UFC 240 Preview & Betting Tips

July 23rd 2019, 6:31pm, By: Gugabe Picks

This Sunday will see Rogers Place in Alberta, Canada, play host to a cracking card for UFC 240. The lineup is highlighted by a much-awaited Featherweight clash between Max Holloway and Frankie Edgar in the Co-Main Event.

We have experienced UFC betting author Gugabe Picks on board to bring you ongoing UFC coverage for our BYB followers. Gugabe Picks is well-known as a successful MMA sports bettor over at BetMMA Tips and you can follow him on Twitter @Gugabed.

UFC 240 Betting Tips

Max Holloway vs Frankie Edgar

This fight has arguably come about 2-3 years too late for it to present the most compelling possibility, but still will likely be intriguing as a contest due to Holloway’s lack of proven success against elite wrestlers. Edgar has slowed down in recent years, but he’s still doggedly tough and boasts one of the best top control games in the sport’s history.

However, due to Edgar notably losing a step it’s hard to see much of a path to victory, especially as it’d likely requiring outlasting the tireless Holloway down the stretch. Instead, I’d recommend a prop play. Overs will likely make sense in this bout, with both fighters being legendarily durable, and Edgar lacking the defensive lapses of Brian Ortega that allowed Holloway to pile ludicrous amounts of damage on the BJJ fighter.

Deivison Figuerido V Alexandre Pantoja

Deiveson Figuerido is clearly a spectacular athlete, possibly the Flyweight division’s best, but his workrate issues have contributed to his status as a somewhat ‘finish or bust’ fighter. Alexandre Pantoja’s workrate, grappling wiles and striking should be enough to ensure that he is consistently picking up rounds along with taking advantage of Figuerido’s defensive lapses.

Alexandre Pantoja is true to the classic ‘Brazilian Jiu Jitsu + Muay Thai’ archetype that has been used to great effect in the UFC. I feel that he is a very similar fighter to Formiga who recently was able to shut Figuerido out with disciplined offense on the way to a 30-27 unanimous decision. He’s more than capable of tangling in the grappling with Figuerido, and should be safe on the feet.

As a result, I feel that Pantoja is clearly the value side at the current price of $2.00 for his win market. Figuerido will likely need a knockout to win this fight, and Pantoja is defensively sound enough to remain upright in the face of Figuerido’s bursts of high-powered offense. As a result, I’d recommend a play on Pantoja to win at $2.00.

Krzysztof Jotko V Marc-Andre Barriault

In my opinion, Jotko is a top 10 Middleweight who’s been on the wrong side of a few spikes of variance in his last few fights. Barriault is fringe UFC-class, with a game that lacks strong points aside from some decent clinch striking. Although I’d usually be reluctant to play mild favorites in UFC, I’m happy to look at playing Jotko with his current price.

Jotko should have notable advantages in range striking, cardio, fight IQ, athleticism, grappling and more. Clinch striking is the only area I see Barriault really having a meaningful chance of success, though Jotko’s mental state has been a bit shaky in recent fights. Nonetheless, Barriault’s last bout was against Andrew Sanchez, a fighter with similar attributes to Jotko aside from being a lot shakier in cardio and durability. His loss in that bout makes it difficult to see him as lasting at the level of fringe-ranked Middleweights that the UFC has been matching him up against. The main difficulty here is trying to predict what Jotko will do, as Jotko is both willing and capable of grinding out wide decisions against fighters he should be able to finish easily.

As a result, I’d recommend sticking to Jotko to win at $1.62 instead of trying to get fancy with his prop plays. Jotko submission may be value if it’s at least $6.00 at release, but it’s hard to rely on his initiative and willingness to push a finish.



Horse Racing Tips: Friday, December 13th

There's a stack of racing around Australia this Friday, with eight meetings during the day and a further two under lights. Moe, Geelong and Scone are three of the daytime meetings scheduled, and Luke Krahe has provided his best bets for each of them here! read more

Horse Racing Tips: Thursday, December 12th

Magic Millions day at Wyong headlines a big day of racing around Australia this Thursday. The 3&4YO Stakes and the 2YO Classic are the feature races on the card and Luke Krahe has previewed both races here! read more

NFL 2019-20: Week 15 Preview & Betting Tips

Week 15 in the NFL offers a fantastic slate of games and our NFL expert Matta91 is back to preview some of the key matchups of the week here read more

Happy Valley Racing Tips: Wednesday, December 11th

After a huge weekend of Group 1 racing in Hong Kong, racing continues with a standard nine-race card under lights at Happy Valley on the C-course. Check out our tips for every race here! read more


2019-20 Big Bash League (BBL09) Squads

The 2019-20 Big Bash League season is set to be a thriller! Check out the full squads for the upcoming BBL09 here read more

Understanding Betfair Staking Plans

In the third instalment of our Betfair instructional series, we take a look at understanding staking plans and how they can be used to stay in control of your bank roll read more

Understanding the Betfair Markets

In our next strategy guide for the Betfair platform, we take a look at understanding how the Betfair markets work and what different types of backs and lays you can place with Betfair! read more

Understanding Back and Lay Betting on Betfair

Unlike your ‘normal’ betting agency where it’s you versus the Bookmaker, Betfair is a peer-to-peer wagering platform. Betfair allow you to both ‘back’ and ‘lay’ bets, which gives you complete control and a totally unique betting experience. View how full guide to backing and laying here read more


Watch Every Match of BBL09 Live on Kayo

Every match of the Big Bash League will be streamed live on Kayo Sports, along with highlight packages and special cricket programs. Cricket fans watching the BBL09 this season should look no further than Kayo! read more

BBL09 Team Preview: Melbourne Stars

The Melbourne Stars choked away a golden opportunity to win their first Big Bash League title last season. Can they go one step further in BBL09? Check out our full team preview for the Stars here read more

BBL09 Team Preview: Melbourne Renegades

The Melbourne Renegades made history last season by claiming their first Big Bash League title. Can they go back to back in BBL09? See our team preview for the Gades here read more

BBL09 Team Preview: Hobart Hurricanes

The Hobart Hurricanes have come painfully close to their maiden premiership over the last two years in the Big Bash League. Can they break the hoodoo in BBL09? Catch our team preview for the Hurricanes here read more