UFC Fight Night 158 headlines the MMA action this weekend and our combat sports expert Gugabe is back with a full preview for the event and betting tips below!
This fight is going to be a volatile result, either Cirkunov’s chin fails him or he should have a lot of significant edges over Jim Crute. I’d say that he’s the superior athlete, grappler and striker despite being a bit prone to occasional KO losses. As a result, I feel that Crute (who isn’t an especially consistent striker or hitter) should be wider than his current near-evens price point.
A Crute win is likely going to be a very quick first round KO, but if that doesn’t occur, we’ll likely see domination from Misha Cirkunov. It might be unpatriotic to fade the upcoming Aussie talent, but the way that Paul Craig was taking Crute down at will is frankly disquieting. Cirkunov is very capable of dominating from top position, and has outwrestled some superior wrestlers/grapplers to Crute in Patrick Cummins & Ion Cutelaba.
This fight is a classic LHW mess, but there’s no good reason for Glover to be the underdog at this point. Krylov likely either needs to KO Glover clean in the first 2 minutes, or to benefit from a serious overnight ageing issue from Glover.
The grappling edge here is profound. Krylov’s bottom-game consists of trying to explode into low-percentage submissions off his back, ideally fishing for guillotines and other positionally-irresponsible moves. Glover’s top game is still one of the best in the division, and Krylov’s game is perfectly poised to give him the positional advances that he needs to get the tap.
As a result, I’d say there are two plays here.
Miles Johns will take on his own gas tank in Vancouver. Johns is a big, tough, gritty Bantamweight and Johns has serious issues combating his own habit of gassing out. My expectation of this fight is that Johns will look firmly in control for the first round, and then start to slow dramatically as a result of his explosive style. If you can live bet, trying to get on Smith after Round 1 would likely be a great spot.
Smith’s not particularly great anywhere, but he is tenacious and big. This, along with his role as the hometown fighter and Johns’ inability to keep his own preferred pace for long stretches of the fight will likely combine for Smith taking over late. It’s hard to consistently wrestle with a larger man, and Johns has shown a tendency to gas even against lesser competition (such as Richie Santiago on Tuesday Night Contender this year).
The Brisbane Heat host the Melbourne Renegades in the second match of Sunday’s BBL09 double header. The Renegades are coming off their first win of the season while the Heat are looking to bounce back from a horror game in Adelaide. We take a closer look at this clash in our BBL09 preview. read more
'The Notorious' Conor McGregor will make his long awaited return to the octagon this weekend in UFC 246 as he takes on Donald 'Cowboy' Cerrone. We have a full preview and betting tips for the key fights on the card here read more
Flemington hosts another twilight meeting this Saturday, with nine races scheduled and the first set to jump at 3.10pm AEDT. Check out our preview and betting tips for the meeting here! read more
The 2019-20 Big Bash League season is set to be a thriller! Check out the full squads for the upcoming BBL09 here read more
In the third instalment of our Betfair instructional series, we take a look at understanding staking plans and how they can be used to stay in control of your bank roll read more
In our next strategy guide for the Betfair platform, we take a look at understanding how the Betfair markets work and what different types of backs and lays you can place with Betfair! read more
Unlike your ‘normal’ betting agency where it’s you versus the Bookmaker, Betfair is a peer-to-peer wagering platform. Betfair allow you to both ‘back’ and ‘lay’ bets, which gives you complete control and a totally unique betting experience. View how full guide to backing and laying here read more
The 2019-20 Big Bash League gets underway on Tuesday, the 17th of December and as many of the teams won't have their full compliment of players available to them on night one, we have compiled a predicted starting XI for all eight teams in the first week of the tournament here read more
The Sydney Thunder will be buoyed by the full-time return of star batsman Usman Khawaja this year, but will it be enough to lift them into the finals in BBL09? See our full Sydney Thunder preview here read more
The Sydney Sixers are one of the more successful sides in Big Bash League history, having won the title once and made the finals in five of eight seasons. Can they make waves in BBL09? See our full Sixers team preview here read more
The Perth Scorchers are the most dominant team in Big Bash League history, but can they overcome a host of injuries in BBL09? See our team preview for the Scorchers here read more