The fourth and final match on Super Saturday slate for AFL Round 22 is one that looms as a highly one-sided clash, with Adelaide hosting Richmond at Adelaide Oval. For the Crows, this is a huge opportunity to put a big score on the board and lock away four more valuable points.
We bring you our full preview and expert tips for the Crows vs Tigers below, with odds thanks to Dabble!
Adelaide vs Richmond Prediction & Betting Tips: AFL 2026 Round 22
Crows Chasing the Double Chance
The Crows return to the Adelaide Oval this Saturday night right in the thick of the top four mix. Currently sitting on 52 points, Matthew Nicks' men propelled themselves into a commanding ladder position following an absolute demolition of Essendon last weekend, booting 23 goals to comfortably win 145 to 73 at Marvel Stadium. With a crucial double chance well within their grasp, the Crows will be eager to bank another big win. On the selection front, Adelaide has made four changes. They welcome back valuable experience with veteran defender Rory Laird returning from a syndesmosis injury alongside midfielders James Peatling and Sam Berry. Ruckman Reilly O'Brien also earns a recall. Making way are Luke Nankervis with a chest injury and James Borlase with a hamstring issue, while Lachlan McAndrew and Jake Soligo have both been managed.
Tigers Looking to Finish Strong
It has been a difficult 2026 campaign for Richmond. Sitting 17th on the ladder, Adem Yze's side are simply looking to end their season on a positive note. They bring winning momentum into this clash after a gutsy 84 to 73 victory over the West Coast Eagles at the MCG last Sunday. It has also been an emotional week at Punt Road with premiership defender Nathan Broad announcing his retirement. While the Tigers showed genuine resilience in their recent win, backing up that effort on the road against a top four contender is a significant step up in class.
Crows Hold Recent Dominance
When looking at the recent history between these two clubs, Adelaide holds the clear upper hand following their clash earlier this year. The Crows travelled to the MCG in Round 9 and comprehensively defeated the Tigers 98 to 61. Adelaide controlled the contest from the outset, showcasing their ability to break through Richmond's defensive structures. Returning to their home deck where their forward half connection is often elite, the Crows have the attacking weapons to heavily stretch a Tigers backline that has leaked points consistently throughout the season.
Match Prediction and Best Bet
This Saturday night clash presents a distinct mismatch in class and motivation. Adelaide is desperate to lock in a top four spot and will view this as a prime opportunity to build crucial percentage. The total match points line has been set at a relatively low 157.5, which is largely due to the rain forecast for Adelaide this weekend. However, Richmond has struggled immensely to defend on the road this season, with seven of their last eight away matches comfortably eclipsing the total points line. The Crows were utterly dominant offensively last weekend and possess far too much firepower for a Tigers outfit rooted to the bottom end of the ladder. Even with slippery conditions expected, Adelaide should dictate terms and exploit those defensive frailties to push the score up. Backing the overs is a very sharp value play here.
Over 157.5 Points
$1.91 (1.5 Units)
Adelaide vs Richmond Prop Bet
There’s potential for rain in Adelaide on Saturday night, so we’ll be targeting the small forwards instead of the talls here. Ben Keays loves a goal more than almost anyone and kicked three last week. He’s kicked 27 goals this season and 2+ in three of his last five, and he should get plenty of looks in a one-sided contest.
Adelaide vs Richmond Same Game Multi
Ben Keays 2+ Goals: For the reasons mentioned above in our prop bet.
Hugo Hall-Kahan 20+ Disposals: No Milera this week means HHK will have the lion’s share of the kicking duties across half back and represents good value.
Isaac Cumming 15+ Disposals: He’s had 16 & 17 over the last two weeks and needs to keep playing well to ensure he keeps his spot for finals.
Adelaide vs Richmond Match Info & Betting Odds
Date: Saturday 8th August
Time: 7:35pm AEST
Location: Adelaide Oval, SA
Odds: Adelaide $1.02 vs Richmond $17
Line: -55.5
Points: 157.5
Where to Watch Adelaide vs Richmond
You can watch the Crows vs Tigers live and ad-free on Kayo Sports.
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