Semi-final week in the AFL continues on Saturday night with a mouth-watering matchup between Brisbane and Gold Coast. It’s the first ever QClash final and it should be a spicy contest as both clubs look to book their ticket to the ‘G to take on the Magpies.
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Brisbane vs Gold Coast Prediction & Betting Tips: AFL Second Semi-Final
Lions Cruelled by Injury
For the first time in AFL history, a finals match will be an all-Queensland affair as the Brisbane Lions prepare to host the Gold Coast Suns in a semi-final showdown at the Gabba on Saturday night. The Lions, a seasoned finals campaigner, are entering the clash under a cloud of uncertainty. Their recent form has been patchy, culminating in a sobering 38-point defeat to Geelong at the MCG last weekend. The loss itself was concerning, but the bigger blows came on the injury front, with Brownlow medallist Lachie Neale ruled out for the remainder of the season with a calf injury, while Hipwood will also miss the rest of September with a knee issue. Hipwood's absence leaves a significant void in their forward structure, while the loss of Neale's midfield dominance and leadership is a devastating blow to their premiership aspirations. Chris Fagan's side now faces the ultimate test of its depth and resilience against a local rival brimming with confidence.
Suns Pass the Test
In stark contrast, the Gold Coast Suns are riding a wave of emotion and momentum after a fairytale finals debut. Their thrilling one-point victory over the Fremantle Dockers in Perth was a testament to their newfound belief and fighting spirit. In a tense and dramatic final quarter, it was fitting that one of their inaugural players, the retiring David Swallow, kicked the winning point to etch their name into the AFL history books. The scenes of jubilation that followed spoke volumes of the club's journey to its first-ever finals win. Having broken their September duck at the first attempt, the Suns will travel up the M1 with a nothing-to-lose attitude, a dangerous proposition for any opponent, let alone their big brother rivals.
Recent History
The head-to-head history between these two clubs has been largely one-sided in favour of the Lions. Brisbane has dominated the QClash rivalry for much of the Suns' existence. However, the most recent encounter saw the Suns inflict a stunning 66-point defeat on the Lions, a result that will undoubtedly be fresh in the minds of both teams. That match signaled a potential power shift in Queensland football, with the Suns' midfield running rampant. While the Lions have historically had the wood over their neighbours, the context of this final, with Brisbane's injuries and the Suns' newfound confidence, makes this the most anticipated QClash ever.
Who Advances? Here’s Our Lions vs Suns Tip
This semi-final promises to be a tense, absorbing contest that goes down to the wire. The Lions, playing at their Gabba fortress, will be desperate to bounce back and prove their premiership credentials are still intact, even without a couple of their key cogs. The Suns, on the other hand, are playing with a sense of freedom and destiny that could carry them to another famous victory. While the Lions' experience in finals football is a significant advantage, the Suns' recent form and their psychological edge from their last encounter cannot be discounted. Expect a fierce battle from the opening bounce to the final siren, but the inspired and fearless Suns, with a +9.5 point spread, look poised to cover the line in what could be another famous chapter in their inaugural finals campaign.
Gold Coast +9.5
$1.91 (1.5 Units)
Brisbane vs Gold Coast Prop Bet
Our Best Prop Bet: Will Ashcroft 30+ Disposals
Lachie Neale has been ruled out for the season with a calf injury and Hugh McCluggage has been getting some more attention from opposition negators, so this means it’s Will Ashcroft who will need to lead the way in the engine room for the Lions. Ashcroft had 30 touches against the Cats last weekend and has reached that mark three times from his past five outings. Clearly, he’s a big game player and this is a BIG game.
Will Ashcroft 30+ Disposals
$2.50
Brisbane vs Gold Coast Same Game Multi
Gold Coast to Win: Going for some more value for our SGM and taking the Suns to win.
Bailey Humphrey 2+ Goals: A real wildcard for the Suns and was excellent last week with three goals against the Dockers. He’s now kicked 3+ goals three times from his last five outings.
Will Ashcroft 25+ Disposals: As mentioned above in our prop bet, with Neale out and McCluggage a chance to get some opposition attention, the best play for the Lions from a disposals standpoint is to back in Will Ashcroft.
Same Game Multi Odds: $5.50 at Dabble
Brisbane vs Gold Coast Betting Odds & Match Info
Date: Saturday, September 13th 2025
Time: 7:35pm AEST
Location: Gabba, Brisbane
Weather: 22 degrees, partly cloudy
Odds: Brisbane $1.62 vs Gold Coast $2.30
Line: Brisbane –8.5
Points: 167.5
Where to Watch Brisbane vs Gold Coast
You can watch the Lions vs Suns clash on Channel 7 or live and ad-free on Kayo Sports.
Back In our Brisbane vs Gold Coast Tips at Dabble!
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