UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs Neal Betting Tips

December 17th 2020, 11:19am, By: Ben Talintyre

UFC Fight Night Betting Tips

The final UFC card of a turbulent 2020 is upon us this weekend as Stephen ‘Wonderboy’ Thompson faces off against Geoff ‘Hands of Steel’ Neal. The Apex Centre in Las Vegas once again plays host to this UFC fight card which consists of some interesting match ups that are sure to provide some fireworks to round out the year.

At Bantamweight, Jose Aldo attempts to get back on the right track against Marlon Vera, while the excitement machine, Michel Pereira faces off against Khaos Williams who looks to score his third straight first round KO of 2020. For the last time in 2020 let’s dive into the card below.

UFC Fight Night Betting Tips

Stephen Thompson vs Geoff Neal

These match ups I always love from a betting standpoint due to the disrespect technical strikers get against power punches. Let’s take a look back last year when Thompson faced Luque for example. I was confident on Thompson that day and he put on a striking clinic winning with ease. Luque since has gone back to his demolition ways beating Niko Price and Randy Brown by KO. Neal also secured two KO wins in 2020 finishing Niko Price and Mike Perry. While I do respect his power and striking, he needs to get within range of Thompson repeatedly as he will not win a straight kickboxing fight.

Thompson’s range management that comes from his traditional karate stance and he should be able to pick apart Neal on the outside while staying away from his power shots. His use of front kicks and switch kicks keeps his opponents at his preferred distance, and he uses his punches to score rather than inflict major damage. Thompson has only been finished once in his professional MMA career, which was by an explosive punch by Anthony Pettis. Neal will have to back Thompson up to stand a chance to land a killer blow and will have to walk through a kicking barrage to do that, something that won’t end well for him. Expect a wide decision victory for Wonderboy and treat the $2 on offer as an early Christmas gift.

Michel Pereira vs Khaos Williams

Look this fight is going to be complete and utter Khaos…. But seriously both men throw wild strikes with a ridiculous amount of power behind them. Pereira enters every fight with an explosive style that leads him to throw a range of spinning attacks, flips and downright crazy moves that most fighters would only ever think of attempting in their gyms. Williams on the other hand walks people down and lands bombs until he lays them out on the canvas. In his two 2020 bouts Williams has knocked out both opponents in a combined 57 seconds and he will look to make this a short night too.

I see Pereira as the one who will decide the outcome of this fight. He will either land something that puts Williams out, lock up a choke in a scramble or spin himself into the power right of Khaos and will wake up staring at the lights. Either way this won’t be lasting the whole 15 which is a shame as it will be exciting for as long as it lasts. I am backing the fight not to go the distance but a play on Pereira to win wouldn’t be a bad way of playing this fight either if you can deal with some stress.

Marlon Moraes vs Rob Font

I really expected to see Moraes as a champion by now and his inability to go a strong three rounds let alone five has repeatedly proved to be his downfall. Yet once again I go back to the well in tipping the Brazilian. Arguably Moraes has lost his last three with his win over Aldo being one that most agree to be the wrong decision. Moraes carries such power and speed early that he can knock his opponent out in a flash and on the ground he has crafty chokes and nasty top control. His cardio issues are where he falls but I see this not going past the opening rounds for that to matter.

Rob Font is a high-level fighter but I don’t see him having any advantage in this fight other than in cardio. He will be outstruck and outgrappled in the early exchanges and I don’t think he has that killer instinct to put Moraes away even if he lasts early and Moraes then fades. Moraes dominates round 1 and if Font survives, he lands enough in round 2 to leave Font with a finish required to win the fight in round 3. Moraes likely wins by stoppage in round 1 but even if he doesn’t, he sets up a too big a lead on the judge’s scorecards for his lack of cardio to cost him the fight.

TIP:

Marlon Moraes
$1.63

BET NOW AT Sportsbet

Value: Win in R1 ($6.00)

TIPS

NFL 2020-21: Conference Championship Betting Tips

The NFL Playoffs continue this week as we head into the conference championships with two massive games scheduled! The Packers will take on the Buccaneers in the NFC while the Chiefs will host the Bills in the AFC. As usual, we have you covered with a full preview and betting tips for both games below. read more

Big Bash League (BBL10): Hurricanes vs Scorchers Betting Tips

It’s a rare Friday afternoon start as the Hurricanes take on the Scorchers to kick off a Friday BBL double header. as usual, we have you covered with a full preview and betting tips for the clash, courtesy of Jack Tobin read more

Big Bash League (BBL10): Strikers vs Heat Betting Tips

We return to the Adelaide Oval Thursday night as the Adelaide Strikers take on the Brisbane Heat in match 46 of the BBL10 season. Billy Bestford has you covered with a full preview and betting tips for the clash here read more

UFC 257 Preview & Betting Tips

One of the most anticipated sporting events in recent years will take place this Sunday as Conor McGregor makes his return to the octagon! Check out our full preview and betting tips for the key fights in UFC 257 here read more

ARTICLES

Best Australian Sports Betting Sites

The best Australian sports betting sites ensure safe and successful online betting for punters. Here's our list of the best betting options in Australia. read more


Performance Ratings & Pricing with Julian Vallance with Sportsbet

Julian Vallance from Sportsbet takes us through some of the key factors which he uses with pricing upcoming horse races such as performance ratings. Check out his video from Sportsbet here. read more


What is Over-Round and How do Sportsbooks Make Money?

Over-Round is an important concept for both punters and sportsbooks. It's how Australian sportsbooks make money! All punters should understand over-round, how to spot it, and how to find better value on the Betfair Exchange. read more


Betfair Commissions and Charges

Ever wondered why you can get such great odds at Betfair in comparison to other online bookmakers? We break down why that is the case and why Betfair isn't just for professional punters here read more


BLOGS

Top 5 Bowlers to Watch in BBL10

The countdown is on until the BBL10 season officially gets underway! We ranked our BBL10 top 5 batsmen to watch earlier in the week, and today we are doing the same for bowlers! Check out our BBL10 top 5 bowlers to watch, courtesy of Mr.Cricket, here. read more


BBL10 Teams: Predicted Starting Lineups

The BBL10 squads are pretty much finalised and the season is not far away! We've taken a look at the squads for each team, and put together our predicted starting lineups taking into consideration availability of Australian national players and the playing schedule of the international recruits. Check out our BBL10 team lineups here! read more


Top 5 Batsmen to Watch in BBL10

The Big Bash League season is just around the corner! In the lead up to BBL10, we will be taking a look at some of the key players who will be hoping to lead their teams to victory! Today, we go through the top five batsmen to watch in BBL10 read more


Top 3 Melbourne Cup Price Push Plays from Palmerbet

The team at Palmerbet take a look at three key chances for the 2020 Melbourne Cup as punters look to take advantage of the Palmerbet Price Push among 10+ other promos available for Palmerbet customers for the "Race That Stops The Nation" on Tuesday. read more


BetDeluxe

WinnersBet