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Knights vs Roosters Preview & Betting Tips: NRL Round 6 2024

April 11th 2024, 12:12am, By: Scooby

Knights vs Roosters

NRL Round 6 action begins on Thursday night with an intriguing clash between the Knights and Roosters. The exciting start to the season is set to continue with each team desperate to capture a win and climb up the competition ladder. Both teams have experienced a mixture of results this season and punters will be confused as to what lies ahead in this match. Don’t worry, Before You Bet has you covered with a comprehensive look at this NRL fixture.

Also, if you’re new to sports betting or betting on the NRL, check out the following articles to help build your knowledge:

Guide to Betting on the NRL

Where to Bet on the NRL

Factors to Consider When Betting on the NRL

Picklebet

2024 NRL Round 6 Preview & Betting Tips

Newcastle Knights vs Sydney Roosters

McDonald-Jones Stadium – Thursday 10th April – 7:50pm (AEST)

Match Preview

The Knights prevailed in horrendous conditions over the Dragons last Friday. Their 30-10 victory was a much-needed result, especially in front of their home fans and for their high hopes of success moving forward. A strong first half established the result, scoring 4 tries led to a 24-10 lead. From there, they shut the Dragons attack down. They did well to manage just 25 missed tackles and pressured their opponent’s defensive structure with 6 line breaks. While not completely convincing, they will take confidence away from that performance. 

The Roosters could only dream of such a result; their poor showing against the Bulldogs resulted in a 30-26 defeat. In a brutal game, they trailed 26-nil at HT. While a fightback in the second half added some respect to the result, it was hardly a performance which matches their talent on paper. They were their own worst enemy too; completing at just 69% with 48% possession, they ran for fewer metres and spent majority of the game with 12 players after Young was sent off. They will be out to bounce back from this performance, their second disappointing result in consecutive weeks. 

Match Prediction

The Knights are well placed to succeed in this match. They have an unchanged line-up from last week and will look to build pressure on a Roosters team which is missing a host of players. Forced changes in the backs has seen Tedesco (concussion), Walker (concussion) and Young (suspension) omitted. Losing 3 key players out of any team is difficult to deal with let alone here, when they desperately to break a run of poor performances. 

The Roosters are justifiably outsiders ($1.58 vs $2.40) with the line interestingly set at 4.5 points but underestimate the Roosters at your own peril. The visitors have a strong overall record over the Knights and will have no issue traveling; they hold a very strong 73% win record here (55% for the Knights). In fact, the Knights have won just 2 of the past 14 games between these two sides and 1 of the past 6 at home against the Roosters. 

The points total also favours the Roosters; they average a higher number of points scored in attack (17ppg vs 24ppg) and have conceded a fewer amount (18ppg vs 17ppg). The Knights are vulnerable and should not be as short as they are in most betting markets. This means the preferred option is to ‘play it safe’ and invest on other, more likely results, this weekend. There is every chance the Roosters could come out and cause an upset. Use this bet (extended line) to anchor a multi or slightly increase your investment on the match. 

Roosters +8.5

$1.55 (1.5 Units)

 

Scooby is our NRL guru with over ten years experience writing about rugby league with Before You Bet and previously at The Profits. His background is in playing and coaching but he's enjoyed the switch to share his knowledge through his articles, as well as sharing his thoughts on Twitter.

Scooby's strength is assessing the overall team - what they offer across the field in a match and how the ethos of a club contributes to their success. Momentum also has a major impact on sports, and Scooby likes to explore this, while underpinning his judgement against a solid basis of statistical analysis. When combined with the aforementioned points, it combines for a holistic approach towards betting on rugby league.

Other sports he enjoys include Cricket, Horse Racing and NFL. There is a reason why Scooby ‘clicked’ with BYB from Day 1 - he loves his sport as much as we do.

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