Melbourne remain undefeated through Round 8 of the 2022 AFL season, with Brisbane and Fremantle looming as their main contenders. However while Sydney stumbled in Round 8, Geelong, Carlton and Richmond all secured nice victories to setup up their push towards September action in season 2022.
It was a round for the forwards with Charlie Curnow, Jeremy Cameron, Peter Wright and Tigers star Tom Lynch all taking home a bag of goals. With goals harder to come by in the modern game, can we expect those performances to attract the eye of the umpires in their Brownlow votes?
Once again we bring you our analysis and AFL Round 8 Brownlow vote predictions for every match of the round below!
And for the updated rolling leaderboard, head to our 2022 Brownlow Medal Leaderboard page.
Last week we suggested that the 2022 Brownlow Medal might be as good as won with Patrick Cripps simply dominating games. Well, that didn't change in Round 8 and his Brownlow medal price has now been slashed into $3 as the sportsbooks start to tighten their wallets around that result. Lachie Neale appears the major challenger as he also polled votes in Round 8, but he's unlikely to get the 3, while Clayton Oliver and Andrew Brayshaw both polled in Round 8 and are on the next lines of betting in the 2022 Brownlow market.
Hopefully you've already secured a position on a couple of these guys, and you're well on your way to a green book for 2022 Brownlow Medal night!
Port Adelaide 12.14.86 def Western Bulldogs 10.9.69
The Power is starting to surge again as they took care of the Bulldogs to kick off the round on Friday night. Travis Boak led from the front with 30 disposals, 6 tackles, 6 clearances and 1 goal, while Connor Rozee (21 disposals, 6 clearances) and Riley Bonner (22 disposals, 6 marks) were influential before the latter went down with injury. Jeremy Finlayson (14 disposals, 7 marks, 3 goals) was effective up forward. Jack Macrae (32 disposals, 10 clearances) was best for the Dogs while Aaron Naughton (15 disposals, 6 marks, 4 goals) was a continuous threat.
Travis Boak - 3
Jeremy Finlayson - 1
Aaron Naughton - 1
Jack Macrae - 1
Fremantle 15.12.102 def North Melbourne 3.6.24
Another poor effort by the Roos as the Dockers march on in 2022, despite losing a number of players to Covid protocols. Andrew Brayshaw (34 disposals, 7 tackles, 10 clearances) and Will Brodie (37 disposals) ran amok in the middle thanks to the dominance of Sean Darcy (17 disposals, 7 marks, 42 hitouts, 1 goal) in the ruck. Luke McDonald (26 disposals, 9 marks) was best for the Roos.
Andrew Brayshaw - 3
Will Brodie - 2
Sean Darcy - 1
Richmond 17.11.113 def Collingwood 12.14.86
The Tigers are purring after a strong win over the Pies. Once again it was Tom Lynch who dominated up forward with a massive 6 goals from 25 disposals and 11 marks. He was unstoppable! Toby Nankervis (23 disposals, 33 hitouts) was all over it in the ruck, with Jack Graham (30 disposals, 6 tackles), Trent Cotchin (29 disposals, 7 clearances, 1 goal), Jayden Short (27 disposals) and Shai Bolton (21 disposals, 2 goals) all winning plenty of ball. Dusty Martin also made his much-awaited returned with a strong game of 23 disposals and 2 goals. Jack Crisp (30 disposals, 6 tackles, 1 goal) was best for the Pies.
Tom Lynch - 3
Jack Graham - 1
Trent Cotchin - 1
Toby Nankervis - 1
Sydney 8.13.61 def by Gold Coast 10.15.75
A huge upset by the Suns over the highly-fancied Swans! David Swallow (24 disposals, 7 marks, 7 tackles, 6 clearances, 1 goal), Brayden Fiorini (29 disposals, 7 marks) and Brandon Ellis (26 disposals, 10 marks) were best for the Suns but it might be tricky to split them. Jake Lloyd (26 disposals) and Chad Warner (19 disposals, 7 tackles, 1 goal) tried hard in the loss for the Swans.
