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Port Adelaide vs Adelaide Preview & Tips: 2026 AFL Round 16

June 26th 2026, 9:20pm, By: Andy Rosos

Port Adelaide vs Adelaide Prediction & Betting Tips: AFL 2026 Round 16

Showdown 60 takes centre stage on Saturday night at Adelaide Oval, with the stakes as high as ever despite the two clubs heading in very different directions. Adelaide sit firmly in the top-four race with a 9-5 record, while Port Adelaide are battling through injuries and a difficult run of form that has seen them lose six of their past seven matches.

We bring you our full preview and expert tips for the Power vs Crows clash below. And if you’re keen to back in our tips, consider doing so at Bet365 - one of the biggest and best sportsbooks in the world!  

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Port Adelaide vs Adelaide Prediction & Betting Tips: AFL 2026 Round 16 

Power Running on Empty

Port Adelaide's season has hit a major speed bump, with six losses from their last seven matches leaving them on the outside looking in. Their most recent defeat came against Collingwood, where they failed to kick a goal after half-time following a horror run of injuries during the third quarter.

Jason Horne-Francis battled hard with 30 disposals, 15 contested possessions and six clearances, while Zak Butters again shouldered a heavy midfield workload despite receiving plenty of attention from opposition taggers. With Connor Rozee still unavailable and more key players joining the casualty ward, the Power head into the biggest game of their season severely undermanned.

Josh Carr has swung the selection axe, making five changes for the Showdown and recalling Ollie Wines among several inclusions. The emotion of the occasion will undoubtedly lift Port Adelaide, but the lack of depth and continuity remains a significant concern against one of the competition's form teams.

 

Crows Soaring into September Contention

Adelaide continue to build an impressive campaign under Matthew Nicks, improving to 9-5 with a gritty 17-point comeback victory over Melbourne last weekend. The Crows have now won six of their last seven matches and are firmly in the hunt for a top-four finish.

Josh Rachele kicked three goals against the Demons, including the sealer, while Riley Thilthorpe once again delivered in a big moment with the go-ahead major late in the contest. Wayne Milera was outstanding before his injury, Rory Laird collected 26 disposals, and Sam Berry continued his breakout season with 24 touches, seven clearances and eight score involvements.

The return of Isaac Cumming and Josh Worrell strengthens an already well-balanced side, and Adelaide's ability to win territory, pressure the ball carrier and generate repeat inside 50s gives them a clear edge heading into another chapter of South Australia's greatest rivalry.

 

What to Expect? 

The Crows have simply been the better side for most of 2026 and arrive with far more stability, confidence and firepower than their cross-town rivals. They have won six of the last seven Showdowns and look capable of controlling large portions of this contest through their midfield depth and superior ball movement.

Port Adelaide pushed Adelaide to within a point earlier in the year, but that was with a much healthier list. The Power are now battling an injury crisis, while the Crows continue to welcome important players back into the fold. Adelaide should have too much class across all areas of the ground and look well placed to cover the 24.5-point line.


Crows -24.5

$1.90(1.5 Unit)

 

Port Adelaide vs Adelaide Prop Bet 

Fogarty has quietly put together another excellent season and shapes as a major threat against a Port Adelaide defence that has been heavily impacted by injuries over the past month. Loves the physical nature of Showdowns, where his contested marking and ability to create opportunities inside 50 become even more valuable. With Adelaide expected to generate plenty of forward entries, 2+ goals for Fogarty looks like one of the stronger player props on the board. 

Fogarty 2+ Goals

$2.30

 

Port Adelaide vs Adelaide Same Game Multi 

Zak Butters 25+ Disposals | Jordan Dawson 20+ Disposals | Izak Rankine 20+ Disposals

Butters is a proven Showdown performer and has consistently found the football against Adelaide, making 25+ disposals a very achievable number despite the extra attention he receives. Jordan Dawson continues to set the tone for the Crows through the middle and across half-back, rarely missing the 20-disposal mark, while Izak Rankine's move into more midfield minutes has transformed his fantasy output. His ability to impact both at stoppages and inside 50 makes 20+ disposals another strong play for the multi.

Same Game Multi

$2.40

 

Port Adelaide vs Adelaide Match Info & Betting Odds 

Date: Saturday
Time: 7:35pm AEST
Location: Adelaide Oval, Adelaide

Odds: Port Adelaide ($4.00) vs Adelaide ($1.25)
Line: -24.5
Points: 162.5

  

Where to Watch Port Adelaide vs Adelaide

You can watch the Power vs Crows live and ad-free on Kayo Sports

 

Tail our AFL 2026 Tips at Bet365!  

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Andy Rosos is a senior writer and analyst at Before You Bet, where he’s been sharing betting insights for over ten years. With a degree in sports journalism and a sharp eye for value, Andy specialises in identifying longshot contenders on the PGA Tour and has built a loyal following for his weekly golf previews. His work also extends across cricket and AFL, where he combines statistical analysis with deep game knowledge to deliver well-rounded tips for punters.

A diehard St Kilda supporter and self-confessed cricket tragic, Andy’s passion for sport extends beyond the mainstream — including a weekly punt on the Call of Duty League. Whether it's a Test match at the MCG or a late-night esports showdown, he’s always hunting for an edge. If there’s value to be found, chances are Andy’s already on it.

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