Plenty of NRL action to keep us busy over the Easter weekend! Matta91 is back to preview all eight games over the weekend and give his betting tips here! The round gets underway Thursday night with teh Sharks taking on the Panthers.
Round 6 begins at PointsBet Stadium with the 2-3 Sharks taking on the 2-3 Panthers. This shapes as a close contest with both sides in fairly poor form. The Sharks couldn't stop the Roosters last week and fell to their 2nd straight loss. Penrith's inconsistent start to 2019 continued as they lost 30-24 on the Gold Coast. In this matchup, the Sharks hold a 4-0 home record against the Panthers but the average winning margin is just 2.75 points! Penrith are really having problems scoring points as sit at the bottom of the NRL and the Sharks aren't setting the world on fire either.
The traditional rivalry between the Bulldogs and Rabbitohs continues this Friday. Souths are looking to consolidate their top 4 position after a 4-1 start. Meanwhile, the Bulldogs are sitting at the bottom of the ladder and need to start winning now. But they were blown away by the Dragons 40-4 last Sunday and face a short turnaround against Souths. While the Rabbitohs should win this, the Under is showing an interesting trend in day games between these sides. It's 6-1 since 2013 and the Rabbitohs are 9-1 against the Under in day games as an away favourite.
Friday night football won't get much better than Round 6 as the 5-0 Melbourne Storm host the 4-1 Roosters in a mouthwatering clash. With both sides atop the ladder, this should be one of the closest games of the Round. Melbourne should be keen to rebound from the 21-6 Grand Final loss and it'll be interesting to see how the AAMI Park crowd get behind Cooper Cronk. While the Storm are undefeated, they have struggled to put away the Bulldogs and Cowboys in recent weeks. Meanwhile, Sydney are on fire in attack as they've scored 28 points per game with their always dangerous playmakers. However, they meet a Storm defence that is allowing just 10 ppg and Craig Bellamy will have them extra motivated to stop the Roosters here. In recent regular-season meetings, the last 3 clashes average a total winning margin of 5 points, with 2 games decided by a field goal. The odds can't separate them so the either team bet is worth a play.
Mt Smart features the 2-3 Warriors up against the 1-4 Cowboys on Super Saturday. New Zealand have been dominant at this venue in 2019 with 2 impressive wins and in fact, their only victories have come at Mt Smart. Which includes a 40-6 win over the Bulldogs and a 26-10 win over the Titans. The Cowboys are a fairly similar opponent as they're struggling at the moment. They've lost 3 straight in North Qld and went down 29-10 in their only away fixture of 2019. While the Warriors should win this comfortably, the Unders trend is looking the best bet. In night games at Mt Smart, the Warriors are 8-2 against the Under and it’s also 4-2 record when the Cowboys play here.
Super Saturday concludes at WIN Stadium with the 3-2 Dragons taking on the 3-2 Sea Eagles. Interestingly, both sides started the season 0-2 but have turned things around quickly. St. George looked back to their best last week with a 40-4 win over the Bulldogs. Manly got the job done against the Knights 26-18 in Newcastle. While the Sea Eagles don't have a great recent record against the Dragons (0-3 SU), they are showing better signs defensively in 2019, mainly thanks to Des Hasler. They also enjoy the underdog tag having covered the line in 9 of their last 12. This should be a close game with 2 of the last 3 games involving Dragons ending in a field goal margin.
On Sunday afternoon, CBus Super Stadium features two sides with a 1-4 record and a win will be crucial. The home side broke their duck last week with a close 30-24 win over the Panthers. Scoring points has been a major problem in 2019 so putting up 30 points was a pleasing sign. Since the Knights Round 1 victory, they've now lost 4 in a row and also struggle to put points on the board. At this venue against the Knights, the Titans are 3-0 SU but at the moment, these two sides are hard to read and this will be a no bet.
GIO Stadium hosts the red-hot 4-1 Raiders against the ice-cold 1-4 Broncos. Canberra's impressive start to the season continued last week as they shutout the Eels at this venue 19-0. In 5 games, they've shutout two sides already and no other team has achieved this feat once. Overall, the Raiders are allowing just 8 points per game. Brisbane comes to Canberra with a number of issues and it's hard to see their struggling attack improving against the Raiders. They do hold a 3-0 SU record at this venue. However, the trend at GIO Stadium is the Unders as it's gone 3-0 in all 3 games here this season. It's also 6-3 in day games since 2017.
Easter Monday is an extra special occasion as the new Parramatta Stadium sees its first NRL action. This is an important clash with both sides sitting in the bottom half of the top eight at 3-2. Parramatta will be looking to rebound from a 19-0 loss in Canberra last week. Wests have enjoyed a long break since beating the Broncos 22-16 at Suncorp last Thursday. In the last 4 meetings, either team has won this matchup by under 10 points so with the new stadium in play, this should be another close affair. Wests are the 3rd best defensive team in the league and should be fresh from a break. They'll also face an Eels side that couldn't find points last week. But Parramatta should improve as they look to start 1-0 at this venue.
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