Liverpool have made the early running, sitting five points clear at the top of the table after five games in the English Premier League. Matchday 6 looms as a crucial weekend for the likes of Arsenal, Newcastle and Man City, who cannot afford to fall any further behind the league leaders.
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EPL 2025-26: Matchday 6 Preview & Betting Tips
Chelsea vs Brighton
Stamford Bridge, Sunday 28th September, 12:00am AEST
Chelsea will be looking to bounce back from a frustrating loss last week, when they take on Brighton at home. Robert Sanchez’s red card in the 5th minute set the tempo for a terrible performance in their 2-1 defeat against Manchester United last week. Chelsea had 59% possession but had 6 fewer shots on goal than United, and only managed 1 shot on target.
It’s been a woeful start to the season for Brighton, who have just one win from their first five games. The Seagulls have a 1-2-2 record and are languishing in 14th position on the table, in desperate need of a win to breathe life into their season. Brighton have conceded in every game this season, conceding the 5th most goals in the Premier League (8 goals conceded). At the other end, Chelsea are the equal second highest scoring team in the league (10 goals), and will be looking to expose an out of form Brighton back four.
Chelsea were one of the best teams in the league at home last season, with a 12-5-2 record at Stamford Bridge. Chelsea have also had the wood over Brighton in the last two years, winning three of the last four Premier League fixtures between the two clubs. In those three wins, Chelsea have ran riot in the front third, scoring 9 goals across those three wins. Chelsea will be desperate to bounce back after a disappointing performance, and their work in the front third will be too strong for Brighton to overcome.
Chelsea to Win
$1.80 (1.5 Units)
Crystal Palace vs Liverpool
Selhurst Park, Sunday 28th September, 12:00am AEST
Liverpool will be looking for their sixth straight win to start the season, when they head to South London to take on Crystal Palace. Not many people would’ve thought this would be a top five clash, but Palace are the only undefeated team apart from Liverpool, with two wins and three draws from their five games. Arne Slot’s side are in a prime position to go back to back, already sitting five points clear at the top of the table, with many of the contenders struggling to start the season.
Liverpool’s 2-1 win in the Merseyside Derby continued their outstanding season, where they are the number one ranked attacking team (11 goals scored) and the 6th ranked defence (5 goals conceded). Crystal Palace’s positive start to the season has been built on their defence, which has conceded the fewest goals in the league, with only two goals against through five games.
This matchup has been one way traffic over the last eight years, with Liverpool dominating proceedings. Since August 2017, Liverpool have had 12 wins, 3 draws and only one loss in Premier League games against Crystal Palace. Going on the road hasn’t been an issue for Liverpool either, who had a league best 11-5-3 away record last season. Although they’re in sixth place, Crystal Palace have only played two teams in the top 10 so far this season, and none of the top four teams. Liverpool looms as a massive reality check for Palace, who will show them how far they’re off the best team in the league.
Liverpool to Win
$1.90 (2 Units)
Newcastle vs Arsenal
St James’ Park, Monday 29th September, 1:30am AEST
The biggest game of the weekend takes place on Monday morning in the north, when Arsenal travel to take on Newcastle. The Gunners needed a Gabriel Martinelli goal in stoppage time to rescue a point against Manchester City last week, failing to capitalise on their dominance in general play. The Gunners had 12 shots to 5, and had 67% possession, but once again failed to take all three points against one of the best sides, a trend that has become all too familiar in the Mikel Arteta era. The draw has Arsenal already 5 points behind Liverpool, and they simply cannot afford to lose any more ground on the league leaders.
Newcastle have had a tough start to season ‘25/’26, with only one win from their first five games. The Magpies won their last start at home against Wolverhampton, and will be confident playing Arsenal at home. Newcastle have won their last two home games against Arsenal in the Premier League, and will be looking for their defence to strangle the Gunners. Newcastle have the equal second best defence in the league this season having conceded only 3 goals, while Arsenal have the equal best defence having only conceded 2 goals.
This will likely be a tight tussle with both teams leaning on their defence, and the Gunners have shown their inability to take risks and play enterprising football in games like this. All these factors in play, a defensive minded game means Newcastle are excellent value in the handicap markets. Eddie Howe’s side are more than capable of beating Arsenal, but they can certainly at a minimum keep this game close enough to take them +1.
Newcastle +1
$1.70 (1.5 Units)
