2019 State of Origin: Game 3 Betting Tips

July 8th 2019, 10:25am, By: matta91

Wednesday night features a high-stakes Game 3 decider and this is what State of Origin is all about! NSW and QLD will battle to claim the 2019 series after two contrasting games thus far in the series. After dropping Game 1 at Suncorp Stadium 18-14, the Blues roared back into the series with a clinical display in Perth, smashing the Maroons 38-6. As a result, the money is clearly with the home side as they look to continue the momentum at ANZ Stadium on Wednesday night. But don't write off the Maroons just yet as they'll enjoy the underdog tag once again.

State of Origin Game 3 Betting Tips

Wednesday 10th July, 8.10pm (AEST), ANZ Stadium

Following the Blues impressive Game 2 victory, they've stuck with the same team with the only changes coming from injury/suspension. Nathan Cleary suffered an ankle injury midway through Game 2 and will be replaced by the Origin experienced Mitchell Pearce. Pearce's Origin record is not great but to be fair, he was facing up against arguably the greatest QLD side in history with the likes of Smith, Thurston, Cronk, Slater and Inglis. He's currently one of the best options at halfback and should enjoy a better showing this time around. The other change will see David Klemmer return from injury in place of Tariq Sims. Klemmer will come off the bench and he'll be a force before half-time - the most likely time that Fittler will get him on the field. He dominated the Maroons in Game 1 so he's a big in for the home side. The other talking point after Game 2 was the brilliant team changes by Freddy Fittler. He took the risk of playing Tom Trbojevic and Jack Wighton out of position in the centres, which worked wonders. Trbojevic finished with a hat-trick and Wighton made up for his intercept in Game 1 with a solid showing. James Maloney was also a great in, he's named at five-eighth but he'll be directing most of the attacking plays. The bench is also looking more improved, especially with Wade Graham who filled in for the injured Cleary in Game 2.

Game 2 was basically a night to forget for the Maroons and they have a number of concerns coming into this crucial Game 3 matchup. Ponga is out with injury and that will see Cameron Munster move into the fullback position. He is comfortable with the #1 on his back considering he started his career at fullback for the Storm when Slater was missing from the lineup. In Munster's place at five-eighth will be Corey Norman. He's had an injury-interrupted season but when he's been on the field for the Dragons, he's proved to be a match-winner. The forward pack will also undergo some changes with Napa and Wallace both casualties of the Game 2 loss. Christian Welch gets his opportunity off the bench and it just adds to the number of Craig Bellamy forwards that have played in this arena recently. Brisbane enforcer Joe Ofahengaue is back for this clash and he'll start at #8. The Queenslanders may be forced into a late change if Matt Gillett can't overcome a broken nose. They selected Napa with a broken wrist in Game 2 and that failed miserably. So they'll hopefully learn from that decision.

The advantage is well with the Blues in Game 3 and that's reflected in the betting odds. They have the momentum after thrashing the Maroons in Perth and now head home to wrap up series in-front of their home faithful at ANZ Stadium. However, Origin games at ANZ have a trend of finishing with a very close margin so in a high stakes Game 3 matchup, we can't see any difference. Last year, the Blues got home 18-14 and that made it 7 straight Origin games at ANZ that have been decided by 4 points or less. The Under also has a great record at 9-3 since 2010. So this Game 3 figures to be a close and low scoring affair. The Maroons will hopefully make some defensive adjustments after allowing 38 points last time out and that will keep them in this contest. In the end, the either team by under 10 or less at Sportsbet looks to be the best play based on the previous results at ANZ Stadium.


 

TIPS

Esports Betting Tips: Monday, May 25th

Plenty of great esports action to enjoy this Monday night and into Tuesday morning inlcuding big matchups in the CS:GO DreamHack Masters and DOTA2 ESL One Birmingham! See our best bets for the night here. read more

Horse Racing Tips: Monday, May 25th

There's three meetings across Australia on Monday, with Albury and Taree hosting seven races apiece, while Echuca has a nine-race program. Luke Krahe has picked out his best bets from all three tracks here. read more

Sha Tin Racing Tips: Sunday, May 24th

It's a Group 1 race day in Hong Kong with the Standard Chartered Chater Cup over 2400m headlining the monster 11-race card. The Group 1 comes up in Race 8. Check out our preview and betting tips for the Sha Tin meeting here! read more

Esports Betting Tips: Sunday, May 24th

There's plenty of great esports action coming our way as we bring you our best esports betting tips for Sunday night and into Monday morning Australian time from ESL One Birmingham and DreamHack Masters Spring 2020. read more

ARTICLES

What is Over-Round and How do Sportsbooks Make Money?

Over-Round is an important concept for both punters and sportsbooks. It's how Australian sportsbooks make money! All punters should understand over-round, how to spot it, and how to find better value on the Betfair Exchange. read more


Betfair Commissions and Charges

Ever wondered why you can get such great odds at Betfair in comparison to other online bookmakers? We break down why that is the case and why Betfair isn't just for professional punters here read more


What is Lay Betting?

Lay betting is when you’re betting against an event to occur. You’re betting that a horse won’t win a race, a team won’t win a match or your player will lose to their opponent. Find out more about lay betting at Betfair right here. read more


Understanding the Betfair Exchange

Learn the importance of the Betfair exchange for both recreational and professional punters. In this article we take a closer look at how Betfair works and why it often offers a superior product to the traditional online sports betting operators. read more


BLOGS

Updated 2020 AFL Fixture

The AFL season is set to make its long awaited return from the COVID-19 pandemic! We have the updated and revamped schedule from Rounds 2-5 here! read more


2020 NRL Draw

The NRL have announced the full fixture for the remainder of the 2020 NRL season with games set to recommence on Thursday, May 28th. We have the full 2020 NRL Draw for you here. read more


2020 NFL Schedule

The National Football League (NFL) have announced their 2020 NFL schedule with the action kicking off on September 10th. Check out the full NFL schedule here. read more


BetEasy to Close, Merger with Sportsbet to Proceed

Sportsbet and BetEasy will operate under the one brand after it was reported in The Australian on Tuesday that BetEasy operations are set to close. read more


Picklebet

Palmerbet