UFC 241 will be held live from Anaheim in California this Sunday (AEST). Daniel Cormier and Stipe Miotic will headline the card in what should be a thrilling fight and our main man Gugabe Picks is back to preview all of the action below.
Nate Diaz has taken a break from his busy schedule of agitating for a McGregor rematch, meanmugging and public appearances in order to take his first fight in three years. Anthony Pettis has lost a lot of his shine since his streak to win the UFC title, gain a bunch of dynamic stoppages & appear on a Wheaties Box.
However, this match-up is one that’ll be defined by a consistent theme of Diaz’s career. The man has never had any particular facility in defending kicks, especially leg kicks, and will essentially be attempting to swarm through Pettis’ offense in order to either gas him out or cause an injury. Conor McGregor’s lack of stylistic flexibility was a great contributor to those wins for Nate Diaz, whilst Pettis is prepared to use his kicks and work to a game plan.
Manny Bermudez has, to be frank, a strange and opportunistic style. It’s one that has historically struggled to work in the UFC, but Bermudez has been able to persevere and turn a style of essentially pure grappling opportunism into success thus far in his UFC career.
Kenney may not be as ‘exciting’ a prospect, but is a hotbed of competence and fight IQ. He was most recently seen taking an ultra-dubious decision over Ray Borg on short notice, but a decision in which he acquitted himself well against one of the Bantamweight division’s premiere grapplers.
Bermudez’s skill set chiefly revolves around a combination of using his incredible size (he weighed in on fight day at 161 pounds for a fight at 135 pounds last time out) and grappling opportunism to bully opposition into submissions. However, his striking and cardio are both limited, and he can run out of ideas quickly if isolated on the feet.
Kenney has a well-developed skill set in grappling, with credentials in BJJ, Judo & Wrestling. His objective in this fight will essentially be to avoid entangling with Bermudez at all costs until such a point that Bermudez’ gas tank is depleted and he can take over the fight. It’s also very possible that he can float on top of Bermudez in the grappling through disciplined play.
This is a matchup between a streaky, hyped prospect with a great back story in Ian Heinisch, and a division mainstay in Derek Brunson. My feel is that Brunson has all the tools to take this fight at a high clip, but it is hard to entirely trust Brunson to pull the trigger and act consistently. Heinisch’s two-fight UFC win streak has involved him beating world-class BJJ black belts on the back of his incredible pace, tenacity and scrambling ability… but Brunson’s wrestle-boxing style is a different matter entirely.
It’s hard to trust Brunson at this point, obviously, but Heinisch's style is just not particularly functional. ACJ hit some very soft takedowns on him, Brunson's never really had too big an issue with cardio and is also very willing to be conservative with top control when he gets it.
Heinisch is also not particularly good with striking, so a more rush-orientated Brunson could take him out. I feel that it’s close to a 50% chance of a close, ugly, split decision, but I believe Brunson has the majority of the finishing/'dominant fight' upside. Long time tailers probably understand my passion for losing split decisions at +money, so this is probably a good candidate for that.
The 2020 Call of Duty League continues this weekend as we head to Atlanta for the second official event of the season! We have a full preview and betting tips for the action here read more
Three meetings get the new week of racing underway, with winners to be found at Ballina, Gatton and Newcastle. Luke Krahe has provided his best bets for each track here! read more
With seven meetings across Australia today, there's plenty of winners to be found. Luke Krahe has got his best bets for Moruya, Werribee and the Sunshine Coast here! read more
Learn the importance of the Betfair exchange for both recreational and professional punters. In this article we take a closer look at how Betfair works and why it often offers a superior product to the traditional online sports betting operators. read more
The 2019-20 Big Bash League season is set to be a thriller! Check out the full squads for the upcoming BBL09 here read more
In the third instalment of our Betfair instructional series, we take a look at understanding staking plans and how they can be used to stay in control of your bank roll read more
In our next strategy guide for the Betfair platform, we take a look at understanding how the Betfair markets work and what different types of backs and lays you can place with Betfair! read more
The 2020 AFLW season is just around the corner and this year will be bigger than ever! See the full fixture for all 8 rounds in the regular season here read more
The 2019-20 Big Bash League gets underway on Tuesday, the 17th of December and as many of the teams won't have their full compliment of players available to them on night one, we have compiled a predicted starting XI for all eight teams in the first week of the tournament here read more
The Sydney Thunder will be buoyed by the full-time return of star batsman Usman Khawaja this year, but will it be enough to lift them into the finals in BBL09? See our full Sydney Thunder preview here read more
The Sydney Sixers are one of the more successful sides in Big Bash League history, having won the title once and made the finals in five of eight seasons. Can they make waves in BBL09? See our full Sixers team preview here read more