Round 16 in the AFL kicks off on Thursday night with an intriguing contest between Port Adelaide and Carlton. Both clubs have had disappointing campaigns so far and will be desperate to secure the four points in Adelaide on Thursday.
Below, we bring you our best bet, player prop, and Same Game Multi for the Power vs Blues clash, with odds thanks to Dabble!
Port Adelaide vs Carlton Prediction & Tips: 2025 AFL Round 16
Will the Power be on in Adelaide?
Round 16 kicks off with a Thursday night clash between two of the season's biggest disappointments, as 12th-placed Port Adelaide hosts 10th-placed Carlton. For the Power, the 2025 season has been nothing short of a failure. Tipped by many to be a finals contender, they have stumbled to a 6-8 record, characterized by baffling inconsistency and an inability to perform against quality opposition. Their talented midfield has been unable to assert consistent dominance, and their connection going forward has looked disjointed. With finals now a near-impossibility, the focus shifts to salvaging some pride. Playing under the Adelaide Oval lights, the expectation from their fanbase will be to see some passion and deliver a powerful performance against an equally fragile opponent.
Horrible Blues Ball Movement
Carlton's season has been a parallel story of frustration and underachievement. Despite possessing a list filled with high-end talent, the Blues have also slumped to a 6-8 record, with their finals hopes hanging by a thread. Their season hit rock bottom last week in a humiliating loss to a North Melbourne side they were expected to handle with ease. In a goalless second quarter, the Blues looked devoid of spirit and system, leading to sections of their own crowd booing them off at halftime. The loss has placed immense pressure on the coaching staff and playing group, with their on-field identity and desire being seriously questioned. This trip to Adelaide is a test of character for a club that seems to have lost its way.
Key Stats to Consider
The statistics paint a grim picture of Carlton's offensive woes; they are ranked last in the competition at generating scores when going inside their forward 50 - this is a result of their poor ball use as well as disconnection between midfielders and forwards. Last week’s loss was a prime example, where they won the inside-50 count but were let down by horrendous ball use and an inability to convert opportunities into scores. This has been a recurring theme all season, and against any team with a competent defensive structure, it has proven to be a fatal flaw. For the Power, they also struggle for scores per inside 50 and have been getting well beaten in clearances of late.
It's Do or Die, Here’s Our Power vs Blues Tip
This match may be a battle of two underachievers, but the team news in the lead-up points decisively in one direction. Port Adelaide receives a massive boost with the return of crucial personnel, welcoming back the defensive stability of Aliir Aliir and the veteran leadership of Travis Boak. Conversely, Carlton’s injury woes continue to mount, stretching their depth at a critical time. Compounding their issues is the news that captain Patrick Cripps has been battling illness all week. While he is expected to play, entering a hostile interstate environment under an injury cloud is far from ideal. These factors tip the scales in the Power’s favour and I expect them to get the job done and cover the small spread.
Port Adelaide –5.5
$1.90 (1.5 Units)
Port Adelaide vs Carlton Player Prop Bet
Our Best Player Prop: Jase Burgoyne 20+ Disposals
Jase Burgoyne is a juicy price for 20+ disposals on Thursday night considering his strong form over the past few weeks. Burgoyne has had three straight weeks of 20+ touches and has hit the mark in six of his last eight matches. Across the season as a whole, Burgoyne has hit the 20 disposal mark in nine of his 14 matches and remains better than $2 odds to get there again.
Jase Burgoyne 20+ Disposals
$2.10 (1.5 Units)
Port Adelaide vs Carlton Same Game Multi
Charlie Curnow 2+ Goals: While we’re aware he’s under an injury cloud, his form against the Power in recent years is too good to pass up. He’s kicked 3+ goals in four straight matches against them, for a total of 14 goals across that span.
Jase Burgoyne 20+ Disposals: For the reasons mentioned above, I’m happy to include Jase in the SGM as well.
Adam Cerra 20+ Disposals: Averaging just shy of 26 disposals per game this season and has reached the 20 disposals mark in all but one match this season.
Port Adelaide vs Carlton Betting Odds & Match Info
Date: Thursday, 26th June
Weather: 14 degrees, light rain
Odds: Port Adelaide $1.67 vs Carlton $2.20
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Where to Watch Port Adelaide vs Carlton?
You can watch all the Power vs Blues action on Channel 7 or live and ad free on Kayo Sports.
Back in our Port Adelaide vs Carlton Tips at Dabble!
