We’ve got another Super Saturday on our hands for AFL Round 18 with five matches on the slate. The race for the top eight couldn’t be much tighter, which makes just about every game a vital one. As always, we preview each match and provide our best bet. Check them out below and good luck to everyone following!
Don’t forget, AFL Saturday will be our focus today, but you can head to our AFL Tips Page for a bunch of content for Round 18 in the AFL including preview and tips for EVERY GAME.
AFL Round 18 Saturday Betting Tips
Richmond Tigers vs Port Adelaide Power (1:45pm, MCG)
The Tigers have found their best form at the right time and were too good for an undermanned Giants outfit last weekend. The Tigers have now won three on the spin and find themselves knocking on the door of the top eight. They’ll be aided by playing each of their remaining games at the MCG, which is by fair their best surface.
Being a Power fan is a tough gig at the moment. They put in a fantastic performance on week, then embarrass themselves the next. It was the latter last weekend when they were blown out of the water by a hungry Lions outfit. Their 48-point loss has left them in ninth spot on the ladder with a tough run of games coming up.
Anything other than a Richmond win would be a huge surprise here. They upset Port Adelaide earlier in the season and will only be better off at their home deck this time around. We’ll be taking them to cover the four-goal spread at home.
Richmond Tigers -25.5
$1.91
Carlton Blues vs Gold Coast Suns (2:10pm, Marvel)
The Blues were impressive last weekend in Sydney where they beat the Swans by seven points. They controlled the match from start to finish and were able to repel any sort of momentum the Swans gathered. Impressively, that’s now three wins from five matches under David Teague, with a great chance to make it four from six this weekend.
The Suns were competitive for some many weeks without any results and now it looks like it’s gotten to them. They had two 90+ point blowouts in the last two rounds and look to have completely lost their fighting spirit. With just three wins on the season, where to now for the Suns?
It’s amazing that the Blues are going into a match as five goal favourites. The form of both the Blues and the Suns probably warrants that, but we aren’t prepared to back them in to cover, nor are we prepared to play any Suns markets. Instead, we’ll be taking the unders on the total points, which seems far too high considering the lack of firepower both teams have. The highest score the Suns have kicked all season in 84, while the Blues have only had 5x 80+ games.
Total Points Under 160.5
$1.88
GWS Giants vs Collingwood Magpies (4:35pm, GS)
The Giants are going through a rough patch at the moment and injuries are only making it worse. Last weekend it was the Tigers who got the better of them by 27 points in a fairly straight forward match. Star midfielder Stephen Coniglio went down with a knee injury just minutes into the clash and has been ruled out for the season. Replacing him in the midfield for the remainder of the game was Toby Greene, who finished with 34 touches and two goals.
The Magpies recorded one of their best wins in the Buckley era last weekend. They came from behind away from home against the reigning premiers to record a one-point win to keep their top four hopes well and truly alive. Adam Treloar was sensational with 39 disposals, while Brody Mihocek was probably best on ground with his 19 disposals and four goals.
The Giants are now in very real danger of slipping out of the finals completely if they can’t turn their form around. They’ve lost four of their last five and won’t find it any easier against an inspired Magpie outfit on Saturday. With all their injury and form struggles, we don’t see how GWS beat Collingwood.
Collingwood Magpies Win
$1.95
Brisbane Lions vs North Melbourne Kangaroos (7:25pm, GABBA)
What a year it’s been for the mighty Lions. They’ve gone from being a bottom four side in 2018 to looking likely to snag a top four spot in 2019. Last weekend it was the Power whom they got the better of, defeating them in Adelaide by a whopping 48n points. Impressively, that was the Lions third away win in a row. They’re now in third spot on the ladder with a few favourable matches to come.
North Melbourne’s finals hopes got that little bit smaller last weekend when they lost a heartbreaker to the Bombers. They showed plenty of the fight we’ve seen from them in the weeks prior but were unable to come away with the valuable four points. The Kangaroos are now two games plus percentage outside the eight, which looks a little too big a mountain to climb with just six matches remaining.
The Lions have won four on the spin and don’t look like slowing down anytime soon. They’ve been a force on their home deck all season and should be far too strong for North. Happy to take the Lions to cover a three-goal spread.
Brisbane Lions -17.5
$1.91
Fremantle Dockers vs Sydney Swans (8:10pm, OS)
The Dockers finals hopes are now hanging by a thread thanks to four consecutive losses. Once 7-5 on the season and looking likely to feature in September, the now 7-9 Dockers are look a shell of the team we saw earlier in the season. To make matters worse, superstar Nat Fyfe has been ruled out of this clash with the Swans through injury.
Much like Fremantle, the Swans seasons looks to have slipped away from them due to some poor losses in recent weeks. Last weekend the Swans were expected to make light work of the Blues in Sydney, but instead they lost by seven points in a really poor performance. The Swans are now 6-10 for the year and sit in 14thspot on the ladder.
Not a very interesting match on paper, and we don’t expect it be too exciting on the field either. Both teams play a defensive brand and will likely play out a very low scoring contest. Take the unders.
Total Points Under 148.5
$1.88
Saturday AFL Multi
Richmond vs Port Adelaide (Richmond Win) = $1.25
Carlton vs Gold Coast (Under 170.5 Points) = $1.33
GWS vs Collingwood (Collingwood +12.5) = $1.45
Brisbane vs North Melbourne (Brisbane Win) = $1.37
Fremantle vs Sydney (Under 155.5 Points) = $1.40
Saturday 5-Leg Multi
$4.62
