The UFC continues this weekend with an event headlined by former Welterweight champion, Tyron Woodley, who will be desperate to make a statement as he returns to the Octagon for the first time since he was well beaten against now champion Kamaru Usman. His opponent, the rampaging Brazilian Gilbert Burns, looks to keep building towards a potential title fight. The fact this fight night takes place from the Apex Centre in Nevada throws a spanner in the works as the Apex Octagon is actually 5 feet smaller in diameter than the usual regulation Octagon. That’s just over one and a half metres smaller. While this may not seem a huge deal, it favours the more explosive fighters and wrestlers as it is harder for fighters who try to stay on the outside, such as kickboxers, to avoid the forward pressure and heavy hands from strikers who like to trade in the pocket. Anyway, enough of MMA maths, it is time to look at some of my selections below.
I really don’t like this fight for a few reasons. Firstly, Leon Edwards gets burnt by not being able to fight Woodley, as the winner of this fight cements themselves ahead of him in line for a title shot, while the loser drops out of contention for the immediate future in what is a stacked division. Secondly Gilbert Burns is about 12-18 months away from being a genuine title challenger in my opinion, but he isn’t there yet. Gilbert Burns hasn’t lost since being KO’d by Dan Hooker in mid-2018 and has gone on a hot streak since but he is up against a revitalised Woodley who before his loss to Usman was considered as possibly the greatest Welterweight of all time. He now has a point to prove and by many accounts is training the house down.
Burns has developed his striking to pair with his slick submission skills, however, it is unlikely that he will be able to get this to the ground and I expect Woodley to press forward and blow Burns out of the water (queue Robbie Lawler title fight against Woodley). Woodley has the wrestling prowess to deter any takedown attempts and has the power to put any opponent to sleep. Burns is 33 and is coming into his own but this is the worst matchup in the division for the Brazilian and it will end up in him looking up at the lights.
Billy Qurarantillo made his UFC debut in fine style, dominating Jacob Kilburn before finishing him on the ground with a triangle choke. He meets a stiffer test in his second fight as he faces Spike Carlyle who entered the UFC on a four-fight win streak before extending that streak to five beating Aalon Cruz inside the first two minutes of round 1.
This is one of those fights that I do not see going the distance as I really think Carlyle stops Quarantillo in the first but if he doesn’t the durability and gas tank of Quarantillo will then drag Carlyle into deep waters and in the smaller Octagon with his forward pressure there will likely be a KO one way or another. The chances of this lasting all 15 minutes are slim with two genuine finishers fighting in a smaller than usual Octagon.
Jamahal Hill who is 7-0 in his MMA career comes into this fight as favourite but really shouldn’t. His opponent Abreu is 1-2 in his UFC career but arguably should have won his last fight by decision. Before entering the UFC, he was tearing through opponents earning five straight submission wins before entering the UFC. His ground game is likely way too much for Hill’s below par wrestling to handle. Hill was taken down in his UFC debut six times but wasn’t made to pay for it but I’m backing it to be a different story here. Abreu has 10 submission wins on his resume including one over current Light Heavyweight contender Johnny Walker and should make Hill pay for his lacklustre grappling skills.
I’m a big fan of Tim Elliot and there is nothing on tape to show how Royval is anywhere near good enough to beat him. Royval is a decent striker who has nine professional stoppages, all bar one in the first round but the way he was controlled by Casey Kenney for 5 rounds at the end of 2018 doesn’t bode well for him against Elliott who is a top-level grappler and incredibly dangerous on the mat. Royval hasn’t showed anywhere near enough to say he can keep this standing and therefore when he inevitably finds himself on his back, I’m backing Elliott to put him away swiftly.
Round 8 of the NRL season continues this Sunday with the two game slate kicking off at 4.05pm! We have a full preview and betting tips for both games courtesy of our newest NRL expert 'Scooby'! read more
It's another nine-race card on a heavy track at Randwick this weekend, with the rail in the 4m position. There looks to be some good betting opportunities throughout the day so check out our full preview of the meeting below, courtesy of Tim Geers. read more
It's Flemington Finals day at headquarters in Melbourne this Saturday, July 4th, with a number of big fields and wide open betting markets. Trent Crebbin is looking to continue his good form with his preview and betting tips here! read more
Julian Vallance from Sportsbet takes us through some of the key factors which he uses with pricing upcoming horse races such as performance ratings. Check out his video from Sportsbet here. read more
Over-Round is an important concept for both punters and sportsbooks. It's how Australian sportsbooks make money! All punters should understand over-round, how to spot it, and how to find better value on the Betfair Exchange. read more
Ever wondered why you can get such great odds at Betfair in comparison to other online bookmakers? We break down why that is the case and why Betfair isn't just for professional punters here read more
Lay betting is when you’re betting against an event to occur. You’re betting that a horse won’t win a race, a team won’t win a match or your player will lose to their opponent. Find out more about lay betting at Betfair right here. read more
With Victoria recently suffering another surge in COVID-19 cases, the AFL has had to restructure the next few rounds of the season. They have officially released the fixture for both Rounds 6 & 7, which can be viewed in full right here read more
A full round of nine matches are in the books for Round 4 of what has been a crazy 2020 AFL season. Here's our break down of each match and our Round 4 Brownlow vote predictions, as well as a couple of Brownlow betting tips. read more
The Saints beat the Tigers in the upset of the round and after a shuffle of the schedule due to COVID-19 restrictions, they will be back in action in the opening game of Round 5 on Thursday night against the Blues! See the odds for all of the games in Round 5 HERE read more
We saw some standout performances for Round 3 of the 2020 AFL season with a couple of our early Brownlow betting plays rising to the top of the early Brownlow Medal leaderboard. Check out our AFL Round 3 Brownlow vote predictions here. read more