Welcome to our horse racing preview and betting tips for racing on Tuesday, September 3rd.
Ballarat Synthetic and Newcastle are the two meetings in focus for this afternoon's Australian horse racing. Find out who Luke Krahe is keen to back below.
Race 3 is a maiden at set weights over 1500m, (10) Gold Rock has been to the racers four time sin her life and all four have been here on the synthetic track. She ran on well at starts two and three in what have proven good form references, then was here at the 1500m last time and never looked likely. She was easy in the betting out to $4.40 at the jump, was worse than mid-field and three-wide without cover when they settled. She was forced to stay wide and make a very long, wide run before understandably tiring late. She is drawn out here but gets the addition of the blinkers, is well down in the weights with the claim and I can see them riding her a lot closer today. She clearly handles the synthetic tracks well and this is no harder than what she has been racing. (5) Mister Ballistic is likely to start the favourite after an encouraging debut, he had all the favours and although there was a margin to third, he was beaten five lengths. That winner finally broke his maiden at start 6 after being beaten by 5 lengths the start prior. Happy to lay him.
(3) Skarbek comes into this BM58 for the girls at 1400m after a soft win at Seymour on the grass, she sat mid-field before edging closer, got outside the leader before running away in the straight. The official margin was 1.5 L but it was another 3.25 back to third! Normally I like to stay away from last start turf winners coming to the synthetic, but she has a good record on this surface also. She stormed home to win her maiden impressively at Pakenham on this surface a little over a year ago. The last time she was on the synthetic was here in July, she was running on hard from the back before being held-up at the furlong pole, then hit the line well when in the clear the last 100m. (1) Duchess Grace looks the obvious danger after bolting in here as an odds-on favourite last time in similar grade, I’m am worried that she has the one gate and may get held-up when the runs come. Hopefully our tip has the momentum up out wide by the time she gets clear.
(5) Versetto should start one of the shortest priced favourites of the day for the in-form Bjorn Baker yard. He resumed at Canterbury a fortnight ago and was truck-loaded in the betting and very solid late. Settled mid-field before angling across heels and running on hard to only just miss the placings, the official margin to the winner was just on a length. He won second-up last campaign when running on from well back at Gosford, something that is not easy to do on the small track. He will once again be giving them a start but dropping back to this grade and with the big straight here at Newcastle, should be too strong late. Anything in black figures looks a gift.
(4) Tepario debuted more than a year ago and only had two starts, she didn’t do much at those two starts and had been off the scene for almost a year. She resumed here two weeks ago, settled behind the leaders before being held-up early in the straight and then checked. She got out late and ran on hard for the best last 200m of the race. She had support that day at double figure odds, back against the girls she looks a super each-way bet. At the time of writing there is about $8 available, I will be even more confident if the money comes late. (9) Foxborough has trialed well for her return but was right out to the mile last prep and will be giving them a start. Happy to take her on if she starts at the top of the market.
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