The UFC on ESPN series continues this weekend with the 5th edition headlined by a big clash between Colby Covington and Robbie Lawler! We have a full preview and betting tips for some of the key fights on the card below!
The evening’s main event, and a classic binary fight. Covington will likely be trying to simply overwhelm Lawler’s power and striking acumen with pure pace. Lawler’s gastank is fairly average, so this may just work. However, Lawler is the biggest hitter and the hardest puncher that Colby’s faced in his UFC run. Colby’s shown signs of being hurt by lesser strikers in the past, which makes this encounter more interesting.
The core dynamic here is whether Lawler can get the finish before gassing. I believe that Colby will present plentiful opportunities for Lawler to make that happen, and thus I recommend a play on Lawler to win @ 3.0
This fight is one between two Light Heavyweight Prospects who have recently had their trajectories halted by their first UFC Losses. They are both exceedingly raw talents, but it is my opinion that Stosic is largely the more skilled fighter despite his cardio & output issues. Kennedy, on the other hand, possesses the obvious gift of his incredible reach, but is raw outside of a minimalistic striking game.
As such, it is my belief that Stosic likely wins if he ever manages to get meaningful top time. Paul Craig, who is not a bastion of great gameplanning, was able to outgrapple Kennedy when give a single opportunity, and he lacks the clinch & athletic abilities of Stosic. On top of that, I believe that Stosic is the better-schooled, more experienced and more powerful striker. Most fighters have been able to finish Craig upon landing significant offense, whilst Kennedy was largely unable.
The main win conditions for Kennedy are either a low-percentage headkick KO, or winning a close decision from putting up more consistent volume than the laggardly Stosic. However, if Stosic fights to his potential and with some drive, he should be able to fairly easily take this bout.
Another low level fight, but on this card I believe the greatest opportunities are manifest in the fights between raw combatants. Hannah Goldy is largely a kickboxer, but possesses solid takedown defense and fine defensive grappling instincts. Granger is largely a BJJ practitioner, but lacks elite status in that gamut. As such, Granger’s path to victory is limited to spontaneous submission in my opinion. With Goldy paying 1.62 presently, and Granger’s win condition being so limited, she feels like a worthy play even if I’d usually be hesitant to play a raw favorite.
Goldy’s also got the edge in strength of schedule despite a lack of frequency in her fighting schedule. Gillian Robertson, who is currently ranked at Women’s Flyweight, is the best scalp on the record of either woman. Robertson also presents a higher level version of Granger’s grappling opportunistic path to victory, which increases my confidence in Goldy’s ability to shut it down.
The first of the big three races in the Melbourne Spring takes place this Saturday with the Group 1 Caulfield Cup. The $5million feature has attracted a strong contingent of international runners, along with the best of our local stayers in what should be a terrific race. Get our runner-by-runner guide here! read more
A red-hot field has been assembled for the $14million TAB Everest this Saturday, with 12 of the country's elite sprinters set to line up over 1200m at Royal Randwick. Check out our runner-by-runner preview and betting tips for the race here! read more
Our final weekday of racing sees us focus on racing at Warrnambool, Taree and Bathurst, before a blockbuster weekend featuring The Everest and the Caulfield Cup! Check out Luke Krahe's best bets for Friday's racing here! read more
In the third instalment of our Betfair instructional series, we take a look at understanding staking plans and how they can be used to stay in control of your bank roll read more
In our next strategy guide for the Betfair platform, we take a look at understanding how the Betfair markets work and what different types of backs and lays you can place with Betfair! read more
Unlike your ‘normal’ betting agency where it’s you versus the Bookmaker, Betfair is a peer-to-peer wagering platform. Betfair allow you to both ‘back’ and ‘lay’ bets, which gives you complete control and a totally unique betting experience. View how full guide to backing and laying here read more
There are approximately 90 Group 1 level harness races in Australia and New Zealand each year; we've highlighted some of most high profile races on the annual racing calendar here. read more
Sportsbet have launched a brand new racing product just in time for the Spring Carnival! Check out more info on their new 'Same Race Multi' feature here read more
The Group 1 Cox Plate is the Australasian weight-for-age championship, run over 2040m at Moonee Valley on Saturday, October 26th. With $5million prizemoney on offer, the race attracts the best local and international middle-distance and staying horses. As we enter the post-Winx era, this year's race shapes as an open betting race; check out the latest odds here! read more
The 2019 Caulfield Cup is one of the biggest races on the Australian racing calendar and will be held at Caulfield on Saturday, October 19th. Check out the latest betting odds for the $5million Group 1 courtesy of Palmerbet here! read more
The TAB Everest is set to be run at Royal Randwick on Saturday, October 19th, with a $14million prize purse up for grabs. Check out the latest betting odds for the world's richest race on turf! read more