It was an absolute monster week in NFL betting tips last on the weekend as we went 3-0 on best bets and 10-3-1 across all games with one matchup still to come at the time of writing. We’ll be looking for another strong performance as we head into Week 16 of the NFL, kicking off on Saturday with the Saints taking on the Vikings.
This NFL season, Before You Bet has a special partnership with 'The Punt Return' podcast! Catch Josh Wye & Nick Splitter weekly in the lead up to action in the NFL, breaking down some of the key games and storylines.
Saturday 8.30am (AEDT)
The Saints were competitive coming up against arguably the best side in the NFL in the Chiefs in Week 15. They held the lead in the fourth quarter but ended up going down by just three points as star quarterback Drew Brees made a successful return to the line-up. They are now 10-4 on the season but are still in contention to finish with the best record in the NFC, currently sitting one game behind the Packers.
The Vikings will need to win both of their remaining games and pray that other results go their way to make the playoffs. They currently have around a 3% chance to sneak in, so should still be playing relatively hard on the road here against the Saints. They have lost their last two games on the trot to the Buccaneers and Bears and have failed to cover the spread in their last five games straight.
The Vikings have allowed 27.7 points per game this year, which is the 8th most in the league and the over has hit in 9 of their 16 games so far. The over has also hit in 9 of the Saints 16 games, and they are one of the highest scoring teams in the competition, averaging 28.4 points per game. Under the dome, we think this one should be a high scoring game, especially with Brees back in the Saints line-up.
Monday 12.20pm (AEDT)
What a matchup on Sunday night football this is shaping up to be. The Tennessee Titans have been one of the hottest teams in the league of late, winning four of their last five games and putting up an average of 37.4 points per game. Star running back Derrick Henry has been unstoppable this season and had another monster game in the Week 15 win over the Lions, rushing for 147 yards and a touchdown, his 15th of the season.
The Packers currently have the best record in the NFC and if they win just one of their remaining two games, they will likely retain the No.1 seed. They have won their last four games in a row, albeit over weaker opponents in the Bears, Eagles, Lions and Panthers. This will be their toughest test since their Week 10 loss to the Colts, but not one they necessarily have to win.
The Packers are 6-1 straight up at home this season and 4-3 against the spread, while the over has hit in exactly half of their 14 games, so it’s a little hard to get a read on their game at the moment. As for the Titans, they have been involved in some high scoring games this year, with the their record sitting at 10-3-1 in favour of the over, the highest mark in the league. This should be another shootout as the 1st and 3rd ranked offences in terms of points per game square off.
Tuesday 12.15pm (AEDT)
The Patriots will miss the playoffs for the first time in 12 years this season, after their first year without Tom Brady has so far resulted in a 6-8 record. They sit in third place in the AFC East and have just a 6-8 record against the spread. They have been involved in some low scoring games with their 10-4 record in favour of the under the second highest in the league.
On the contrary, the Bills have been one of the highest scoring teams in the competition this season, averaging 28.8 points per game and hitting the over in 9 of their 14 games so far. They have won five of their last six games and covered the spread in all of those six games and currently have a 10-4 record straight up, sitting atop the AFC East.
The Bills are one of the best teams in the league at the moment and back themselves to put up a winning score regardless of how many the opposition score. They start as 7 point favourites here and that is half a point too much for us. We love them to cover the spread at 6.5, so we’ll be buying the extra half point and backing the Bills to cover their 7th straight game.
Saturday December 26th
Minnesota Vikings at New Orleans Saints - Over 51.5 ($1.90 at Sportsbet)
Sunday December 27th
Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Detroit Lions - Buccaneers -9.5 ($1.90 at Sportsbet)
San Francisco 49ers at Arizona Cardinals - Cardinals -4.5 ($1.90 at Sportsbet)
Miami Dolphins at Las Vegas Raiders - Raiders +2.5 ($1.90 at Sportsbet)
Monday December 28th
New York Giants at Baltimore Ravens - Ravens -10.5 ($1.90 at Sportsbet)
Celveland Browns at New York Jets - Browns -9.5 ($1.90 at Sportsbet)
Chicago Bears at Jacksonville Jaguars - Under 47.5 ($1.90 at Sportsbet)
Carolina Panthers at Washington Football Team - Washington -1.5 ($1.90 at Sportsbet)
Atlanta Falcons at Kansas City Chiefs - Chiefs -10 ($1.95 at Sportsbet)
Philaelphia Eagles at Dallas Cowboys - Under 49.5 ($1.85 at Sportsbet)
Tennessee Titans at Green Bay Packers - Over 55.5 ($1.90 at Sportsbet)
Tuesday December 29th
Buffalo Bills at New England Patriots - Bills -6.5 ($1.80 at Sportsbet)
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