2015 Crown Oaks Preview & Betting Tips

November 4th 2015, 10:30am, By: tim_tips

Melbourne Cup week continues with another massive day at Flemington this Thursday for Crown Oaks Day.  After a blowout in the Melbourne Cup, will we see a more favoured result in the Crown Oaks or will the weather throw up the chance of another upset result? Our horse racing expert Tim is back with more horse racing tips with our 2015 Crown Oaks preview!

Crown Oaks 2500m

Strong edition of the Oaks this year and the market reflects that with three horses at $4.00 or under. There are a couple of key things to consider in looking at the form for the race. The main thing is the state of the Flemington track which has played absolutely terribly on both Derby Day and Melbourne Cup Day. With quite a bit of rain expected leading up to the race I think we will be playing on a soft track at best, and there's no telling what is going to be the fastest "lane" on the track. The other thing is the lack of tempo I can see in this race. There is no definite leader and we saw how much that affected the Melbourne Cup, so its important we consider that too.

PASADENA GIRL: Looks about a $7-8 chance to me, especially with the predicted rain. She's not shown as much speed in her legs this prep which suggests she's looking for the trip. She was luckless in the Thousand Guineas when Bowman got caught wide on her. She was beaten 1.85L by Jameka last start but she's shown her best at tracks with space like Randwick and Flemington. She's undefeated here and she won her Group 1 on a Soft 6 up in Sydney last prep so the rain will help her. Lovely run from barrier 5 and represents the value in the race.

JAMEKA: Possibly a bit short in the market for me after a good win at Moonee Valley last start, where she beat Tarzino who obviously then came out and won the Derby. I do think that victory was a bit flattering though, as the track was really favouring those on pace. Think she rolls forward from barrier 8 and either leads or sits one behind the leader. Never tested on wet tracks and the breeding doesn't exactly inspire confidence that she'll handle rain. Can't argue with her form around Stay With Me and Tarzino, but I have her rated closer to $5.

SACRED EYE: Really talented filly that put in a really strong performance against the males last start over 2000m. Form has stacked up from that race with Etymology since running 2nd in the Derby. She got the lovely run in that race but from barrier 9 it might not be so easy to get the same run. Untested on a wet track but her breeding suggests she can perform in the wet. Ryan Moore takes the ride, she's tough to beat and I've got her equal favourite.

AMBIENCE: Improved about 4 or 5 lengths last start to win the Wakeful by 3.5 lengths. She struggled around Caulfield prior to that when 3rd behind Dawnie Perfect and Honesta in the Ethereal, but looked a lot more comfortable at Flemington last start. That race was on a Soft 5 and she certainly appreciated a bit of cut in the ground, and her breeding supports that, so if the rain comes it's a positive for her. Barrier 10 is interesting; I see them rolling forward to sit in the first four. Rated equal favourite and the Wakeful Stakes has been the strongest form race heading into the Oaks in the past. 

HONESTA: Ultra consistent having finished in the top 2 at her past six starts. She actually beat home Ambience in the Ethereal and probably didn't handle the track that well herself. Query with her is the trip, given she's Group 2 placed over 1400m and Group 1 placed at 1600. Her dad was a Derby winner but I'm not convinced 2500m is her go. Her Group 2 placing over 1400m was on a Soft 7 so she seems to handle the wet and from barrier 12 I expect them to roll forward. Roughie.

DAWNIE PERFECT: Great win off a hot tempo two starts back over both Honesta and Ambience but was just plain on the weekend in the Wakeful when the tempo was moderate and she was just grinding away. She was in the worst part of the track as it turned out so I thought the run was pretty good considering. Looks like she's crying out for the trip and she'll be tucked away in midfield from barrier 2. My concern is she's had 5 starts on wet tracks for only one placing. Roughie.

THE GREY FLASH: Comfortably beaten three starts back by Sacred Eye, comfortably beaten two starts ago in the Ethereal and then comfortably beaten last start in the Wakeful by Ambience. Hard to tell if she will appreciate rain or not but Ambience belted her on a Soft 5 last start and I don't see her turning that around.

MUZYKA: Good run in the Wakeful behind Ambience; beaten 4 lengths but she ran on well. She tends to get back in a lot of her races and for that reason barrier 1 might not be ideal. She's got 3 placings on Soft tracks and there were issues when she failed on a heavy track. I think she'll run the trip and handle the ground so she's certainly not the worst.

RITZY: Was performing well in easier races and then took on Ambience in the Wakeful last start but was purely outclassed. Not expecting much from her.

ZARABEEL: Good run in the Wakeful despite being beaten a fairly long way. She finished in 5th and should have finished a little bit closer. Performed reasonably on Soft tracks in the past and looks as if the 2500m could suit her, but she has plenty to make up on a few others.

DULVERTON: This is the blowout hope in the race. Bolted in to win her maiden on a Soft 6 and ran on pretty strongly when stepping up sharply to the 2200m of the Geelong Classic last start. She was pretty luckless and finished 2.5L behind Extra Choice who went in as a live hope in the Derby. Looks like 2500m will suit and the more rain the better for this Commands filly. Barrier 3 means she should get a nice run. Blowout at 20/1.

PRINCESS ARIA: Hasn't placed in any of her 8 starts leading into this and was beaten out of sight in the Wakeful. Pass. 


As aforementioned, the keys to this race are the tempo and how much rain we get. I expect the tempo to be pretty slack with the lack of leaders in the race, which means we could see Honesta and Ambience come across together from their wide draws. Jameka will take up a handy position and Stay With Me will be looking to slot in midfield. Pasadena Girl is the one who gets the gun run. 

