Welcome to our horse racing preview and betting tips for racing on Sunday, June 30th.
Luke Krahe has provided his best bets for Grafton, Ballarat, Dubbo and Bairnsdale below!
(1) Charmed Princess loves the wet, all three of her wins were on a Soft track and she ran second at her only Heavy track run. She won a class one here three starts back after a nice ride and ran over the top of them late, failed at Scone but was ok then bolted in at Canberra last time. She ran on hard from the back that day to win by almost three lengths and although it was 5 weeks ago, there have been 4 subsequent winners to come out of the race, so it has been a real good form reference. She is back against her own age group here and has the wide draw, that should be inconsequential as she will get back in the run anyway. There looks a stack of speed in the race and her main danger will also get back, (3) Seentoomany. Happy to take her on though as she looked only fair in the run home at her latest.
The only issue I have with (6) Vernazza in this field is that she has not raced on a rain affected track in her short career. She is a Written Tycoon filly from the Matty Dunn yard up the Pacific Highway at Murwillumbah, she was heavily backed at 66-grade two back when resuming and the punters collected. She led them up in a Class Three Highway last time at Randwick and just found a few too good for her, she was favourite that day in a race that looks a lot harder than this. She will go forward, presuming that she handles the track, she looks a steal at anything in black odds. If she finds the top easily early, have a dabble in the run also.
(1) Saddle The Sun is an interesting runner, he won his first three starts back in the Spring of 2017 and looked to have a future. He then obviously had his issues and was away from the track for 19 months. He resumed over 1400m here at the track two weeks ago, got well back in the run before chasing hard the entire straight and getting to within three quarters of a length of the winner on the line. He would have taken plenty from that run after such a long break, steps up to the 1500m which looks ideal and has shown that he can handle the synthetic track. He should be able to settle closer here. (6) Titan Blinders looks the obvious danger, he has the tactical speed to lead and did bolt in last time he was on the synthetic track, but don’t think he will get it all his own way early coming back in trip and will have to take a sit.
Taking (7) Heavenly Glory a little on spec here, she is a 4YO Mare that has only been to the races once. She was then with the Gwenda Markwell team and was a real eye-catcher at Kembla Grange, she was a mile back early before running on hard and was very green in the straight. She was only beaten 2.4 lengths in what was a much harder race than this. She has since been transferred to the Dean Mirfin stable at Bathurst, she has obviously had some issues being away from the track for 40 weeks and would like to see some money for her. Certainly not the strongest maiden, she looks well in here off her debut effort.
(6) Stravain resumed on the synthetic track at Pakenham last time, she got well back before swinging wide and was really string through the line to narrowly miss the placings. He has only had the one start on a soft track and that was his Maiden win at Moe last prep, she sat up on the speed on that occasion and handled the conditions well. She had no luck the start prior to that where she narrowly missed, that was her only other second-up run. I expect from the good gate she will be a lot closer and up on the speed, see how the track is playing earlier in the day to determine if that is advantageous or not. Hopefully she is camped right on the leader who really struggles to run out a strong 1000m. (9) Shaquiana may improve with the blinkers going on and back on the turf. Am happy to take on the likely favourite (1) Segouin, She is very speedy and looks the leader but hopefully our top pick is camped on her and she will be a lot stronger at the back-end.
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