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Adelaide vs Hawthorn Preview & Tips: 2025 AFL Round 21

July 31st 2025, 6:09pm, By: Jake Smit

AFL Adelaide vs Hawthorn Tips

Friday night footy in Round 21 of the AFL season features the wildly in-form Adelaide Crows against another form side in the Hawks. It should be an absolute cracking contest between two premiership fancies, with the Crows heading into the match as the favourites at home. 

Below, we bring you our best bet, player prop, and Same Game Multi for the Kangaroos vs Cats, with odds thanks to BetReal - a brand-new Aussie sportsbetting site we think you'll love!    

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Adelaide vs Hawthorn Prediction & Betting Tips: AFL 2025 Round 21

Crows Fly into Premiership Favourites

Adelaide enters Friday night’s blockbuster clash against Hawthorn as the undisputed form team of the competition, and a genuine premiership threat. The Crows are flying, having won five consecutive games and eight of their last nine. Their only blemish in that dominant stretch was a narrow three-point loss..... Against the Hawks. They are coming off their most impressive performance of the season, a record-breaking 98-point demolition of arch-rivals Port Adelaide in the Showdown. The stunning victory propelled them to second on the ladder, just two points behind top spot with only four rounds remaining, as they charge towards a home qualifying final.

 

Hawks Hitting Their Straps

Hawthorn will travel to Adelaide confident they can match it with the high-flying Crows. Sam Mitchell’s side is finding its best form at the business end of the season, entering the round in fifth position on the ladder. They have won their last two matches and six of their last seven, with a comfortable and professional 24-point victory over Carlton last week. In a welcome sight for Hawks fans, captain James Sicily produced a best-on-ground performance, returning to his brilliant, intercepting best. The Hawks face a brutal run home, with clashes against the top three sides in the final month, making this a critical test of their finals and top-four credentials.

 

Recent History

Recent history between these clubs adds another layer of intrigue to this contest. When they met in treacherous conditions in Tasmania earlier this season, the Hawks staged a remarkable comeback to snatch a thrilling three-point victory. Conditions will be far more conducive to fast, attacking football under the lights at Adelaide Oval on Friday night. Interestingly, the Hawks have won the last three meetings between the teams, including a 66-point win in their last trip to Adelaide, though the Crows are a vastly improved outfit since then. The Crows, however, have turned Adelaide Oval into a fortress, winning their last eight consecutive matches at the venue.

 

Crows or Hawks? Here's Our Adelaide vs Hawthorn Tip 

This promises to be a high-scoring and entertaining affair between two of the league’s most potent attacking sides. While the Crows are deserving favourites at home, the Hawks possess the tools to challenge them. Hawthorn’s strong key defensive unit is one of the few in the league that can match up on Adelaide’s formidable trio of tall forwards. Furthermore, their elite small forwards have the ability to pressure the Crows’ defence and disrupt their lethal transition game, which is the best in the competition. While an upset is certainly possible, the safer bet lies with the Hawks covering the +16.5 spread in what should be a close and captivating contest.

Hawthorn +16.5

$1.91 (2 Units)

 

Adelaide vs Hawthorn Prop Bet

Our Best Player Prop Bet: Watson 2+ Goals

Nick Watson has put together a fairly consistent second season in the AFL and has kicked multiple goals on nine different occasions, as well as three times from his last five matches. It should be a high-scoring match in solid conditions in Adelaide, so he will get his chances to hit the scoreboard here. Happy to back in the Wizard at a really juicy price here in Friday night footy. 

Nick Watson 2+ Goals

$2.60

 

Adelaide vs Hawthorn Same Game Multi 

Nick Watson 2+ Goals: See best prop bet above for reasoning.

Connor Macdonald Anytime Goal Scorer: After a slow start to the season, Macdonald has built some strong form in the back half of the year. He’s kicked at least one goal in six of his last seven games and kicked two goals in a low-scoring matchup with the Crows earlier this season. 

James Peatling 20+ Disposals: Has put together a super consistent first season with the Crows, with 20+ disposals in 11 of his last 15 outings including 26 last time out. 

Same Game Multi Odds: $6.25 at Dabble

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Adelaide vs Hawthorn Betting Odds & Match Info 

Date: Friday 1st August  

Time: 7:40pm AEST  

Location: Adelaide Oval

Weather: 14 degrees, Partly Cloudy

 

Odds: Adelaide $1.40 vs Hawthorn $3.00

Line: Adelaide –16.5

Points: 164.5  

  

Where to Watch Adelaide vs Hawthorn

You can watch the Crows vs Hawks on Channel 7 or live and ad-free on Kayo Sports.

  

Back in our Adelaide vs Hawthorn Tips at Dabble!

Not familiar with Dabble and want to learn more about what they offer? Check out our full Dabble review here, or by clicking the banner below. 

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Based on the South-West coast of Victoria, Jake has been an avid sports fanatic since he could walk. Aussie Rules, basketball, and soccer are his main three loves, but he's also got a soft spot for countless other sports.

Besides being a major contributor to our sports and fantasy content since 2017, Jake is our Content Manager & Editor and helps to plan and coordinate our team of writers every week. He's also one of the unlucky ones that is a keen Port Adelaide and Phoenix Suns fan, so go easy on him.

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