Round 4 of the 2019 NRL season starts this Thursday and we have you covered with our NRL betting tips for every match.
SCG hosts Thursday night football as the Roosters take on the Broncos. Sydney has won 2 straight over the Eels and Sea Eagles, so they'll be favourites in this contest. Brisbane played fairly poorly last week in a 25-24 loss at home and they'll lose James Roberts for this one. There's good and bad news for the home side as Cronk returns but Friend is sidelined. With Cronk back in the lineup, this should see the Roosters home to victory but the best bet looks to be the Overs. Sydney is 6-3 against the Over as a home favourite and they're scoring the 4th most points in the NRL. Brisbane has a very good Overs record in April at 7-2 since 2017.
Both the Warriors and Titans will look to build some consistency as they meet on Friday night at Mt Smart. The Warriors have been very poor over the last 2 weeks with 46-12 and 34-6 losses. Meanwhile, Gold Coast is the only winless side after 3 rounds. However, they did show some fight against Souths last week and the return of halves pairing - Roberts and Taylor - should help them score points agianst the Warriors lacklustre defence. With that lineup change in mind, this shapes as a high scoring affair. The Warriors are already 3-0 against the Overs this year and put up 40 points in Round 1 at this venue. Against the Warriors, Gold Coast have a 5-3 Overs record and they scored 36 points on them in the last meeting.
At Panthers Stadium, the 1-2 Panthers and 2-1 Wests Tigers will be after a rebounding effort based on last week. Penrith were sloppy with the ball and in defence as the Storm thrashed them 32-2. I don't think anyone saw the Tigers 22-8 defeat coming last week after their first 2 rounds of footy. Traditionally, this matchup in Penrith has seen some low scoring battles and this should be another on Friday night. Since 2010, the Under has a positive 4-2-1 record here with the Tigers involved. After 3 rounds, the Tigers are the 3rd best defensive team in the NRL and the Panthers attack is struggling for points (10 ppg).
Super Saturday begins at Brookvale Oval as the Sea Eagles host the 3-0 Rabbitohs. Day football should bring out the best of both sides in an entertaining clash. Manly came to life in NZ last week as they piled on 46 points. The return of Tom Trbojevic proved the difference as he and Daly Cherry-Evans ran riot. Souths have looked strong thus far in 2019 and they're ranked #1 for points scored. Interestingly, the last 2 meetings have been beltings in either direction (Souths 34-6 & Manly 46-8). So the Overs looks the best bet as the Sea Eagles hold a 27-14 Overs record in day games at home. Meanwhile, Souths are perfect against the Over this season (3-0).
Saturday NRL action heads to North Queensland as the Cowboys host the Raiders. Currently, both sides can't be split in the betting so this a tough game to pick a winner. The Cowboys will be looking for a better defensive effort after a 42-16 home loss to the Sharks in Round 3. Canberra is 2-1 on the season and come off a 17-10 home win over the Knights. They were strong defensively in their first away game of the season, keeping the Titans scoreless over the 80 minutes. So this is likely to be a close but low scoring affair considering the Unders trend at this venue. Since 2016, the Cowboys hold a 27-12 Unders record at home and it's 10-3 in night home games. Canberra's last outing here resulted in an 18-8 win and this shapes as a similar type of scoreline.
ANZ Stadium hosts a 2-1 battle between the Eels and Sharks on Saturday night. Parramatta suffered their first loss of the season last week but they held with the Roosters in the 32-18 defeat. Meanwhile, the Sharks were on fire in the second half last week as they piled on the points in a 42-16 win over the Cowboys. Cronulla has the wood over the Eels with 5 straight wins and their superior defence should be the difference in a 6th straight win over Parramatta.
Round 4 action continues to AAMI Park as the Melbourne Storm look for a 4th straight win as they host the Bulldogs. Melbourne is clear favourites in the betting with the line currently set at the massive number of -16.5. Their defence has been on song thus far in 2019 with just 8 points allowed per game. Credit goes to the Bulldogs after their 22-8 upset of the Tigers last week. There's an interesting fact about this matchup and that’s the Bulldogs 3 straight wins in Melbourne since 2014. They've also covered the line in 9 of the last 12 against the Storm. Melbourne prides themselves on defence so this should turn into a low scoring affair with the Bulldogs getting within 16.5 points.
The last game of Round 4 takes us to Newcastle as the 1-2 Knights host the 1-2 Dragons. All 3 games involving the Knights this season have been close so this should be no different. St. George will be confident after a long break and a massive 25-24 road win at Suncorp last round. However, the injury to Gareth Widdop really hurts. Interestingly, the Knights have made the switch as Ponga goes back to fullback. In the end, this is a tough game to pick with both sides reshuffling their lineups. Safe no bet.
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