UFC Fight Night 156 headlines the MMA schedule this weekend and there are some intruiging fights on the card to say the least! We take a look at some of the key matchups and give our betting tips below.
This is, admittedly, a rather low-level fight, but as the quote goes ‘Chaos is a ladder’. I feel the price on Bandenay is a bit overblown, as this is a classic case of ‘misfire in the UFC being an underdog and somebody with no relevant experience’, which is a frequent misstep from the betting public.
Luiz Garagorri has yet to fight anybody who I’d even consider a second-tier fighter. His career has taken place entirely in his native Paraguay, he trains out of a regional, local Muay Thai gym & his style is more blindly opportunistic than necessarily underpinned with a deep understanding of method or process.
Unfortunately, the criticism about method & process equally applies to Bandenay. But I feel that Bandenay’s combination of actually having taken a round in the UFC, training out of a better camp in Team Oyama, meaningful big-show experience & greater athleticism mean that he shouldn’t be the dog in this fight.
My prediction for this bout is a sloppy, low-level brawl in which Bandenay ultimately outworks and outhustles Garagorri for a close decision or a late stoppage.
Ilir Latifi V Volkan Oezdemir
A fight that has been booked 3 separate times now, but delayed multiple times due to injury and Oezdemir’s frequent visa troubles. It should be a fairly tepid bout, but an intriguing clash of styles between two former training partners.
My belief is that Latifi should be slightly favored, so I’m naturally interested in his current line at 2.2. Oezdemir’s recently had a resurgence in public opinion due to his fight against the hyped prospect Dominick Reyes, but I believe that success may partly have been due to Reyes’ hype exceeding his skill level at this point. It’s also significant to me that Oezdemir’s success against Reyes came off a clinch & takedown driven strategy, one that I have serious doubts about working against Latifi who has largely been able to succeed in the clinch.
Cardio is also a worthy consideration. Neither can be said to have a good gas-tank by any stretch of the imagination, but I feel that Latifi will continue working deeper into the fight even whilst gassed. Oezdemir’s gassing has tended to resemble him corpsing, a factor that I feel will play well in Latifi’s factor. The grappling is also a considerable difference here, where I feel that Latifi is a lot more capable on top.
This fight will likely come down to which of the fighters is better able to put his grappling game to work. Moffett is coming off a close decision loss to Bryce Mitchell, which he arguably threw away in the closing minute, whilst Barzola is coming off having his grappling largely shut down by Kevin Aguilar.
My basis for playing this fight is a belief that Moffett’s wrestling is at a higher level than Barzola’s. Barzola has been able to succeed on his wrestling so far in the UFC, but it’s been against a series of competitors without meaningful grappling backgrounds of their own. Moffett outgrappled Chas Skelly, an above-average grappler, and was ultra competitive with Bryce Mitchell in essentially a pure grappling match.
Prediction: Moffett By Decision
The first of the big three races in the Melbourne Spring takes place this Saturday with the Group 1 Caulfield Cup. The $5million feature has attracted a strong contingent of international runners, along with the best of our local stayers in what should be a terrific race. Get our runner-by-runner guide here! read more
A red-hot field has been assembled for the $14million TAB Everest this Saturday, with 12 of the country's elite sprinters set to line up over 1200m at Royal Randwick. Check out our runner-by-runner preview and betting tips for the race here! read more
Our final weekday of racing sees us focus on racing at Warrnambool, Taree and Bathurst, before a blockbuster weekend featuring The Everest and the Caulfield Cup! Check out Luke Krahe's best bets for Friday's racing here! read more
In the third instalment of our Betfair instructional series, we take a look at understanding staking plans and how they can be used to stay in control of your bank roll read more
In our next strategy guide for the Betfair platform, we take a look at understanding how the Betfair markets work and what different types of backs and lays you can place with Betfair! read more
Unlike your ‘normal’ betting agency where it’s you versus the Bookmaker, Betfair is a peer-to-peer wagering platform. Betfair allow you to both ‘back’ and ‘lay’ bets, which gives you complete control and a totally unique betting experience. View how full guide to backing and laying here read more
There are approximately 90 Group 1 level harness races in Australia and New Zealand each year; we've highlighted some of most high profile races on the annual racing calendar here. read more
Sportsbet have launched a brand new racing product just in time for the Spring Carnival! Check out more info on their new 'Same Race Multi' feature here read more
The Group 1 Cox Plate is the Australasian weight-for-age championship, run over 2040m at Moonee Valley on Saturday, October 26th. With $5million prizemoney on offer, the race attracts the best local and international middle-distance and staying horses. As we enter the post-Winx era, this year's race shapes as an open betting race; check out the latest odds here! read more
The 2019 Caulfield Cup is one of the biggest races on the Australian racing calendar and will be held at Caulfield on Saturday, October 19th. Check out the latest betting odds for the $5million Group 1 courtesy of Palmerbet here! read more
The TAB Everest is set to be run at Royal Randwick on Saturday, October 19th, with a $14million prize purse up for grabs. Check out the latest betting odds for the world's richest race on turf! read more