UFC Fight Night 158 Preview & Betting Tips

September 14th 2019, 10:19am, By: Gugabe Picks

UFC Fight Night 158 headlines the MMA action this weekend and our combat sports expert Gugabe is back with a full preview for the event and betting tips below! 

UFC Fight Night 158

 Jimmy ‘The Brute’ Crute V Misha Cirkunov

This fight is going to be a volatile result, either Cirkunov’s chin fails him or he should have a lot of significant edges over Jim Crute. I’d say that he’s the superior athlete, grappler and striker despite being a bit prone to occasional KO losses. As a result, I feel that Crute (who isn’t an especially consistent striker or hitter) should be wider than his current near-evens price point.

A Crute win is likely going to be a very quick first round KO, but if that doesn’t occur, we’ll likely see domination from Misha Cirkunov. It might be unpatriotic to fade the upcoming Aussie talent, but the way that Paul Craig was taking Crute down at will is frankly disquieting. Cirkunov is very capable of dominating from top position, and has outwrestled some superior wrestlers/grapplers to Crute in Patrick Cummins & Ion Cutelaba.

Glover Teixeira V Nikita Krylov

This fight is a classic LHW mess, but there’s no good reason for Glover to be the underdog at this point. Krylov likely either needs to KO Glover clean in the first 2 minutes, or to benefit from a serious overnight ageing issue from Glover.

The grappling edge here is profound. Krylov’s bottom-game consists of trying to explode into low-percentage submissions off his back, ideally fishing for guillotines and other positionally-irresponsible moves. Glover’s top game is still one of the best in the division, and Krylov’s game is perfectly poised to give him the positional advances that he needs to get the tap.

As a result, I’d say there are two plays here.


Under 1.5 Rounds


Glover win $2.00

Cole Smith V Miles Johns

Miles Johns will take on his own gas tank in Vancouver. Johns is a big, tough, gritty Bantamweight and Johns has serious issues combating his own habit of gassing out.  My expectation of this fight is that Johns will look firmly in control for the first round, and then start to slow dramatically as a result of his explosive style. If you can live bet, trying to get on Smith after Round 1 would likely be a great spot.

Smith’s not particularly great anywhere, but he is tenacious and big. This, along with his role as the hometown fighter and Johns’ inability to keep his own preferred pace for long stretches of the fight will likely combine for Smith taking over late. It’s hard to consistently wrestle with a larger man, and Johns has shown a tendency to gas even against lesser competition (such as Richie Santiago on Tuesday Night Contender this year).


Smith to win


Round 3 win $21


Caulfield Racing Tips: Wednesday, October 16th

The Blue Sapphire Stakes midweek meeting at Caulfield takes center stage on Wednesday, as we lead in to Caulfield Cup weekend. Check out our race-by-race preview and betting tips for Wednesday's card here! read more

2019 ATP Moscow/Stockholm/Antwerp Betting Tips

There's three ATP 250's on this week which will see plenty of the top men's tennis players take to the courts. We preview all three and provide our best bets right here! read more

Horse Racing Tips: Tuesday, October 15th

There's three race meetings in Australia on Tuesday and we'll be focusing on the racing at Newcastle and Kyneton. Luke Krahe has done the form for both meetings and given his best bets here! read more

Horse Racing Tips: Monday, October 14th

After a huge weekend of racing in Australia, it's a fairly quiet Monday with meetings at Echuca and Queabeyan. Luke Krahe has done all the form for both meetings and given his best bets here, as we kick off Caulfield Cup and Everest week! read more


Understanding Betfair Staking Plans

In the third instalment of our Betfair instructional series, we take a look at understanding staking plans and how they can be used to stay in control of your bank roll read more

Understanding the Betfair Markets

In our next strategy guide for the Betfair platform, we take a look at understanding how the Betfair markets work and what different types of backs and lays you can place with Betfair! read more

Understanding Back and Lay Betting on Betfair

Unlike your ‘normal’ betting agency where it’s you versus the Bookmaker, Betfair is a peer-to-peer wagering platform. Betfair allow you to both ‘back’ and ‘lay’ bets, which gives you complete control and a totally unique betting experience. View how full guide to backing and laying here read more

Major Harness Races in Australasia

There are approximately 90 Group 1 level harness races in Australia and New Zealand each year; we've highlighted some of most high profile races on the annual racing calendar here. read more


2019 Cox Plate Odds

The Group 1 Cox Plate is the Australasian weight-for-age championship, run over 2040m at Moonee Valley on Saturday, October 26th. With $5million prizemoney on offer, the race attracts the best local and international middle-distance and staying horses. As we enter the post-Winx era, this year's race shapes as an open betting race; check out the latest odds here! read more

2019 Caulfield Cup Odds

The 2019 Caulfield Cup is one of the biggest races on the Australian racing calendar and will be held at Caulfield on Saturday, October 19th. Check out the latest betting odds for the $5million Group 1 courtesy of Palmerbet here! read more

The Everest 2019 Odds

The TAB Everest is set to be run at Royal Randwick on Saturday, October 19th, with a $14million prize purse up for grabs. Check out the latest betting odds for the world's richest race on turf! read more

Godolphin To Paint The Town Royal Blue

A fantastic day of racing awaits punters at Caulfield tomorrow with four Group 1 races on the card. Can the Blue Army of Godolphin impose themselves tomorrow? Palmerbet are giving you juicy odds if you think so! Find out more... read more