Event: 2013 RBC Canadian Open
When: Begins - Thursday, July 27th
The PGA tour heads north of the border into Canada this weekend for the RBC Canadian Open. Glen Abbey will play host this year and it was last played here in 2009, which was won by one of our very own, Australia’s Nathan Green. He carded a four round total of -18 that year. I don’t think scores will be quite that low this time round but certainly easier than Scotland last week.
Glen Abbey is a park-style Golf course with a combination of small greens and rough that has been described as "gnarly" by one Graeme McDowell. Glen Abbey was also originally designed by the Golden Bear 'Jack Nicklaus'. All players that played in the Open Championship last week will be kids in a candy shop' this weekend. Lush and soft under foot, trees and structures to guard you from the weather, but this won’t be a walk in the park. The greens were firm today from all reports at the Pro-Am with alot of subtle breaks. Should finish up somewhere around the 13 under mark.
I think you have to go back to about 1954 to find a Canadian player to win the 'Canadian Open', so while everyone tries to find which Canadian golfer will break through this year, I’m taking a different approach. Let’s just look at players that will take advantage of the course... but what if one of those players, that is leading in say Greens in Regulation (On the whole PGA Tour ) is a Canadian as well? Who could this mystery man be.
Enter Graham DeLaet. DeLaet actually got my attention earlier on in the year when I was searching for value in some long shots. He was #1 in GIR and approximately 150-1. If my memory serves me correctly it was the week before the US Open and we took DeLaet at 150-1, so when he was leading through 3 rounds as you can imagine we were excited. I think he shot a 74 on the final day about 6-10 shots off where he needed to be. I've watched him with interest since then and he is slowly tapering off. I'm not saying he will never win a PGA tour event but I don’t think he is ready (or knows how to win ) yet. Don’t get me wrong he is a talented golfer and its easy for me or us to pick apart his game from the comfort of our lounge chair. But I’m just calling it as I see it. I hope he proves me wrong but we will not be making a play on Graham DeLaet especially at the "discounted country favorite price of 29-1". No value there.
Worth a Mention: Brian Hadley has been touted as Canadians version of Tin Cup. He works at a pro shop in Thames Valley Golf Club, Ontario. Hadley shot a 59 at a PGA of Ontario event. A 59!!!! He won his way into the RBC Canadian Open by winning a Qualifier earlier this month. Do I think he will win? Not really. Will I put a dollar on him @ 500-1 and dare him to dream? Well heck why not, he does live and play these courses all the time as well. Not the best though.
Anyway let’s get to the good stuff. We are going for the PGA hatrick this week as we gave away free plays on Jordan Speith for the John Deere and Phil Mickelson at the Open Championship. Just a lazy 40-1 and 20-1 there for two sets of huge profits for our readers.
For the 2013 Canadian Open, we have 2 strong plays, 2 Value plays and also a few fun plays which I’m naming "the shagbag". These players will most likely be over 100-1 and in some cases 500-1. Check it all out below.
STRONGEST PLAY: Graeme McDowell: There will be a fairy tale ending in Canada this weekend but it won’t be for a Canadian golfer… in fact it won’t really be a fairy tale for Graeme Mc dowell when he wins either. The fairytale ending is for the RBC. You see back in April McDowell won the RBC Heritage in South Carolina, beating Webb Simpson in a playoff. It would be a good story and publicity for the RBC to have a sole winner of both their events. McDowell was the center of attention at the Pro Am, and such a 'Good Bloke ' taking time out for every child there and not just signing autographs either, He was genuine and looked like he was having a great time too. A happy golfer is a winning golfer. Just look at Mickelson and Tiger as a contrast last week. So while the Royal Bank of Canada is cashing cheques this weekend I figure we may as well cash in too.
STRONG PLAY 2: Dustin Johnson: Remember when Johnson grounded his club in a "wash away bunker" and it cost him his first ever Major? Talk about a cool character. I know personally if I had that kind of ruling directly effect a result, I’m not sure if I'd take it the way Johnson did. I’m really not sure if half the players out there would take it in their stride like Johnson did. This is the type of golfer I'll happily place my money with. That, plus every other golfer has to play the Par 72 Glen Abbey, while Dustin seemingly gets to play the Par 68 Glen Abbey, and that's not because he's playing from the public tee Boxes. It’s because he is so damn long off the tee. Yeah other players will muscle a few down there on the four par 5's Glen Abbey has to offer (3 of those are on the back 9 mind you), while Johnson will just play them as a par 4's.
VALUE PLAY 1: Daniel Sommerhays: So close in the last couple of events, yet so far. Good effort and almost winning might get the applause and cheers from his Mother and ( bank account ), but until you can bet on ‘PGA TOUR good effort awards’ , I would like him to finally clutch up on Sunday and go get the win. Talent is there. But He is on notice with Before You Bet. Still good value at 40-1 and more, for an in-form young guy. I believe that these are the type of odds we should be seeing for Graham DeLaet.
VALUE PLAY 2: Morgan Hoffman: Another guy around the mark. At odds nearing $100-1, I'm buying. It’s kind of like those shares you bought, that you weren’t in love with at the time but when you wake up Monday morning and see Hoffman on the leader board all of the sudden you forgot why you hated those shares in the first place. Always seems to be giving himself a good chance.
THE SHAG BAG
These players are paying in well excess of $100-1, but are a little bit of value for those who want a small investment for a large return.
Nathan Green (Did win this event in 2009, so we will put him in the not-so-shaggy bag)
Do we honestly think the any of the qualifiers will win? No, but for $5 you can look like a GENIUS come Monday when you exchange a gold coin for a bag of money. These are the local Qualifiers we like the look of.
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