Saturday Horse Race: Epsom Handicap Preview and Tips

October 3rd 2015, 2:17am, By: tim_tips

The Star 150th Epsom 1600m - Group 1

Fantastic contest here and once again Chris Waller holds a strong hand. Historically the females have struggled to win this race but this year could be different. Expecting the track to be somewhere in the Good 3 range and there looks to be a decent enough tempo which should leave no excuses for those coming from the back.

HOOKED: won well first up over 1400m before dropping out badly to finish last in the George Main last start. Gets top weight in this handicap although the 2kg weight spread gives him every chance. Draws well and will get a great run, he can bounce back. Place chance.

LUCIA VALENTINA: Comes into this 3rd up from a break where her record is 4 starts for 3 wins and a placing. Only finished 2.5L off Kermadec last start and her 2nd up runs are always her worst so that is fairly encouraging. Looking for longer than 1600m but gets the aid of a good barrier and what looks to be a decent tempo. Zac Purton booked for the ride (he is also riding her in the Cox Plate) so she will get every chance. 

ENTIRELY PLATINUM: has returned in great order and looks to have made the step up to be a genuine WFA Group 1 horse. First up he went down by a nostril to Boban before being beaten by half a length in the Makybe Diva. Draws wide so he will be looking to cross over early to either lead or sit outside Ecuador. If the tempo is slow he will have every chance to win. 

WINX: her win first up in the Theo Marks was the best win I've seen from a horse in a while. Her final 200m was absolutely scintillating and proved that she has the ability to be a superstar. Draws wide here but she will go back anyway. Has to carry weight but the 2kg spread negates that a bit and she's been aimed at this race all along. Has to overcome the female hoodoo but I think she's your winner.

MESSENE: has started to regain some sort of form with a couple of placings in Group 2 races. Has a good record at 1600m but he would need to improve quite significantly if he was to win this.

RUDY: has been running well in Group 2 and Group 3 races so far this prep but they have all been on his favoured wet tracks. With the track expected to be firm his chances are hampered. Does have a good record at 1600m and he comes into this as a place chance.

SILVERBALL: Another great hope for Waller. Won well in a Group 3 over 2000m last start and has been freshened up for this race over 1600m which is the same tactic Waller used for last year's Epsom winner He's Your Man. Silverball has a great record over 1600m and with the drop in weight as well as the good draw he will have every chance. Not sure he can beat his stablemate Winx, although he will get first run on her.

ECUADOR: comes into this 3rd up from a spell so should be at peak fitness. Has only finished outside the top two in one of his 4 runs over 1600m and looks to be the likely leader from barrier 7. He was good first up before disappointing as favourite in a Group 3 last start. He needs to improve but stands a chance of placing.

KIRRAMOSA: Her form doesn't read as well as she is actually going at the moment. All three runs this prep have been good and she ran on well to finish 3 lengths behind Kermadec last start. I think we'll see the best of her over 2000m+ and a few of these could be too slick over 1600m, but she is going well.

SWEYNESSE: Really looking for 2000m in my opinion but comes into this 3rd up so should be about ready to fire, and he probably hasn't been suited by the soft tracks in his first two runs back from a break. Drawn awkwardly but with a firmer track he could improve sharply, especially with the addition of the tongue tie. Godolphin's top shot so looks value to me.

SADLER'S LAKE: The third of Waller's chances in the race. Two runs for two wins so far this prep and both have been pretty impressive. Possibly prefers the tracks a bit softer as she has got in both those wins, so it will be interesting to see how she handles the firm ground today. Great record over 1600m and a great record at Randwick too; gets a good draw and won't be surprised to see her run feature in the finish.

SONS OF JOHN: Returned with a fantastic run in the Theo Marks where he deserved to win but was just beaten by what could be a superstar in Winx. The step up to 1600m will suit him but he is drawn in the carpark which could give him some grief. Worse off at the weights with Winx and he won't beat her but he can place if he gets a good ride.

MALICE: Runner up in a Group 3 at Newcastle last start and the 2kg weight spread really doesn't help his cause here. Looks to be outclassed but does have the aid of Joao Moreira in the saddle. Not for me.

TERONADO: Brisbane galloper having a throw at the stumps here. Getting back onto a firm track will suit him but he is severely outclassed here and the weight scale decreases his chances even further. 

PRESSING: Handy little horse on his day and placed behind Disposition last start which has worked out to be great form but off 56kg here his task looks to be a very tough one.

Summary

Just can't go past WINX after her unbelievable win last start. She was only first up on that occasion and should be even better 2nd up today. The stable have aimed her at this all along and she is the clear top pick. SWEYNESSE gets the addition of a tongue tie today and back onto a dry surface could see him improve sharply. He can give this a shake at big odds. Lucia Valentina has an outstanding record 3rd up from a spell and has Zac Purton booked to ride; expect her to run well. SILVERBALL follows a similar path to last year's winner He's Your Man and should be thereabouts, while Hooked, Entirely Platinum and Sons Of John are all place chances.

