2018-19 NBA Finals Preview & Betting Tips

May 27th 2019, 6:05pm, By: Jake Smit

It’s been a wild ride up until this point in the NBA Playoffs where just two teams remain in hope of lifting the The Larry O'Brien NBA Championship Trophy. Will it be the Golden State Warriors who become champions for the third year in a row? Or will it be the Toronto Raptors who defy the odds to win it all in their first ever trip to the NBA Finals? We preview the series below and provide some of our favourite bets from popular betting agencies.

NBA Finals Betting Tips

Correct Series Score

The Raptors will have home court advantage in their first ever appearance in the NBA Finals thanks to finishing with one more win than the Warriors in the regular season. The Raptors have certainly done it the hard way these playoffs, defeating the 76ers with a buzzer beater in Game 7 in the semi-finals, before coming back from a 2-0 series deficit to win in six games against the Bucks in the Conference Finals.

It hasn’t all been smooth sailing for the Warriors either. They were surprisingly pushed to six games in the first round by the Clippers, before taking care of the Rockets in six games in the semi-finals, and most recently sweeping the Blazers in the Conference Finals. Injuries have been of major concern for the Warriors these playoffs, with return timetables for DeMarcus Cousins and Kevin Durant still unknown.

The Raptors have had to work a lot harder to get to this point of the playoffs than their opponents and also lack NBA Finals experience. Regardless of whether or not Kevin Durant and DeMarcus Cousins are 100% fit, we see the Warriors being too good in a seven-game series. The $1.35 quote for a Warriors Championship doesn’t give us much meat on the bone, so if you’re looking for a bit more value, then we like them to win in six games at around $3.50 at most agencies.

NBA Finals MVP 

The Finals MVP is always a fun one to have some capital on. This year presents an interesting market with the likely absence of 2x Finals MVP Kevin Durant in Game 1 and potentially Game 2. The clear front-runner here is 2x MVP Steph Curry at a $1.70 quote. It’s actually quite remarkable that he’s yet to win a Finals MVP considering he’s been a key cog in all three of their championships. In fact, a case could be made that he’s been the runner-up for Finals MVP on all three occasions. On the other hand, if you’re keen on a Raptors championship, then pretty much your only option is Kawhi Leonard at around $3.50, which probably isn’t worth the play considering you can get on the Raptors to win the chip at $3.45 anyway, and these two things go hand-in-hand. All things considered, we believe Curry to win Finals MVP is a fairly nice play at $1.70 and would back him into around $1.55ish. 

Series Most Points

Another market that really stood out for us is the ‘Series Most Points’ at BetEasy. The two clear favourites for this market are Raptors forward Kawhi Leonard ($2.40) and Warriors guard Steph Curry ($1.60). Honestly, we were really surprised to see Curry favoured over Leonard here, considering Curry’s sub-par scoring outputs in his four Finals Series to date, and the way that Leonard has been scoring at will in this year’s playoffs. Yes, Curry went on a tear in the Conference Finals against the Blazers averaging 36.5ppg, but you won’t see anything near that when Durant comes back in Game 2 or 3 - Curry averaged less than 23ppg in the playoffs before Durant got injured. Instead, we like the value of Kawhi Leonard, who’s averaged 31.2 points on 51% shooting in these playoffs. Expect his minutes to be up around 40 like they were in the Conference Finals, and expect him to average over 30ppg, even if the Warriors close it out in six games or less.

Series Most Assists

The final market we’ll have something on is the ‘Series Most Assists’ at BetEasy. You’ve got three main players here in the form of Draymond Green ($1.30), Steph Curry ($4), and Kyle Lowry ($4). Green’s the form guy of the three in terms of assists – averaging 8.2 in the playoffs, up from 6.9 in the regular season. But we like Kyle Lowry here at really nice odds. He averaged a career high 8.6 assists in the regular season, which was the second-best mark in the entire NBA. He hasn’t quite reached those heights in the playoffs with just 6.4 per game thus far, but he did have 12 assists in both games against the Warriors this season, whereas Green managed just seven in his one appearance against the Raptors.


Horse Racing Tips: Sunday, August 18th

Luke Krahe has singled out three best bets at Cranbourne and Coleraine for Sunday's horse racing! Find his preview and tips here! read more

Harness Racing Tips: Saturday, August 17th

Bendigo and Menangle host solid harness racing meetings on Saturday night and Trent Orwin has previewed some of the key races here! read more

Kensington Racing Tips: Saturday, August 17th

We're on the Kensington track at Randwick this Saturday for our nine-race card in Sydney. Check out our preview and betting tips for every race here! read more

Caulfield Racing Tips: Saturday, August 17th

Some of Australia's big guns step out for the first time to kick off their Spring campaigns at Caulfield this Saturday! Find out our thoughts on every race here! read more


Understanding the Betfair Markets

In our next strategy guide for the Betfair platform, we take a look at understanding how the Betfair markets work and what different types of backs and lays you can place with Betfair! read more

Understanding Back and Lay Betting on Betfair

Unlike your ‘normal’ betting agency where it’s you versus the Bookmaker, Betfair is a peer-to-peer wagering platform. Betfair allow you to both ‘back’ and ‘lay’ bets, which gives you complete control and a totally unique betting experience. View how full guide to backing and laying here read more

Major Harness Races in Australasia

There are approximately 90 Group 1 level harness races in Australia and New Zealand each year; we've highlighted some of most high profile races on the annual racing calendar here. read more

Harness racing form: what are the most important things to consider

Harness racing form can be daunting to punters that are new to the sport and form analysis for the trots is certainly different to that of the gallops or greyhounds. We've listed what we think the most important factors to consider are when studying the form for a trots race. read more


2019 AFL Round 22 Odds

With just two rounds to go in the AFL season, the battle for finals seedings is at fever pitch! Check out the odds for all nine Round 22 games courtesy of BetEasy here read more

2019 AFL Brownlow Medal Votes Round 21

Another round and another new leader in the race for the 2019 Brownlow Medal. This year is shaping as one of the most exciting Brownlow counts in history! Find out who got the votes in Round 21 with our vote predictions here. read more

2019 AFL Round 21 Odds

Round 21 of the AFL offers a fantastic slate of games as we close in on the finals series! Take a look at all the odds for the weekend's action courtesy of Bet365 here read more

2019 AFL Brownlow Medal Votes Round 20

The 2019 Brownlow Medal is starting to look pretty interesting with the likes of Nat Fyfe, Adam Treloar and Dusty Martin closing the gap on the leaders. Find out who we gave votes to in Round 20 and click through for our rolling Brownlow leaderboard. read more