UFC Fight Night 164 Preview & Betting Tips

November 16th 2019, 12:59pm, By: Ben Talintyre

The UFC comes to Brazil for Fight Night 164. The card is full of value and there is sure to be plenty of finishes, especially on the undercard. Fight Night 164 is headlined by light heavyweight contender, Jan Blachowicz against Ronaldo ‘Jacare’ Souza, who makes his light heavyweight debut as he looks to make one last run at the title.

Main Event

Jan Blachowicz vs. Ronaldo ‘Jacare’ Souza

Souza comes up to Light Heavyweight for the first time as a real stalwart of the Middleweight division who has really only lost to the top fighters in that division. He is extremely dangerous but the jump from Middleweight to Light Heavyweight is no easy feat and against a monster in Jan Blachowicz, it is about as hard as it can get, even with it being in his native Brazil. While the crowd is a big plus for Souza, Blachowicz is incredibly durable, able to withstand whatever Jacare can throw at him and on top of that, has the cardio to make five rounds without much of a problem. While you cannot undervalue Jacare’s skill set and threat, especially on the ground, I just don’t see him being able to beat Blachowicz here.


This is a value packed undercard where I am enticed by almost all the fights but have settled on four that are worth a play at very enticing odds.

Sergio Moraes vs. James Krause

Sergio Moraes is a seriously top-level grappler and while he has been prone to forget his game plan, if he keeps his composure here, he can win and win quite comfortably. While Krause is on a five-fight win streak, this is a step up in competition and he isn’t a good-enough grappler to keep Moraes off him. Moraes keeps his head (hopefully), drags him to the ground and gets the tap.


Sergio Moraes to win


Value: Moraes by Submission $5.50

Ricardo Ramos vs. Eduardo Garagorri

Both these fighters are finishers and this is likely to be one of the most condensed action-packed fights you will see. Ricardo Ramos has six first-round finishes in his 15-fight career while Garragorri is undefeated and has racked up nine first-round finishes himself. The main difference is Ramos’ ground game and wrestling. Garragori’s grappling is at best mediocre and Ramos ultimately gets this to the mat and gets the finish.

Warlley Alves vs. Randy Brown

Again, I am predicting another submission here. Alves is very dangerous on the ground and has a nasty guillotine. I do think Alves can come unstuck with his cardio as it has hurt him before but at the $5 it presents great value. He gets this done with his customary guillotine before there is a chance for his cardio to fail him.

Ariane Lipski vs. Veronica Macedo

I have been a little disappointed by Lipski since her Octagon debut going 0-2, as she really did look the goods before. Macedo is the weakest opponent she has faced since her UFC debut and Lipski is the far more accomplished striker. She shows us why she was hyped up and gets her first win inside the octagon as the underdog.


2019-20 EPL: Matchday 16 Preview & Betting Tips

The 2019-20 EPL season continues this weekend with Matchday 16. We hit on all three of our best bets in the midweek round and are confident we can keep the momentum going into the weekend! read more

2019-20 A-League: Round 9 Preview & Betting Tips

The 2019-20 A-League season continues this weekend with Round 9! As always, we preview our three favourites fixtures and provide expert betting tips for them. read more

Boxing Betting Tips: Andy Ruiz Jr vs Anthony Joshua 2 Preview

Andy Ruiz will defend his heavyweight titles in the rematch against Anthony Joshua in Saudi Arabia this Sunday! We have a full preview and betting tips for the fight here read more

NFL 2019-20: Week 14 Preview & Betting Tips

Week 14 of the NFL season gets underway on Friday with the Cowboys taking on the Bears from 12.20pm! As usual, we take a look at some of the key matchups of the week and give our best bets here read more


2019-20 Big Bash League (BBL09) Squads

The 2019-20 Big Bash League season is set to be a thriller! Check out the full squads for the upcoming BBL09 here read more

Understanding Betfair Staking Plans

In the third instalment of our Betfair instructional series, we take a look at understanding staking plans and how they can be used to stay in control of your bank roll read more

Understanding the Betfair Markets

In our next strategy guide for the Betfair platform, we take a look at understanding how the Betfair markets work and what different types of backs and lays you can place with Betfair! read more

Understanding Back and Lay Betting on Betfair

Unlike your ‘normal’ betting agency where it’s you versus the Bookmaker, Betfair is a peer-to-peer wagering platform. Betfair allow you to both ‘back’ and ‘lay’ bets, which gives you complete control and a totally unique betting experience. View how full guide to backing and laying here read more


Great Odds For Melbourne Cup Punters

The Melbourne Cup has transformed from the race that stops the nation into the race that stops the world in recent years, and Palmerbet are giving punters more bang for their buck with great odds on all Melbourne Cup runners this Monday! read more

2019 Melbourne Cup Odds

The Melbourne Cup is known as the race that stops a nation, but is quickly becoming the race that stops the world! There's 42 horses left in contention for the 2019 Melbourne Cup, which will be held on the first Tuesday in November. Check out the latest betting odds for the race here! read more

Cox Plate Glory Awaits

Get fantastic odds of $4.50 for Te Akau Shark to finish in the top five in Saturday's Cox Plate thanks to Palmerbet. read more

The Luck of Playing the National Lottery

The lottery is one of the more fun ways to gamble, and who hasn't dreamt of one day striking it mega-rich by landing a jackpot! What are the odds of winning the lottery, and is there anything you can do to improve your odds? We take a look at the luck involved with playing the lottery! read more