2021 AFL Round 18: Collingwood vs Carlton Preview & Betting Tips

July 17th 2021, 2:50pm, By: Jack Tobin

AFL Magpies vs Blues Betting Tips

One of football’s greatest rivalries adds a new chapter on Sunday afternoon as Collingwood take on Carlton at the MCG. The Pies are riding high off the back of a shock win over the Tigers, and will be looking to put a nail in the coffin of Carlton’s slim finals hopes. We’ve got you covered with AFL tips and preview for a huge Sunday afternoon clash right here!

AFL Collingwood vs Carlton Betting Tips

MCG, Sunday July 18th, 3:20pm AEST

Match Prediction

A seven goal to one final quarter propelled Collingwood to their first win under Robert Harvey, as they stormed over Richmond in a 16-point win. Carlton missed a massive opportunity to finally beat a top eight side, as they kicked 5.14 in a 26-point loss against Geelong. A win could’ve moved Carlton within a game of the top eight, but they’re now anchored in 12th place on the ladder.

This matchup shapes as a big contrast between attack and defence. Carlton play an all out aggressive brand with ball in hand, but leak points heavily going the other way, conceding the fourth most points in the competition (88.8 per game). The Pies on the other hand play slow, conservative football, with a heavy focus on being hard to score against. The Pies rank in the top eight for least points conceded with 77.7 per game.

Collingwood have produced two huge fourth quarters in the last two weeks. In round 16 against St Kilda the Pies scored five goals to none, then scored seven goals to one in the final term last week against the Tigers. The Pies do enough to stay in the game in the opening three quarters, before their match winners like Taylor Adams, Brodie Grundy and Jamie Elliott take over late in games. Collingwood’s ability to run out games could be a huge advantage in this clash, with Carlton winning just one fourth quarter in their last six matches.

Liam Jones will return from injury, but that inclusion is offset by the omission of Patrick Cripps who has battled injury all season.

Another massive advantage for the Pies is Brodie Grundy who was enormous last week with 40 hitouts, 22 disposals, 5 marks, 3 clearances and 1 goal. He took advantage of his matchup against the inexperienced Mabior Chol, and he gets another crack at a youngster when he lines up against Tom De Koning this week. Grundy gave Collingwood complete clearance dominance against the reigning premiers last week, especially in the fourth quarter from centre clearances. If the Pies can win the battle in the centre, they will put this struggling Carlton defence under a lot of pressure.

Collingwood have won six of the last seven meetings between the two sides, with those six victories coming at an average winning margin of 20 points. The Pies have the wood over their arch rivals and with the style of footy they play, there won’t be a blowout in this match. Collingwood’s biggest winning margin this season was a 21-point win over the Blues in round 2 this season, so the 1-39 market is excellent value.


Same Game Multi

Josh Daicos’ finger injury opened the door for Callum Brown to get extended midfield minutes, and he grabbed that opportunity with both hands. After banging down the door with dominant form at VFL level, Brown racked up 24 disposals and 6 inside 50’s in his AFL return last week, as he attended 17 centre bounces. Sam Walsh once again carried the load for the Blues last week, racking up 36 disposals and 2 goals in another outstanding performance. Walsh is averaging 30 disposals for the season and has gone above the 25 disposal mark in seven of his last eight games, as he looks a lock for his first All Australian selection. Taylor Adams has not missed a beat since returning from injury in round 15, with returns of 32, 34 and 31 disposals in the last three weeks. Adams had 10 clearances and 10 tackles to go along with his 31 disposals as he willed Collingwood over the line last week. Adams has had 25 plus disposals in six of the seven games he has completed this season.   

Callum Brown 20+ Disposals
Sam Walsh 25+ Disposals
Taylor Adams 25+


TIPS

Bangladesh vs Australia 1st T20 Preview & Betting Tips

It’s Australia’s final preparation for the T20 World Cup, as they head to Dhaka for a five game T20 series against Bangladesh. Can the Australians find a way to combat spin? Or will Bangladesh hand the Aussies a fifth straight T20 series loss? read more

2021 NRL Round 20: Monday Preview & Betting Tips

We are getting to the pointy end of the season with just 5 rounds to go following the rescheduled Monday night matches in Round 20. Tonight we’ve got the Bulldogs taking on the resurgent Titans while Cronulla take on a Manly side who are pushing for a top four spot. read more

2021 Tokyo Olympics: Track Cycling Preview & Betting Tips

It hasn't been the easiest period for Australian cycling, but with some changes in personnel can they bounce back in Tokyo? We preview the Olympics track cycling schedule and find a few Olympics bets that we like the look of. read more

2021 NRL Round 20: Sunday Preview & Betting Tips

Three game slate for Super SUNDAY in the NRL this week and as always, our main man Scooby has a full preview for all three games and his best bets for each right here! Action gets underway at 3.00pm with the Dragons hosting the Rabbitohs. read more

ARTICLES

Best Australian Sports Betting Apps

What are the best Australian sports betting apps? Punters love the convenience of betting on mobile, so we thought we'd look at the best sports betting apps available today, to help you choose the best sports betting site for your iOS or Android mobile device. We highlight our top five Australian sports betting apps based on the usability and features of their app, as well as key mobile app features from all of our partnered sports betting sites. read more


Best Australian Sports Betting Sites

The best Australian sports betting sites ensure safe and successful online betting for punters. Here's our list of the best sports betting options in Australia. read more


Performance Ratings & Pricing with Julian Vallance with Sportsbet

Julian Vallance from Sportsbet takes us through some of the key factors which he uses with pricing upcoming horse races such as performance ratings. Check out his video from Sportsbet here. read more


What is Over-Round and How do Sportsbooks Make Money?

Over-Round is an important concept for both punters and sportsbooks. It's how Australian sportsbooks make money! All punters should understand over-round, how to spot it, and how to find better value on the Betfair Exchange. read more


BLOGS

2021 AFL Brownlow Medal Votes Round 19

Is it a race in two for the 2021 Brownlow Medal? Round 19 may see Ollie Wines and Marcus Bontempelli start to draw away from the pack as we approach the finish line in the 2021 season. Check out our Round 19 Brownlow vote predictions right here. read more


2021 AFL Brownlow Medal Votes Round 18

Sam Walsh was the stand out performance of AFL Round 18, and is the big mover on the Brownlow leaderboard, but several Brownlow contenders were in the votes over the weekend's action. Check out where our votes went with our Round 18 Brownlow vote predictions here. read more


Big Bash League (BBL11) Fixture

The BBL11 fixture for the 2021-22 Big Bash League season has been tentatively released! Check out all of the BBL11 games including the dates for the all-important finals series here! read more


2021 AFL Brownlow Medal Votes Round 17

A round full of upsets has left a few of our Brownlow contenders high and dry in our Round 17 Brownlow vote predictions. Check out where our Round 17 Brownlow votes went and our latest 2021 AFL Brownlow Medal leaderboard here! read more


BetDeluxe

PlayUp