AFL Round 19 continues on Saturday afternoon with the Sydney Swans expected to thump North Melbourne at home, when the first bounce takes place at 4:15pm AEST at the SCG.
Below, we bring you our best bet, player prop, and Same Game Multi for the Swans vs Kangaroos, with odds thanks to BetReal - a brand-new Aussie sportsbetting site we think you'll love!
Sydney Swans vs North Melbourne Prediction & Tips: AFL 2025 Round 19
Swans Finding Form
Last year’s Grand Finalists haven’t looked like the team of 2024 which saw them finish on top with a 17-6 record. This year, they sit 10th with an 8-9 record, however, they have won four of their last five matches with victories over St Kilda, Fremantle, Port Adelaide and Richmond. Their loss during that time came against the Western Bulldogs. In comparison, North Melbourne have lost four of their last five matches, with three of those by 36 or more points. Their solitary win in that time came over a disappointing Carlton.
Ruck Dominance
The Kangaroos will be without premier ruckman Tristan Xerri who is starting a three-match suspension for striking against Melbourne. Enter Callum Coleman-Jones who makes his season debut after playing just three games in 2024. Swans ruckman Brodie Grundy looks set to dominate this contest, averaging 35.6 hitouts for the season. Grundy is showing his All-Australian form once again and has rated second in the competition behind Finn Callaghan since Round 12. It’s clearly going to be a one-sided ruck contest on Saturday and Chad Warner, Isaac Heeney and Errol Gulden are going to be the beneficiaries of Grundy’s ruck dominance.
Recent H2H & Key Stats
The Swans dominate the recent clashes between the two sides. They have won nine of the past 10, including eight-straight matches over the Roos. In Round 4 at Marvel Stadium, it was the Swans winning by 65 points despite a big game from Harry Sheezel. Despite their struggles, the Kangaroos are the second best in the league in disposal efficiency at 73.8% compared to the Swans at 71% which ranks them 16th. With Sydney’s expected ruck dominance, they should also dominate the inside 50 count. They average 52.6 per game compared to just 45.9 for the Roos, and this margin could be magnified with Grundy and the Swans mids providing plenty of delivery to their key forwards.
Swans Blowout Victory? Here’s our Sydney Swans vs North Melbourne Tip
Sydney is finding form, although it may be a little too late to play finals footy. In contrast, North Melbourne are struggling, and the recent head-to-head record is completely one sided. With such a ruck dominance awaiting this clash, the Swans forwards are going to have plenty of looks at goal, and if they can kick straight, then it could get ugly by the final siren. Predicting a big win for Sydney.
Sydney Swans -40.5
$1.87 (1.5 units)
Sydney Swans vs North Melbourne Prop Bet
Our Best Player Prop Bet: Gulden 30+ Disposals
Sydney’s star midfielder is playing his fifth game for the year after missing the first 15 games with injury. Last time he played the Roos he had 41 disposals, and with Grundy in total control, Gulden should get plenty of the footy in the middle of the ground.
Errol Gulden 30+ Disposals
$3.00
Sydney Swans vs North Melbourne Same Game Multi
Errol Gulden 25+ Disposals: Think Gulden will have a big game here but taking 25 disposals rather than 30 for the SGM to be a little safer.
Isaac Heeney 20+ Disposals: Another midfielder who will enjoy crumbing ruck contests from Grundy. Heeney has had 20 or more touches in his last eight matches.
Caleb Daniel 25+ Disposals: The former Bulldog could see a lot of the footy across half-back, especially if the Swans can provide a lot of entries with their midfield advantage in this contest.
Sydney Swans vs North Melbourne Betting Odds & Match Info
Odds: Sydney $1.07 vs North Melbourne $7.50
Where to Watch Sydney Swans vs North Melbourne?
You can watch Swans vs Kangaroos live and ad-free on Kayo Sports.
Follow our Sydney Swans vs North Melbourne Tips at Dabble!
Not familiar with Dabble and want to learn more about what they offer? Check out our full Dabble review here, or by clicking the banner below.
