2018 Brownlow Medal: Group Betting and Head-to-Head Tips

September 19th 2018, 10:20pm, By: Brownlow Bandit

While it’s always great to pick the winner of the AFL Brownlow Medal, most punters will make their money from other Brownlow betting markets. That’s especially true when we have a $1.60 favourite like we do this season with Hawk Tom Mitchell. The tomato sauce odds are hard to get excited about but there’s still plenty of value to be found on Brownlow Medal night.

We’ve already taken a look at the Team Voting and Leader After Round markets and provided our Brownlow betting tips for those markets, and today we’re going to look at some different group and head-to-head bets.

These markets do tend to come and go on the various Australian sportsbooks. They release markets at different times, and prices are often snapped up quickly. So please keep that in mind if you can’t find the same markets or price available – make sure you shop around!

Make sure you check out our full 2018 Brownlow Medal leaderboard, including analysis and tips for every round of the season!

 

Brownlow Group Betting

Lachie Neale to win Group E at TAB

We like the look of Lachie Neale (15) to win Group E over at the TAB. He’s up against De Goey (10), Cunnington (10.5), Heeney (8.5), Lambert (10) and Tim Kelly (11.5). With Nat Fyfe missing so many games, Lachie Neale is primed to poll well and it’s hard to see one of the challengers in this group over-polling and challenging him.

TIP:  Lachie Neale to win Group E – $2.50 at TAB

 

Take on Danger in Group A at Ladbrokes

We’re going to take on Dangerfield which might be a dangerous move given his previous Brownlow success, but we feel he was down on form this season and if the umpires mark at high standards for him, then we like a couple of others to beat him. On Ladbrokes, Dangerfield (14) is the favourite which is giving us a great price on Brodie Grundy (20.5) and/or Steele Sidebottom (18) who we both have well clear of Danger. Others in the group include Ablett (15), Higgins (14) and Selwood (11). Take either or both at those prices.

TIP:

Brodie Grundy to win Group A
$3.75

BET NOW AT Ladbrokes

Also consider Sidebottom at $5.50

 

Buddy to win Forwards at Neds

Lance Franklin (14.5) is a great horse to back on Brownlow night as he is such an eye-catcher and so influential in games that he often over-polls. Here in this Forwards group, Buddy is up against Brown (8), Breust (6.5), Darling (8.5) and Riewoldt (8) and you’d think he should have their measure.

Note: Unfortunately since writing this article, the price has been crunched. He still looks a winner, but be careful chasing short odds.

 

Brownlow Head-to-head betting markets

Rory Laird (15.5) / Stephen Coniglio (18) vs Joel Selwood (11)

We have Laird as a comfortable winner against Selwood. Laird is a chance to poll up to 6 votes within the first 3 rounds, and is a chance to poll in as many as ten rounds. His possession accumulation helped him to stand out when a lot of Adelaide’s mids were injured.  On the other hand, Selwood didn’t have his best season and has to compete with a plethora of midfield stars for votes. We only have Selwood polling in six games, so happy to take the price on Laird head-to-head.

Another option is to take Stephen Coniglio (18) against Selwood. We do have Coniglio polling a little higher than popular opinion, but there’s still a large gap over Selwood. The only problem is you’re only getting $1.62 at TABTouch.

TIP:

Laird poll more votes vs Selwood
$1.80

BET NOW AT UBET

Or take Coniglio at $1.62 at TABTouch

 

Jaegar O’Meara (11) vs Matt Crouch (7.5)

No doubt Matt Crouch is a ball magnet that is going to catch the eye of umpires, but he missed so many games this season, so I think this is a great spot to take him on. He won’t poll until Round 15, and likely has a maximum of five games where he can find votes. O’Meara is almost the opposite. He’s going to find it hard to get any maximums due to the presence of Brownlow favourite Tom Mitchell, but O’Meara had great consistency this season and could poll in as many as seven games. We have him picking up enough votes to have a gap over Crouch, and when we’re getting an underdog’s price, this is worth a play.

 

TIPS

2018-19 Big Bash League (BBL08): Round 9 Preview & Betting Tips

Round 9 of the BBL08 season gets underway this Thursday night with the Brisbane Heat taking on the Sydney Thunder! We take a look at all four games in the round and give our betting tips here read more

2019 PGA Tour: Desert Classic Preview & Betting Tips

The 2019 PGA Tour returns to the mainland this weekend after a brief stint in Hawaii and all eyes will be on the annual Desert Classic in California. See our preview and tips for the weekend's action here read more

Sandown & Warwick Farm Racing Tips, Wednesday January 16th

Midweek racing this Wednesday, January 16th 2019, comes from Sandown in Melbourne and Warwick Farm in Sydney. Here's our best bets of the day from both racing meets. read more

2018-19 NBA Betting Tips: Tuesday 15th January

There's plenty of NBA games on in a busy Tuesday slate this week. As usual, we preview the best value games of the day and provide our betting tips! read more

ARTICLES

Australian Bookmaker Tennis Retirement Rules

With the Australian tennis season in full swing, we take a look at the variety of different betting terms and conditions surrounding retirements in tennis matches at the major Australian sports betting sites. read more


Streaming Live Sports on Australian Betting Sites

Here's a run down of which Australian sports betting sites offer live streaming action of your favourite sports! read more


Best Australian Sports Betting Sites

The best Australian sports betting sites insures safe and successful online betting for punters as well as offering the best betting options in Australia. read more


How Does Spread Betting Work?

Spread betting has finally made it's way to Australia through new betting agency Pointsbet, we give you a quick guide to spread betting here. read more


BLOGS

BBL08 Team Preview: Perth Scorchers

Can the Perth Scorchers win a record 4th Big Bash League title in 2018-19? See our full team preview for the Scorchers in BBL08 here read more


BBL08 Team Preview: Adelaide Strikers

The Adelaide Strikers will be aiming for a successful title defence in BBL08. Can they complete the back to back or will Travis Head's international duty be a hinderance? read more


BBL08 Team Preview: Melbourne Renegades

Our 2018-19 Big Bash League team previews continue today as we take a look at last season's semi finalists the Melbourne Renegades. Can the Renegades make the finals for just the third time in BBL08? read more


BBL08 Team Preview: Hobart Hurricanes

The Hobart Hurricanes surprised many last season as they reached the final, and they'll be looking to go one better in BBL08. They have a dynamic squad of talented players but they'll need to keep them on the park to contend. Here's our Hurricanes team preview for BBL08. read more


Draftstars