One of the most entertaining clashes of the weekend sees Adelaide and Melbourne face off in a battle of fourth versus sixth. Two of the most entertaining teams in the competition, who come in off good form, we should be set for a cracking encounter!
We bring you our full preview and expert tips for the Crows vs Demons below, with odds thanks to Dabble!
Adelaide vs Melbourne Prediction & Betting Tips: AFL 2026 Round 15
Back On Track
After an underwhelming start to the season, Adelaide have won five of their last six games to move into the top six. The Crows produced their best performance of the season last week, dominating the Western Bulldogs on the road. Jordan Dawson continued his electric form with 32 disposals and 3 goals, while Rory Laird (35 disposals), Josh Rachele (4 goals) and Riley Thilthorpe (3 goals) all contributed strongly. Adelaide’s work in the contest has been key to their resurgence, ranking second in the AFL for contested possessions. Across their last four games their contested possession differential has been +20, -18, +7 and +26. This has led to big scores from stoppages, scoring 51, 36, 41 and 55 points from this source across their last four games.
The Dees Are Legit
Back to back losses in Round 11 and 12 raised questions about whether the Demons could continue their early season form, or would they regress. Back to back wins over Collingwood and Essendon has seen Melbourne jump back into the top four, with an excellent launch pad for the back half of the season. Kozzy Pickett has been outstanding over the last fortnight with 28 disposals and 3 goals against Collingwood, backed up by 32 and 3 goals against Essendon last week. The Demons have been a low disposal, high impact team this season, ranking 2nd for inside 50’s, 2nd for clearances, and 5th for points per game, despite ranking 15th for disposals.
Recent Head to Head History
Melbourne have had the better of Adelaide in recent seasons, winning four of their last five games against the Crows. Adelaide Oval has held no fears for the Demons, who have won five of their last seven games against Adelaide at the venue.
Crows or Demons? Here’s our Adelaide vs Melbourne Tip
The Crows are rounding into some great form and looking like the side that finished on top of the ladder in 2025. Wins over Geelong and Western Bulldogs across the last fortnight has shown their capitalities when at their best, and they’ve won five straight games at the Adelaide Oval. Melbourne have been excellent this year, but interstate games haven’t gone well for them, going 0-4 in matches outside of Victoria, with losses by 48, 45, 17 and 49 points.
These two sides are both strong around the contest so, if the Crows can win the contested possession and clearance battle, it will go a long way towards winning this game. Adelaide have the key forwards that will push Melbourne’s backline, and they’ll continue their hot form at home.
Adelaide -19.5
$1.90 (1.5 Units)
Adelaide vs Melbourne Prop Bet
Week after week, win, lose or draw, the Demons play in high scoring games. Eight of their fourteen games they have played in this season has seen the total points hit over 195 points, with an average total points of 192 per game in 2026. Adelaide put up a brilliant attacking performance last week scoring 121 points against the Bulldogs last week, so all roads point towards a high scoring affair.
Total Match Points Over 190.5
$2.40
Adelaide vs Melbourne Same Game Multi
Total Match Points Over 183.5: As highlighted above, Melbourne have played in plenty of high scoring games in 2026.
Jordan Dawson 25+ Disposals: Jordan Dawson has been in excellent form in recent weeks, averaging 27 disposals per game across his last seven games, reaching the 25+ disposal mark in five of those seven games.
Kysaiah Pickett 2+ Goals: Pickett has been in electric form over the last fortnight, with back to back games of 3 goals. Pickett has kicked 2+ goals on six occasions in 2026.
Adelaide vs Melbourne Betting Odds & Match Info
Date: Saturday 20th June
Time: 1:15pm AEST
Location: Adelaide Oval, Adelaide
Odds: Adelaide $1.35 vs Melbourne $3.20
Line: Adelaide -19.5
Points: 178.5
Where to Watch Adelaide vs Melbourne
You can watch the Crows vs Demons live and ad-free on Kayo Sports.
Back in our 2026 AFL Tips at Dabble!
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