It’s a huge Sunday in the AFL in Round 25 with all three matches having huge finals implications. The last to get underway is the night fixture between Brisbane and Hawthorn, with a top 4 spot and a double chance in the finals awaiting the winner.
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Brisbane vs Hawthorn Prediction & Betting Tips: AFL 2025 Round 25
Lions’ Best is Still the Best
The final game of the home-and-away season is a virtual elimination final for a top-four spot, as the Brisbane Lions host the red-hot Hawthorn Hawks at the Gabba. For the Lions, it’s a chance to secure the coveted double chance after a season of fluctuating form. Their recent results have been inconsistent, following a win-loss pattern over the last month. They bounced back to their best last week, however, dismantling Fremantle in Perth to keep their top-four hopes alive. While the Gabba hasn't been the impenetrable fortress of past seasons, the Lions will be banking on their home-ground advantage in a high-stakes clash to find the consistency that has eluded them.
Hawks Form is Elite
Hawthorn enters the final round as the competition's form team, having won eight of their last ten matches to surge into premiership contention. Sam Mitchell's side is brimming with confidence, underscored by their demolition of their opponents in recent weeks. They dismantled Collingwood by 64 points two weeks ago and followed it up with a comprehensive 36-point victory over Melbourne last weekend. The Hawks are playing a powerful, exciting brand of football built on aggressive ball movement and a potent forward line, and they will travel to Brisbane with no fear, knowing a win will see them return to the top four.
Recent H2H History
Recent history between these two clubs makes for fascinating reading. Hawthorn has surprisingly held the wood over Brisbane, winning five of their last six encounters. However, the Lions broke that losing streak in their most recent meeting, claiming a 33-point victory at the MCG in Round 11 this year. Crucially, this will be the first time the teams have met at the Gabba since 2019, a match the Lions won, suggesting Hawthorn's recent dominance has come on neutral or home territory.
Who Finishes Top 4? Here’s Our Lions vs Hawks Tip
This promises to be a finals-like contest worthy of the occasion. Brisbane at the Gabba is a formidable task for any side, and with a double chance on the line, they will be ferocious. However, Hawthorn is playing with a belief and system that is sweeping all before them. The Hawks have proven they can match it with the very best, and their recent performances have been more convincing than Brisbane's. While the Lions may start as favourites at home, expect the Hawks to take the fight right up to them and push them all the way in a thriller. The Hawks are a great chance to win, and I like them to cover the +9.5 point spread.
Hawthorn +9.5
$1.88 (1.5 Units)
Brisbane vs Hawthorn Prop Bet
Here’s Our Best Prop Bet: Gunston 3+
Jack Gunston has had a sensational year and is in line to get an All-Australian guernsey, which you would’ve got massive odds for prior to the season’s commencement. He’s kicked a career-high 60 goals from his 19 matches and there’s no signs of him slowing down – in fact he’s actually ramping things up. Gunston have kicked 3+ goals in five straight matches and is coming off an equal career-best seven goals against the Demons last weekend. Back him in to have another big day in front of the sticks.
Jack Gunston 3+ Goals
$2.25
Brisbane vs Hawthorn Same Game Multi
Hawthorn +16.5: See best bet.
Gunston 3+ Goals: See prop bet.
Zac Bailey 20+ Disposals: He’s relishing more midfield time and had collected 20+ disposals in six straight matches and had 28 last week.
Same Game Multi Odds: $4.00 at Dabble
Brisbane vs Hawthorn Betting Odds & Match Info
Date: Sunday, August 24th 2025
Time: 7:20pm AEST
Location: Gabba, Brisbane
Odds: Brisbane $1.62 vs Hawthorn $2.30
Line: Brisbane -6.5
Points: 167.5
Where to Watch Brisbane vs Hawthorn
You can watch the Lions vs Hawks clash live and ad-free on Kayo Sports.
Back in our Brisbane vs Hawthorn Tips at Dabble!
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