GMHBA Stadium plays host to a blockbuster clash on Saturday evening as the fourth placed Suns take on the fifth placed Cats. Can Gold Coast stand up and claim a massive scalp on the road? Or will Geelong extend their winning streak to four games?
We bring you our full preview and expert tips for the Cats vs Suns below, with odds thanks to Dabble!
Geelong vs Gold Coast Prediction & Betting Tips: AFL 2025 Round 13
Geelong Building Nicely
As they have been for nearly 20 years, the Cats are positioned nicely nearing the halfway mark of the season. Geelong have won four of their last five games, and produced an excellent fourth quarter performance to run over the Eagles last week. Geelong’s stars are leading the way, with Bailey Smith recording 30+ disposals in five straight games, while Jeremy Cameron has kicked 5+ goals in each of the last three games. The Cats are the second highest scoring team in the competition, and the number one tacking team in the AFL.
Taking the Next Step
In Damien Hardwick’s second season, Gold Coast have made some massive strides, sitting in the top four for nearly the entirety of the season to date. One thing that has eluded the Suns however is consistently performing against the best teams in the AFL. Part of that factor is that they have had a soft fixture, only playing four of the current top eight teams. Gold Coast are 2-2 against the top eight this season, and could be 1-3 if it wasn’t for some fortunate umpiring decisions against Adelaide. They failed a test at home against Fremantle last, can they perform in one of the most challenging away matches in the AFL?
The Stats That Matter
Geelong and Gold Coast are two of the best attacking teams in the competition, ranking 2nd and 4th respectively in points per game. Both clubs have balanced scoring profiles, ranking in the top two for scores from forward half, top four for scores from stoppages, top four scores from turnover and top six for scores from centre bounce.
The ground ball battle also looms as a massive factor in this game with Geelong ranking sixth in the AFL for ground balls and the Suns ranking seventh. Both clubs rank in the top four for forward 50 ground ball gets, the big ask for Gold Coast will be whether they can apply as much pressure as Geelong to limit their ground ball game. The Cats are ranked 1st in the AFL for tackles, 1st for tackles inside 50 and 1st for pressure acts. So not only are Geelong elite at ground level, but they’re excellent at preventing their opponents from being great on the ground.
Cats or Suns? Here’s our Geelong vs Gold Coast Tip
The Suns have won their last two games against Geelong, however those games were in Darwin and Gold Coast. Geelong have a 7-0 record against the Suns at GMHBA Stadium, with an average winning margin of 72 points. Geelong have won by 50+ points five times, with Gold Coast only getting within five goals of the Cats once at their home ground.
Obviously this is the best Suns side to ever head to GMHBA Stadium, however the lack of experience of winning in Geelong is a massive hurdle for the Suns to overcome. Geelong are 3-1 at Kardinia Park this season, with an average winning margin of 43 points, and are averaging 115 points per game at the Cattery. Geelong’s stars are in red hot form, and the Cats will continue their winning ways.
Geelong -18.5
$1.90 (1.5 Units)
Geelong vs Gold Coast Prop Bet: Cameron on Fire
Our Best Prop Bet: Cameron 4+ Goals
Jeremy Cameron is in scintillating form, kicking bags week after week, even despite being held for the first three quarters last week. Cameron has kicked 5, 6 and 7 goals last week, and has kicked 4+ goals on six occasions this season. Cameron hasn’t had any struggles hitting the scoreboard against the Suns, kicking three goals in each of his last three games against Gold Coast.
Jeremy Cameron 4+ Goals
$2.70 (1 Unit)
Geelong vs Gold Coast Same Game Multi
Bailey Smith 30+ Disposals: Bailey Smith is having a remarkable season, racking up massive numbers week after week. Smith is averaging 31.6 disposals per game which is the most in the competition and has recorded at least 30 disposals in five straight games, including a season high 38 disposals last week.
Max Holmes 25+ Disposals: Like Smith, Holmes is having a great season in the midfield for Geelong, and has produced an excellent run of form over the last month. Holmes is averaging 28 disposals per game over his last four games, reaching the 25+ mark in three of those four games.
Noah Anderson 25+ Disposals: Anderson might not get the fanfare of a Bailey Smith or Nick Daicos, but he’s putting together an incredible season. Anderson is averaging 30.9 disposals per game (ranked 4th in the AFL), and has recorded 35+ disposals in three straight games. Anderson has hit the 25+ mark in 9 of his 11 games this season.
Geelong vs Gold Coast Betting Odds & Match Info
Date: Saturday 7th June
Time: 4:15pm AEST
Location: GMHBA Stadium
Weather: Light rain, 13 degrees
Odds: Geelong ($1.40) vs Gold Coast ($3)
Line: Geelong -18.5
Points: 166.5
Where to Watch Geelong vs Gold Coast?
You can watch Geelong vs Gold Coast Live and ad break free on Kayo Sports.
Tail our Geelong vs Gold Coast Tips at Dabble!
