The afternoon clash of the Super Saturday AFL slate in Round 14 will see the Kangaroos hosting the Lions from Blundstone Arena at 4.35pm. PuntingInDanger is back on deck with a full preview and AFL tips for the clash below.
AFL North Melbourne vs Brisbane Betting Tips
Blundstone Arena, Saturday 4.35pm (AEST)
The Kangaroos have benefitted from being able to play some of their COVID-19 affected games at their ‘home away from home’ down in Tasmania, and they should have the support of the crowd again this week against the travelling Lions.
The Lions were absolutely rolling, having won seven straight games but ran into the Demons at the wrong time in Round 12, losing by 22 points to fall to fourth on the ladder. They are still without doubt one of the most exciting teams in the league, and will want to get back on the winners list here against the 18th placed Kangaroos.
Their list of absentees is growing week by week, and now they’ll be without Dayne Zorko through suspension, joining injured players Darcy Gardiner, Ryan Lester, Cam Rayner and Noah Answerth on the sidelines. They could, however, get both Jarrod Berry and Cam Ellis-Yolmen back from injury this week.
The Lions start as pretty heavy 34.5 point favourites here, which seems about right given they have had the week off to rest and prepare for this clash and considering the Kangaroos poor season so far. The Roos were a little better last week against a struggling GWS side, securing two points with a draw in a thrilling game, but a game against the Lions is a much higher level of test.
I think the Lions win this one but the 34.5 point line is just a little too high for me. I do like the under here. There is a bit of rain forecast for Saturday in Bellerive and despite that, the 171.5 point line is one of the highest we have seen this season.
The Lions have been one of the highest scoring teams in the competition so far this season, but their last seven games have still only averaged 170.0 total points. I think the rain combined with the fact the Roos are the lowest scoring team in the competition this season keeps this one under.
Under 171.5 (1.5 Units)
Same Game Multi
Lachie Neale had a slow start to the season, coming back from injury and racking up just 20.3 touches over his first three games. Since then, he has been back to his old self, averaging 28.5 in his last four, including three games of 25+. Zac Bailey has had a breakout season for the Lions this year, adding another vital cog to their midfield and forward line. He has had 15+ in all but two games this season and his last seven games in a row. Jy Simpkin is 11/12 for passing the 20 disposal mark this year and should do so again comfortably.
Neale 25+ Disposals
Bailey 15+ Disposals
Simpkin 20+ Disposals
NM vs BRI Same Game Multi