NRL Round 11 gets underway on Thursday night with the Eels taking on the Panthers from 7.50pm! Catch our preview and betting tips for all eight games in Round 11 here
Thursday night football begins with a rivalry matchup between the 5-5 Eels and 2-8 Panthers. The trend with Parramatta is pretty clear at the moment as they love playing at Bankwest Stadium but look like a different side at other venues. Thus far, they've beaten the Dragons 32-8 and opened the new stadium with a 51-6 crushing win. The Eels confidence at this stage is low after 2 straight losses on the road but the Penrith Panthers are on the bottom of the ladder for a reason. They can't score points and their defence is absolutely horrible, especially in the first half. They've given up 30 points in 3 straight losses and have been outscored 90-26. So in the end, that bodes well for the Over total which is already 2-0 at Bankwest. Parramatta are going to enjoy scoring against the Panthers D and their home crowd advantage could see them score most of the 37.5 total points.
Manly are back at Brookvale Oval in Round 11 as they host the 2-8 Titans. The Sea Eagles are 5th on the ladder and this is a golden opportunity to bridge the gap. They've been grinding out wins lately without a number of their star players and they should have the poor Titans covered. Gold Coast have started well in their last 2 losses but the worrying trend is the fact they've been held scoreless in two straight second halves. So with a matchup against the strong Manly defence, it's hard to see them improving. In the end, Manly is allowing 17 points per game in 2019 and the total points mark of 43.5 points looks high. Manly are one of the best sides against the Under this season (6-4) and they hold a decent 20-12 Unders record after they've won as an underdog.
Arguably the game of the round will be played in Newcastle as the Knights tackle the Roosters in another Friday night blockbuster. The Knights are finally living up to preseason expectations after 4 straight wins. Ponga is loving his move back to fullback and Mitchell Pearce is in great touch. The Roosters will be hurting after a 15-10 loss in Brisbane last week and I expect them to respond, especially defensively. Newcastle did score 45 points last week but the Roosters are a different team compared to the Dragons. The other factor is Friday night football under lights which usually sees a low scoring game, such as the Roosters 15-10 loss last week. The Under is 4-1 in night games when these two sides meet as well so this shapes as a gruelling defensive battle between two sides in the top eight.
Super Saturday starts in Canberra as the 6-4 Raiders face the 4-6 Cowboys. Despite two straight losses, the Raiders have played arguably the two best sides in the NRL, the Roosters and Rabbitohs. Their defence is much better compared to the Cowboys and that should be the difference in this matchup. The Cowboys are a hard team to read at the moment with a 2-2 record in their last 4 games as well. The first meeting of the season saw the Raiders win 30-12 in North Queensland and that made it 3 straight wins over the Cowboys. In the end, Canberra are 8-2 ATS when playing the Cowboys and North QLD aren't a great travelling team. They've failed to cover in 4 of their last 5 games as an away underdog and following a win. Their 17-10 result over the Eels last week wasn't a great win and the Raiders defence will likely frustrate them in attack.
The Warriors and Broncos are both coming off back to back wins and that makes this is an intriguing battle at Mt Smart on Saturday. New Zealand beat the Dragons and Panthers in back to back victories. While those teams aren't looking great, NZ are usually a team that plays well after winning a couple in a row. Brisbane are playing well at Suncorp with 3 straight home wins but the question is whether they can back it up on the road. Consequently, they did beat the Warriors 27-18 in the last meeting at Mt Smart. But then the Warriors countered with a 26-6 win in Brisbane. So with the odds fairly close in this matchup, it's tough to pick a winner. But the best bet looks to be the Unders. The Warriors are 9-2 against the Under at Mt Smart and 5-3 when the Broncos play here. Brisbane were awesome defensively last week as they conceded just 10 points against the Roosters attack so they should continue that momentum here.
Super Saturday concludes at ANZ Stadium with the Rabbitohs against the Tigers. This should be an entertaining clash between two sides that can score quick points. Especially with the likes of Cook and Farah in great form for their respective sides. So with a total points mark of 43.5 points, this does shape as a high scoring affair. The Tigers have leaked plenty of points in recent away games and Souths are scoring 25 points on average per game. So the safe bet looks to be both teams scoring 13 or more points. The Rabbitohs have only been held under 13 once this season and the Tigers have scored 13+ in 3 of their last 4 games.
Sunday's NRL action comes to Belmore as the 3-7 Bulldogs host the 8-2 Storm. Canterbury will be coming off a comeback win over the Titans last week but they can't afford a slow start against Melbourne. The Storm also rallied at AAMI Park last week as Will Chambers scored a late game-winning try. They've just been getting by in close games lately so this does shape as another tight affair on Sunday. As such, the two sides met in Melbourne last month and the Bulldogs let a win slip by as the Storm rallied for a 18-16 victory. The Bulldogs do seem to be a bogey side for Melbourne as the line is 8-2 in the Bulldogs favour. So if the last meeting is anything to go by, the Bulldogs should cover here.
The Dragons need to find some form after 4 straight defeats and they'll face the Sharks at WIN Stadium on Sunday. St. George are leaking points all over the place at the moment and they're coming off a 45-12 crushing defeat at the hands of the Knights. Meanwhile, Cronulla weren't great last round either as the Sea Eagles handed them a 24-14 home loss. They're obviously missing Shaun Johnson and Matt Moylan. But the Dragons also miss Corey Norman. So in a battle of two sides that aren't in great touch, this is a very difficult game to predict and it will be a no bet to end the Round.
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