1st - WINX
2nd - SWEYNESSE
3rd - SILVERBALL
4th - LUCIA VALENTINA

Promotions

Ladbrokes

Epsom Handicap Money Back Promo:  Place a fixed odds win bet on the Epsom Handicap, Race 7 at Randwick this Saturday, and if your horse finishes 2nd or 3rd, you'll receive cash back up to $100!  That's cold, hard cash, not a bonus bet! What a great offer!

Turnbull Stakes Day Boost: Ladbrokes are offering you 50% extra on your very first fixed odds winning bet in Races 1-5 at Flemington this Sunday. Max bet $50.

CrownBet

CrownBet Boost: Receive enhanced prices for eight horses across eight different races at Randwick and Caulfield on Saturday. Promotion available from 11am-1pm Saturday. Details will be provided on the CrownBet website.

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Multi Bonus: Place a Fixed Odds win 3+leg multi on any metro venue this Saturday, and if one leg fails, you'll receive a bonus bet refund up to $50.

Live Vision: CrownBet also offer free streaming vision of all Victorian horse races for its customers on their website, so you can watch Victorian races live.

Bonus Bet Refund: Place a Fixed Odds win bet on any of the five Group 1 races from Moonee Valley, Randwick or Flemington over the weekend, and if your horse finishes 2nd or 3rd, you'll receive a bonus bet refund matching your stake up to $100.

Crownbet money back promotion

 

Palmerbet

Money Back Promo: Place a win bet on The Metropolitan, Race 9 at Randwick on Saturday and if your horse finishes 2nd or 3rd, you'll receive your money back up to $50. Check the website for details.

Luxbet

10% More Winnings: Place a Bookies Best +10% bet on any of the first four races at Randwick or Caulfield this Saturday, and you’ll get 10% more winnings than the best price out of Sportsbet’s Top Tote Plus, CrownBet’s Best Tote Plus and William Hill’s Best Tote +5%. Maximum stake $250.

Epsom Handicap Money Back Promo:  Place a fixed odds win bet on the Epsom Handicap, Race 7 at Randwick this Saturday, and if your horse finishes 2nd or 3rd, you'll receive a bonus bet refund up to $100

Sportsbet

Place a Win bet on the Turnbull Stakes, Race 7 at Flemington this Sunday, and if your horse finishes 2nd or 3rd, receive cash back matching your stake up to $100. Applies to your first bet only.

William Hill Australia

Randwick Money Back Offer: Place a Fixed Odds win bet on Races 1-4 at Randwick this Saturday, and if your horse finishes in the first half of the field but doesn't win, you'll receive cash back up to $25!

William Hill Australia

Turnbull Stakes Money Back Offer: Place a fixed odds bet on the Turnbull Stakes, Race 7 at Flemington this Sunday, and if your horse finishes 2nd or 3rd, you'll receive cash back up to $50!

Racing In-Play Offer: Bet on all Melbourne metro races on Saturday 3rd October 2015 for the first 20 seconds of the race at the fixed odds from the time of jump. Max bet $25 per runner.

Quaddie Insurance: Place your first quaddie at Ranwick this Saturday and if your last leg loses, get cash back matching your stake up to $50.

Premium Prices: Receive special over the odds prices on selected horse races this Saturday around the country. Head to the website for more details.

Bookmaker

Epsom Handicap Money Back Promo:  Place a fixed odds win bet on the Epsom Handicap, Race 7 at Randwick this Saturday, and if your horse finishes 2nd or 3rd, you'll receive a bonus bet refund up to $100

Turnbull Stakes Money Back Offer: Place a fixed odds bet on the Turnbull Stakes, Race 7 at Flemington this Sunday, and if your horse finishes 2nd or 3rd, you'll receive cash back up to $50!

BetStar

Manifold Stakes Promo:  Place a fixed odds win bet on the Manifold Stakes, Race 5 at Flemington this Sunday, and if your horse finishes 2nd or 3rd, you'll receive a bonus bet refund up to $100

Lay of the Day: Get boosted odds on a selected horse this Saturday. Max bet $50. Check the website for more details.

Centrebet

Epsom Handicap Money Back Promo:  Place a fixed odds win bet on the Epsom Handicap, Race 7 at Randwick this Saturday, and if your horse finishes 2nd or 3rd, you'll receive cash back up to $50

Quaddie Insurance: Place your first quaddie at Caulfield this Saturday and if your last leg loses, get cash back matching your stake up to $50.

BetHQ

No Loss Weekend! New customers can enjoy a no lose weekend at BetHQ. Get busy on the punt over the weekend, and on Monday morning, if your account has suffered a loss, then the difference will be refunded as a bonus bet up to $500!

BetHQ No Loss Weekend

 

TopBetta

Horse Racing Tournaments from Randwick and Caulfield

Another Saturday full of big fun and even bigger prize pools awaits at TopBetta with their fantastic array of Australian horse racing betting tournaments. Compete against other punters and whoever can accumulate the most winnings during the day with their tournament dollars will scoop the lion's share of the prize pool! Great fun for a Saturday on the punt with minimal risk and big cash to be won!

 

Make sure to read full terms and conditions of any betting promotion before placing any bets. 

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Take note: Any of the tips in this article are simply the author’s opinion, so bet at your own risk and always gamble responsibly.  Also be sure to check out the Before You Bet Twitter Page for all our thoughts in the lead up to bets! Happy punting!

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