2019 NRL: Round 16 Preview & Betting Tips

July 3rd 2019, 5:26pm, By: matta91

Just the four games in the NRL this weekend due to the deciding match in the State of Origin series being scheduled for next Wednesday night! We have a full preview and betting tips for all four games over the four days, kicking off Thursday night with St. George hosting the Storm and finishing up on Sunday with the Sharks vs Broncos. 

NRL Round 16 Betting Tips

St George Dragons vs Melbourne Storm (Thursday, Jul 4 7:50pm)

The NRL action begins this Thursday as the Storm travel to WIN Stadium in search of their 7th straight victory. Melbourne come off a tough win over the Roosters last weekend and despite the Origin period, they'll still carry a strong lineup for this clash. The general Cameron Smith is still on the park and he'll lead a formidable forward pack. They will miss Munster at five-eighth, but Billy Walters get his chance and the explosive Ryan Papenhuyzen will come off the bench. For the Dragons, this will likely be a tough night as they miss Hunt, Norman, Vaughan, Sims and Frizell. Most of those names were the key in their victory over the Cowboys last week so they'll need to rely on their depth in this one. The betting stats do heavily favour the Storm here as the favourite side is 11-0 at WIN Stadium and Melbourne also hold a 9-4 SU record against St. George. So you would figure Melbourne should win easily but the best bet looks to be the Under. It's 12-3 in the Storm's last 15 away games and they've allowed just 12.1 points per game in 2019. As they showed last week by keeping the Roosters dynamic lineup to 12 points, it's hard to see a Dragons side without Norman/Hunt scoring over 12 points. While for the Storm, no Munster or Addo-Carr sees them a lot weaker in attack, which should limit their scoring potential.


Wests Tigers vs Sydney Roosters (Friday, Jul 5 7:55pm)

Bankwest Stadium plays host to Friday night football as the 9-5 Sydney Roosters take on the 7-7 Wests Tigers. The Roosters will be without Tedesco, Cordner and Taykeiaho. However, the return of Luke Keary is a positive and the fact that Mitchell won't be lining up for NSW next Wednesday. Their record against Wests is one of the most dominant head to head records in recent times as they've won 16 of the last 18 meetings. So Wests will need to be on their game, especially early on. The Tigers sit 9th on the ladder and they should be at least confident after beating Souths here last week, 14-9. So hopefully they can contain the Roosters lineup. Sydney were held in-check by the Storm last week and obviously, the Tigers don't have the same defensive record. But their last defensive performance is a good sign. So the Under does look the best bet here as well. The Tigers are 6-0 (1 draw) against the Under in their last 7 games as a home underdog and when they play the Roosters, the Under is 5-3 at any venue since 2015.


Newcastle Knights vs New Zealand Warriors (Saturday, Jul 6 7:35pm)

With Newcastle missing three of their most important players in Pearce, Ponga and Klemmer, the Warriors will take rare favouristim in the odds as they travel to Newcastle. But the question is whether you can trust the Warriors, which they are known for letdowns! Last week, they were involved in an 19-18 loss against the Panthers, which involved a number of "interesting" referee calls. They've lost 3 of their last 4 coming into this clash and their 2-4 away record in 2019 doesn't fill us with confidence. The Knights are playing well at home with 3 straight comfortable wins over the Broncos, Roosters and Eels. Obviously, they'll be playing with a weaker lineup this time but the Warriors defence can be a worry. They gave up 36 points in the earlier meeting against Newcastle at Mt Smart in a 36-18 scoreline. So the value looks to be with both sides reaching 13+ points, which is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings.


Cronulla Sharks vs Brisbane Broncos (Sunday, Jul 7 4:05pm)

It's fair to say Cronulla were awful last week in a 14-12 defeat against the Bulldogs so they should be motivated to make amends against the Broncos this week. Looking at the team lineups, this should be a comfortable win for the Sharks as the Baby Broncos return. They'll be without Milford, Oates, Fifita, Ofahengaue, Gillett and Kennar. Which sees a number of starting lineup chances, such as Turpin to five-eighth after the Darius Boyd experiment failed last week. There's an interesting trend with the Broncos though, they simply love playing the Sharks! At this venue, they've won 5 of the last 6 meetings since 2010 and they've also won the last 5 at any venue. So they do offer a bit of value at the line. But in the end, they're missing so much talent that this matchup should be low scoring. The Sharks haven't been overly great attacking wise lately and the Under does have a positive record when the Broncos play them (3-2 since 2017).


 

TIPS

Sale Racing Tips: Wednesday, May 27th

Midweek racing in Victoria takes place at Sale this Wednesday, with an eight-race card on what is likely to be a wet track. A couple of boom horses add a little bit of spice to the program, and after a solid start with the team, Trent Crebbin continues his analysis of the Victorian metro racing here! read more

Esports Betting Tips: Tuesday, May 26th

Another great night of esports betting to look forward to this Tuesday night and into Wednesday morning! The DOTA2 ESL One Birmingham takes centre stage tonight and we have a full preview and betting tips for the key matchups here read more

Horse Racing Tips: Tuesday, May 26th

There's four race meetings in Australia on Tuesday, with Victorian racing taking place at Hamilton, and Newcastle hosting New South Wales' main meeting. Luke Krahe's best bets for the day are here! read more

Esports Betting Tips: Monday, May 25th

Plenty of great esports action to enjoy this Monday night and into Tuesday morning inlcuding big matchups in the CS:GO DreamHack Masters and DOTA2 ESL One Birmingham! See our best bets for the night here. read more

ARTICLES

What is Over-Round and How do Sportsbooks Make Money?

Over-Round is an important concept for both punters and sportsbooks. It's how Australian sportsbooks make money! All punters should understand over-round, how to spot it, and how to find better value on the Betfair Exchange. read more


Betfair Commissions and Charges

Ever wondered why you can get such great odds at Betfair in comparison to other online bookmakers? We break down why that is the case and why Betfair isn't just for professional punters here read more


What is Lay Betting?

Lay betting is when you’re betting against an event to occur. You’re betting that a horse won’t win a race, a team won’t win a match or your player will lose to their opponent. Find out more about lay betting at Betfair right here. read more


Understanding the Betfair Exchange

Learn the importance of the Betfair exchange for both recreational and professional punters. In this article we take a closer look at how Betfair works and why it often offers a superior product to the traditional online sports betting operators. read more


BLOGS

Updated 2020 AFL Fixture

The AFL season is set to make its long awaited return from the COVID-19 pandemic! We have the updated and revamped schedule from Rounds 2-5 here! read more


2020 NRL Draw

The NRL have announced the full fixture for the remainder of the 2020 NRL season with games set to recommence on Thursday, May 28th. We have the full 2020 NRL Draw for you here. read more


2020 NFL Schedule

The National Football League (NFL) have announced their 2020 NFL schedule with the action kicking off on September 10th. Check out the full NFL schedule here. read more


BetEasy to Close, Merger with Sportsbet to Proceed

Sportsbet and BetEasy will operate under the one brand after it was reported in The Australian on Tuesday that BetEasy operations are set to close. read more


Picklebet

Palmerbet