There is plenty of rain forecast which should suit the likes of Ambience, Pasadena Girl, Honesta, Muzyka and Dulverton most. Unconvinced about Jameka's suitability to soft ground, and Dawnie Perfect hasn't performed too well on wet ground so far. Sacred Eye's pedigree suggests she can handle the wet.

History suggests the Wakeful is the race and I have both Ambience and Sacred Eye rated as equal favourites, but with Ambience's proven ability on Soft tracks, I'm just leaning towards her. Very respectful of Sacred Eye though, and the stable's confidence with her is telling.


2015 Crown Oaks Promotions  


Crown Oaks Special: Place a Fixed Odds bet on the Crown Oaks on Thursday and if your selection finishes 2nd, 3rd or 4th, you'll receive a bonus bet matching your stake up to $50.

CrownBet Oaks Day Promotion


William Hill  

In-Play Betting: Pre-race odds are available for in-play betting for the first 20 seconds of every race on Crown Oaks Day. Max bet $25.


Crown Oaks Day 30% Boost: Place a Bookies Best bet on the first 5 races at Flemington on Crown Oaks Day and you'll receive a 30% boost on your winnings compared to the best price offered by rival best tote products. Maximum stake $50.

Luxbet Oaks Day promo



Best Tote or SP + 20%: Get a boosted price of Best Tote or Starting Price + 20% on every race at Flemington on Oaks Day! Max bet $50.

50% Boost: Get a boost of 50% on your winnings on your first Fixed Odds winner on races 1-5. Max bet $50.


Cash Back Offer:  Place a Fixed Odds win bet on the Dilmah Earl Grey Stakes, Race 6 on Crown Oaks Day at Flemington, and if your horse finishes 2nd or 3rd, you'll receive cash back up to $50


Cash Back Offer:  Place a Fixed Odds win bet on the Gucci Stakes, Race 4 on Crown Oaks Day at Flemington, and if your horse finishes 2nd or 3rd, you'll receive cash back up to $50


The horse racing tournaments continue with a great variety of tournaments available on Crown Oaks Day this Thursday. After the success of the $100k Guaranteed on Derby Day and the $25k Guaranteed event on Melbourne Cup Day, expect more great value and thousands of dollars awarded on Oaks Day.

Tournaments are a lot of fun and a great way to bet on every race without risking a lot of money.  For your buy-in you'll receive a start bank of tournament dollars known as BettaBucks. Bet on whatever horses or races you like, and whoever has amassed the most BettaBucks at the end of the day will take home the top prize!


Make sure to read full terms and conditions of any betting promotion before placing any bets. 

_ _ _ 



Take note: Any of the tips in this article are simply the author’s opinion, so bet at your own risk and always gamble responsibly.  Also be sure to check out the Before You Bet Twitter Page for all our thoughts in the lead up to bets! Happy punting!


2019 MLB Betting Tips: Wednesday 22nd May

Fantastic 15 game slate in the MLB this Wednesday, the 22nd of May and we have you covered with a full preview and betting tips for the key matchups of the day here! read more

Harness Racing Tips: Tuesday, May 22nd

Great night of Harness Racing coming from Gloucester Park this Tuesday, the 21st of May. We take a look at some of the key races on the card and give our betting tips here read more

ESports Betting Tips: CS:GO CS Summit

Six professional CS:GO teams will converge on the Summit House in Los Angeles to compete for a $150,000 prize pool in the fourth annual cs_summit! Catch our preview and tips for the event here read more

Australian Betting Sign Up Bonuses Ending Soon!

The end of an era in Australian online sports betting is fast approaching! As of the 26th of May, Australian bookmakers will no longer be allowed to offer sign up bonuses to new customers! Take advantage of the offers that are still available here. read more


Major Harness Races in Australasia

There are approximately 90 Group 1 level harness races in Australia and New Zealand each year; we've highlighted some of most high profile races on the annual racing calendar here. read more

Harness racing form: what are the most important things to consider

Harness racing form can be daunting to punters that are new to the sport and form analysis for the trots is certainly different to that of the gallops or greyhounds. We've listed what we think the most important factors to consider are when studying the form for a trots race. read more

Harness Racing Barrier Draws

Barrier draws are crucial in racing and they are especially important in harness racing. We've explained why barriers are such a key part of harness racing form study and their importance to determining a horse's chances here. read more

Harness Racing Glossary

There are many common terms used in harness racing that may not make sense to those new to the sport. Our harness racing glossary will help you understand what some of the key terminology means. read more


2019 AFL Brownlow Medal Vote Predictions Round 9

Our 2019 Brownlow Medal leader was the only contender to pick up votes during Round 9 according to our vote predictions. Do we have it right? Check out our thoughts for each AFL match here. read more

2019 AFL Brownlow Medal Vote Predictions Round 8

We have nine players within three votes of the leader in the race for the 2019 Brownlow Medal after Round 8 of the AFL season. Check out where our votes went and who the big movers are here: read more

2019 AFL Round 9 Odds

We're up to Round 9 of the 2019 AFL season, with the action kicking off on Friday night with West Coast hosting Melbourne. Here's the Round 9 betting odds and lines for every match of the round, with thanks to BetEasy. read more

2019 ICC Cricket World Cup Schedule

The 2019 ICC Cricket World Cup will be held from England starting on the 30th of May! If you're a bit like us and find it tenuous to convert the starting times in your head, we have you covered with the full tournament schedule in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST) right here! read more

Ladbrokes Bonus