AFL Round 17 concludes in Adelaide as the Crows host the Demons at the Adelaide Oval. The Dees are on a four game losing streak but can they cause an upset in the city of churches? Or will the Crows cement their place in the top four?
Below, we bring you our best bet, player prop, and Same Game Multi for Crows vs Demons, with odds thanks to BetReal - a brand-new Aussie sportsbetting site we think you'll love!
Adelaide vs Melbourne Prediction & Betting Tips: AFL 2025 Round 17
The Crows Keep Rolling
Another dominant offensive performance was the catalyst for Adelaide picking up their fourth win from their last five games. The league’s second highest scoring team kicked their eighth score above 100 points, in a 68 point win over the Tigers at the MCG. While the Crows forward line gets plenty of praise, their defence has been incredible over the last five weeks. Adelaide have held opposition sides to 62, 42, 63, 47 and 54 points in their last five games, ranking as the second best defence in the competition (70 points against per game), only behind ladder leaders Collingwood. The Crows are an incredibly well rounded outfit and are genuine contenders in 2025.
The End Can’t Come Quick Enough
It’s been another troublesome season for the Demons, despite winning five out of six between Rounds 6-11, regular programming has resumed with Melbourne dropping their last four games. Melbourne are 14th on the ladder, looking down the barrel of a second consecutive season missing the finals, in a window where they should have been a contender following top four finishes in 2021, 2022 and 2023. The Demons will get some experience back in their side this week with Jake Lever and Tom McDonald names in the extended squad this weekend.
The Stats That Matter
As highlighted earlier the Crows are the second highest scoring team in the league (98 points for) and the second best defence (70 points against). Adelaide are the best team in the competition at scoring from turnover, while Melbourne ranks 13th in this category. The Crows also have the capacity to go coast to coast, ranking 2nd for scores from defensive half.
Adelaide also have a well rounded game at the coalface, ranking 1st for ground ball gets, 2nd for contested possessions and 6th for clearances. Their midfield has gotten to work which gives their forwards great looks and allows their backline to get set behind the ball. The gap in efficiency between both forward lines looms as a major factor in this game. Adelaide are ranked 3rd in the AFL for goals per inside 50, whereas Melbourne are ranked 15th, converting just 20% of their inside 50’s into goals.
Crows or Demons? Here’s our Adelaide vs Melbourne Tip
Adelaide have absolutely feasted against the bottom ten teams in the AFL, with an 8-0 record, with wins by margins of 63, 61, 36, 60, 5, 66, 90 and 68 points. The Crows have also been excellent at home, with a 7-1 record in games at the Adelaide Oval in 2025.
Melbourne’s average losing margin this season is 30 points, with Adelaide’s average winning margin being 47 points. The Crows are a dominant attacking team and a stingy defence, while the Demons have struggled to generate consistent avenues to goal for quite some time. The Dees struggled at Adelaide Oval just a few weeks ago against an average Port Adelaide side, and it makes facing the Crows a scary prospect. Adelaide will continue their winning ways in an easy victory against Melbourne.
Adelaide -27.5
$1.90 (2 Units)
Adelaide vs Melbourne Prop Bet: Melksham Magic
Our Best Player Prop Bet: Melksham 2+ Goals
Despite the Demons struggling of late, Jake Melksham continues to find the big sticks, kicking 14 goals in his last 6 games, with three performances of 3+ goals in that time period. Melksham kicked 2 goals the last time he faced the Crows back in 2023.
Jake Melksham 2+ Goals
$2.10 (1 Unit)
Adelaide vs Melbourne Same Game Multi
Ben Keays 2+ Goals: Ben Keays has been in excellent form in recent times, kicking 8 goals over his past 4 games, with three performances of 2+ goals. Keays has kicked multiple goals in eight games this season.
Josh Rachele 2+ Goals: Josh Rachele is absolutely cooking at the moment, beginning to elevate in the conversation of the best small forwards in the competition. Rachele has produced returns of 2+ goals in 6 of his last 8 games, kicking 18 goals in that timespan.
Taylor Walker Anytime Goalscorer: Taylor Walker continues to keep contributing even at the age of 35, kicking 22 goals from 14 games. Walker has hit the scoreboard in 12 of his 14 games this season, and is a great leg to anchor your SGM in this fixture.
Adelaide vs Melbourne Betting Odds & Match Info
Weather: Sunny, 14 degrees
Odds: Adelaide ($1.22) vs Melbourne ($4.25)
Where to Watch Adelaide vs Melbourne?
You can watch Adelaide vs Melbourne on 7 and Kayo Sports.
Tail our Adelaide vs Melbourne Tips at Dabble!
