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2015 AFL: Round 11 Preview & Betting Tips

June 11th 2015, 11:41pm, By: admin

AFL Tips

We managed to pick quite a few winners in Round 10 of the 2015 AFL season and hopefully can continue the form into the first week of the byes! Read on for our AFL Round 10 betting tips.

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Port Adelaide Power Vs. Geelong Cats (Friday, June 12 at 7:20pm AEST)

The first of six games for the bye round sees us head to Adelaide Oval for Friday Night Football. The Power started off earlier in the week as heavier favourites than they are now, but are still only paying $1.50. The last time these two teams met the Power won with that game also being at Adelaide Oval.  

Port Adelaide have won the last two games after going on a bit of a slump, but they did only beat the Demons and the Bulldogs, so this game against the Cats will be a better test to see where they are at. Personally I don’t think the Power will find this one easy.

The Cats are coming off a big win last week that saw the Bombers goal-less for the entire first half of footy. However, their second half in that game was quite putrid and if they put on that kind of performance again they will struggle.

Overall we give the slight edge to the Power, but not at the odds on offer by the books. In fact, by using the William Hill 24-point money back buffer we think there is a bit of value on the Cats.
Tip: Geelong Cats Hd-Hd ($2.65) 

 

Gold Coast Suns Vs. Fremantle Dockers (Saturday, June 13 at 1:40pm AEST)

This game can just about be summed up in three words: Fremantle will win.

The Dockers are paying $1.07 against the Suns and that seems just about right. The game is up at Metricon Stadium which will help the Suns somewhat, but expect the Dockers to bounc back strongly after an uncharacteristic performance against the Tigers last week that saw them post their first loss.

The problem with betting this game is the tough seven-goal line. We would lean towards Freo to cover that line, but with a few major outs (Johnson, Mayne) we are going to sit this one out.
Tip: No Bet

 

West Coast Eagles Vs. Essendon Bombers (Saturday, June 13 at 2:35pm AEST)

Saturday afternoon sees the Bombers travel out west to play the Eagles. There aren’t too many teams we would back to beat the Eagles at home in 2015 and Essendon certainly aren’t one of those teams.

The Bombers are coming off an absolutely abysmal performance against the Cats last week and will be looking forward to putting this game behind them and getting to their bye round.

The only iffy factor here for the Eagles is that they are coming off a six-day break and a tough trip to Tasmania against the Kangaroos. In saying that, the Bombers will be without Tom Bellchambers and will find it very tough against Nic Nat and the West Coast midfield. Can’t see the Bombers being able to bounce back from last round’s performance and think the Eagles will get an easy win.
Tip: Eagles at the line (-36.5) - $1.92 at CrownBet

 

North Melbourne Kangaroos Vs. Sydney Swans (Saturday, June 13 at 7:20pm AEST)

The Kangaroos take on the Swans on Saturday night at Etihad and it’s going to be a tough game for them, especially after coming off a tough win down in chilly Hobart last week.

The Swans have won four of the last five contests between these two teams, one of those being at Etihad. I’m expecting the Swans to add another win to their tally, with their midfield far too strong for a very average North Melbourne midfield. Shaun Higgins and Jack Zeibell managed to have blinders last week to get them over the line against the Eagles, but they won’t find it easy against the Swans classy mids. Think the Swans will cover the line with great odds currently on offer at Pinnacle Sports.
Tip: Sydney at the line (-14.5) - $2.02 at Pinnacle Sports

 

Collingwood Magpies Vs. GWS Giants (Sunday, June 14 at 1:10pm AEST)

This is a big game at the MCG on Sunday afternoon as the two young gun teams of the AFL face off to continue the momentum of the great years they are having.

The fact this game is on Collingwood’s home turf (a venue the Giants haven’t played at this year) leans the game heavily into the Pies favour. They have also showed plenty of promise over the last couple of weeks, while the Giants struggled against the Bulldogs a fortnight ago and didn’t look too polished against a decimated Lions last round. Very happy to get on Collingwood using the William Hill special.

Tip: Collingwood Hd-Hd ($1.60) 

Editor's note: Proceed with caution since Collingwood's withdrawal of Brodie Grundy means going against Shane Mumford without a ruck. 

 

St Kilda Saints Vs Melbourne Demons (Sunday, June 14 at 4:40pm AEST)

The final game of Round 11 looks like somewhat of a coinflip as the Saints and the Demons battle it out at Etihad on Sunday. Both teams are 3 wins and 7 losses and we think it will ultimately be the Saints who bag a fourth win.

The Demons looked okay against the Pies last Monday, but they tried their guts out and couldn’t come up with the victory. At times they also had huge holes in their defence and with the run of St Kilda’s Jack Steven and David Armitage you can see the Saints being able to outclass the Demons. 
Tip: St Kilda Hd-Hd ($1.80) 

 

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Take note: Any of the tips in this article are simply the author’s opinion, so bet at your own risk and always gamble responsibly.  Also be sure to check out the Before You Bet Twitter Page for all our thoughts in the lead up to bets! Happy punting!

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