this clash, it'll be a South African derby matchup as the Stormers host the Bulls at DHL Newlands. The Stormers will be out for revenge after a 40-3 crushing loss in the Round 1 meeting. At the moment, the Stormers form is patchy at best. They were upset by the Brumbies on their home turf last week and it was a disappointing result after smashing the Rebels 41-24 in Melbourne. On the flip side, the Bulls had the bye last week and have a decent 3-2 record in their last 5, which includes a 19-16 away win over the Sharks. However, the Stormers hold an impressive 7-1 SU record against the Bulls at DHL Newlands since 2010. So considering their home advantage in this Derby, take the Stormers straight up.
Round 11 concludes with a crucial matchup between the 4-4 Jaguares and 4-5 Brumbies. Both sides are just sitting outside of the top 8 so a win could move them into prime finals position. The home side were impressive in their last outing, downing the Sharks 51-17 in South Africa. They'll return from the bye for this clash and will aim for a 3rd straight win. The Brumbies also look for their 3rd win on the trot after victories over the Stormers in South Africa and the Lions at home 31-20. In the only 2 Super Rugby meetings, the Jaguares won 25-20 in Canberra and the Brumbies smashed them 39-15 in 2017 at this venue. So if the Brumbies bring the same defensive effort as last week, they should be able to get within the line or cause another upset. The Jaguares are just 6-15 ATS in home night games and they've been average at home in 2019 with a 2-2 record.
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