David Swallow - 3
Brayden Fiorini - 2
Brandon Ellis - 1
GWS Giants 4.11.35 def by Geelong 12.16.88
The Cats were back to their best as they accounted for the Giants in Canberra. Mitch Duncan was also back to his best as he racked up 33 disposals, including 16 in the first quarter alone, as well as 12 marks. Cameron Guthrie (25 disposals, 7 marks) and Mark Blicavs (25 disposals, 7 marks, 8 tackles, 21 hitouts, 8 clearances) were also busy, while Jeremy Cameron enjoyed playing his old side with 5 goals from 12 disposals and 7 marks. Isaac Cumming (29 disposals, 6 marks) was best for the Giants.
Mitch Duncan - 3
Jeremy Cameron - 2
Mark Blicavs - 1
Essendon 16.12.108 def Hawthorn 11.15.81
A huge win for the Bombers as they came from behind in the last quarter to overrun the Hawks, despite losing five players prior to the bounce through illness. Peter Wright was the star with 6 goals from 16 disposals and 8 marks, while Nic Martin (22 disposals, 9 marks, 2 goals), Darcy Parish (32 disposals, 7 tackles, 6 clearances, 1 goal) and Mason Redman (27 disposals, 6 marks) were also influential across the ground. Jai Newcombe (28 disposals, 8 marks) and Jaeger O’Meara (28 disposals, 6 tackles) were busy for the Hawks.
Peter Wright - 3
Nic Martin - 2
Darcy Parish - 1
Brisbane 16.9.105 def West Coast 4.6.30
It wasn’t the prettiest in slippery conditions at the GABBA, but the Lions did what they had to do to boost their percentage against the Eagles. Hugh McLuggage was best on ground with 26 disposals, 10 tackles and 4 goals in a brilliant performance. Lachie Neale (29 disposals, 6 tackles, 10 clearances), Daniel Rich (28 disposals, 8 marks) and Dayne Zorko (26 disposals, 10 marks, 8 tackles) were influential, while Charlie Cameron was lively with 4 goals from 10 disposals and 6 marks. Shannon Hurn (27 disposals, 8 marks) and Jack Redden (29 disposals, 6 tackles, 7 clearances) stood tall on another disappointing evening for the Eagles.
Hugh McLuggage - 3
Lachie Neale - 2
Dayne Zorko - 0.5
Charlie Cameron - 0.5
Melbourne 14.9.93 def St.Kilda 8.7.55
The Demons were magnificent in the first half before cruising home in third gear to account for the Saints. Eg Langdon (39 disposals, 8 marks), Clayton Oliver (38 disposals, 8 clearances), Angus Brayshaw (31 disposals, 13 marks, 1 goal) and Christian Petracca (36 disposals) were all awesome and will most likely share the Brownlow votes even though the order isn’t exactly obvious.
Ed Langdon - 2.5
Clayton Oliver - 2.5
Angus Brayshaw - 1
Carlton 17.14.116 def Adelaide 10.8.68
An impressive win by the Blues to finish off the round as they jump into the top 4 on the 2022 AFL ladder. Patrick Cripps is now into warm favouritism for the Brownlow Medal, and as he should be, after another likely three votes for his 35 disposals, 7 tackles, 10 clearances and 2 goals. In any other game, Charlie Curnow would get the maximum votes for his 6 goals from 21 disposals, 10 marks, but he’ll have to be content with the two votes here. Sam Docherty (30 disposals, 10 marks) and Adam Cerra (27 disposals, 7 tackles, 6 clearances) will likely battle it out for the minor vote. Rory Laird (33 disposals, 7 tackles, 8 clearances) and Jordan Dawson (30 disposals, 10 marks, 1 goal) were best for the Crows.
Patrick Cripps - 3
Charlie Curnow - 2
Adam Cerra - 1
For those who need a refresher on how our Brownlow vote predictor system works, we assign 6 votes per game so that our total votes are the same as the official 3-2-1 system, however we break up those votes as we see fit across potentially more than three players. Some games are really tough to call which way the votes will go, so a better predictive model is to split performances and assign half points to each player where there is doubt. So for example if two players dominate and it's too hard to split their performance, they are given 2.5 votes each, with the remaining 1 vote given to another player(s). This will give us a predictive total closer to their true total, rather than guessing. We can then form a 'range' for each player (i.e. a min and max we think players can poll) with the thinking behind this that the variations from the half votes will even out over the long term.
If you intend on using our Brownlow votes to bet why not consider one of the best Australian sports betting sites which offer some great features for new customers. Also be sure to check out our Twitter page at @Before_You_Bet and continue returning to the site for our AFL tips.
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