The second game on Saturday’s AFL slate sees a red hot Geelong outfit aiming for a fifth straight win when they take on Essendon at the MCG. The undermanned Bombers have been competitive over the last fortnight, can they take it up to the Cats?
Check out our preview and Bombers vs Cats tips for the match below!
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Essendon vs Geelong Predictions & Tips: 2025 AFL Round 14
The Cats are Coming
Whilst the fanfare this season has largely been slated towards Collingwood and Brisbane, Geelong have been building nicely, to sit in fourth place heading into Round 14. The Cats are half a game behind second place and are on a four-game winning streak thanks to their 24-point win against the Suns last week. Arguably the most impressive part of Geelong’s season has been their work against the stronger sides in the competition. Geelong have a 5-1 record against the current top eight teams, legitimising their case as genuine premiership contenders.
Brave, but not Good Enough
For the second week in a row the Bombers fought back from a significant quarter time deficit to be within a goal in the dying stages, but couldn’t get over the line. 12 of the 25 goals Essendon have conceded in the last fortnight have come in the first quarter, but they’ve shown resilience and a defensive backbone that they’ve been lacking for quite some time. In four of their last six games Essendon have held their opposition to under 79 points, despite having only one key defender available for selection. With Mason Redman going down with injury last week, it leaves Andy McGrath as the only first choice defender available for the Dons.
Stats That Matter
Geelong’s attacking capacity is a frightening prospect for a decimated Essendon defence, with the Cats the third highest scoring team in the AFL this season, averaging 98 points per game. Before playing in heavy rain last week, the Cats had kicked five consecutive scores above 105 points, Essendon have only kicked 100 points in a game once this season.
Geelong’s blend of control and chaos allows them to succeed regardless of what the opposition throws up. Geelong ranks 2nd for marks and 2nd for kicks, highlighting their ability to control the game. However the Cats are also a brilliant ground ball team ranking 1st for tackles, 1st for tackles inside forward 50, 1st for pressure acts, 3rd for forward 50 ground ball gets and 5th for ground ball gets.
This balance has led to an excellent scoring profile, ranking 1st for scores from forward half, 2nd for scores from stoppage, 3rd for scores from turnover, 4th for scores from centre bounce and 6th for scores from defensive half. They can get you in any different manner, which makes them so dangerous.
So who wins? Here's our Bombers vs Cats Tip
As we’ve highlighted earlier, Geelong is arguably the most well rounded team in the competition and they shouldn’t have any troubles getting past an injury riddled Essendon side. The big advantage for Geelong will be in their forward 50, with Jeremy Cameron, Shannon Neale and Ollie Henry all set to get favourable matchups. If the forwards get good supply, this game could get very ugly.
Geelong have well and truly had the wood over Essendon, in what has been one of the most one way matchups across the last 20 years. Since 2006 Geelong have won 19 of their 22 matches against Essendon. The Cats are currently on a seven game winning streak against the Bombers, with an average winning margin of 50 points. Essendon have only gotten within five goals once in those seven games, and this game will follow a similar trend.
Geelong -29.5
$1.90 (2 units)
Bombers vs Cats Prop Bet: Stengle to Snag a Bag
Our Best Player Prop Bet: Stengle to Kick 3+ Goals
Tyson Stengle was the difference in a low scoring affair against the Suns, kicking 4 of Geelong’s 9 goals. Stengle has kicked 8 goals across the last three weeks, and has had a strong record against the Bombers since joining Geelong, kicking 3, 3 and 4 goals against Essendon.
Tyson Stengle 3+ Goals
$3.30
Bombers vs Cats Same Game Multi
Bailey Smith 25+ Disposals: Bailey Smith has had an outstanding season averaging 31 disposals per game. Smith has recorded 30+ disposals in five straight games and has reached the 25+ disposal mark in all 11 games he’s played in 2025. Fresh after a spell last week, Smith will be primed for another big performance.
Max Holmes 25+ Disposals: With Smith out last week, Holmes lifted with a career high 40 disposals. Holmes has been outstanding over the last five weeks, averaging 30 disposals per game and reaching the 25+ disposal mark in four of his last five games.
Tyson Stengle 2+ Goals: As mentioned above, Stengle has been in outstanding form, kicking 11 goals in his last 5 games, kicking multiple goals in four of those five games.
Same Game Multi Odds: $3.40 at Dabble
Essendon vs Geelong Betting Odds & Match Info
Date: Saturday, 14th June
Time: 4:15pm AEST
Location: MCG, Melbourne
Weather: Partly cloudy, light showers, 12 degrees.
Odds: Essendon ($4.50) vs Geelong ($1.20)
Line: Geelong -29.5
Points: 163.5
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Where to Watch Essendon vs Geelong?
You can watch all the Bombers vs Cats action on Kayo Sports.
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